BTCS Inc. (BTCS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.04 -6.31% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03

BTCS Inc. (BTCS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $54.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BTCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, BTCS Inc. (NASDAQ: BTCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (-6.31% 1D, market cap $54.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTCS ranks #1092 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BTCS compare to CANG and VIP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTCS carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -23.9%. By comparison, CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.2M) and VIP (Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIP leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while BTCS leads on capital efficiency (-23.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTCS?
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Per BTCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001436229), BTCS Inc. generated $16.5M in revenue (+304.8% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $214.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03 (-1.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510020
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BTCS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTCS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BTCS SCORES 20/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
28
Grade E$1.24-12.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$1.09-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$1.06-1.9% Next Q
Current
20
Grade E$1.04-11.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (28) β†’ E (20)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTCS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BTCS currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.33) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.93.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTCSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBTCS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BTCS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BTCS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTCS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BTCS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BTCS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.48%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $1.11H $1.11L $1.04C $1.04VOL 762.6K
RES: $2.16SUP: $1.42SMA50: $1.33SMA200: $1.51
$3.36$2.71$2.06$1.41$0.76RES $2.16SUP $1.42$1.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTCS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTCS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTCS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTCS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTCS)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BTCS vs. CANG, VIP, MATH, NCTY)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BTCS Inc. (BTCS) ranks #1092 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #1006 by equity capitalization ($54.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIP leads on earnings valuation at 9.6x trailing P/E, while BTCS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MATH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with BTCS at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BTCS ACTIVE
BTCS Inc.
E 20/100 β€” β€” -23.9% -6.31% $54.6M Benchmark Subject
CANG
Cango Inc. (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.00% $49.2M /cang-vs-btcs β†’
VIP
Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 9.6x β€” -35.0% -3.03% $49.0M /vip-vs-btcs β†’
MATH
Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.07% $47.5M /math-vs-btcs β†’
NCTY
The9 Limited American Depository Shares
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.62% $45.7M /ncty-vs-btcs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001436229

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BTCS Inc. (BTCS) reported GAAP revenue of $16.5M (+304.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.1M , and +1131.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.4M, operating cash flow of -$9.8M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (-177.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTCS closed FY2025 with $214.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.5M -$33.4M -$9.8M -$9.8M $214.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.1M -$1.3M -$3.5M -$3.5M $38.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.3M $7.8M -$3.6M -$3.6M β€” β€”

3. BTCS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BTCS Inc. (NASDAQ: BTCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (-6.31% 1D, market cap $54.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTCS ranks #1092 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BTCS compare to CANG and VIP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTCS carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -23.9%. By comparison, CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.2M) and VIP (Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIP leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while BTCS leads on capital efficiency (-23.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTCS?

Per BTCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001436229), BTCS Inc. generated $16.5M in revenue (+304.8% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $214.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BTCS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTCS last traded at $1.04 (-6.31% on volume of 762,625 shares), positioning the stock -21.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.33) and -31.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.51). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $3.74, BTCS sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 20/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BTCS β€” BTCS Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:19Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BTCS scores 25 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." Each of the five pillars scores 5 to 6 out of 20. The fundamental cash engine scores 5/20, reflecting ROIC of -23.9% and FCF yield of -16.82%, which indicates the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it. The whale and 13F flow pillar scores 6/20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning, which is a modest offset but not strong enough to change the overall picture. Insider conviction scores 3/20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar and a notable negative signal. The macro regime fit pillar scores 6/20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 5/20, with an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a company whose reported losses and negative free cash flow are the central issue, with weak insider signals and only moderate institutional support. The valuation tradeoff is that a $1.04 price against a $58.2M market cap exists alongside negative returns on capital, so the market is not pricing in near-term profitability. Forensic scores and the insider pillar reinforce caution.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

BTCS Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. Market data shows a 0% gross margin and a -60% net margin. Specific business lines are β€”

Revenue rose from $1.3M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025, while net income moved to -$33.4M in FY 2025 after a positive $7.8M in FY 2023. Operating income is reported as β€” across all periods. Market data lists ROIC at -23.9% and net margin at -60%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, . Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source, while reported debt figures are N/A in the financials.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Revenue grew from $1.3M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025 while institutional accumulation and options positioning remain a partial offset in the RQD pillars. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -23.9%, FCF yield -16.82%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.96 – $3.74 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income fell to -$33.4M in FY 2025, ROIC is -23.9%, FCF yield is -16.82%, and the insider conviction pillar scores only 3/20. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are β€” Sector correlations beyond the stated beta of 1. Second-order bottlenecks are β€”

  • Key Question #1: What is driving the jump in revenue to $16.5M in FY 2025 alongside net losses of -$33.4M, and is that growth repeatable?
  • Key Question #2: What are the terms and capital impact of the Series V preferred stock tender offer, and why are directors and executives not tendering?
  • Key Question #3: What is the reported debt balance, since the financials list debt as N/A despite a Debt/Equity of 0.5?

BTCS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BTCS Inc. (BTCS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BTCS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BTCS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.04?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BTCS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BTCS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.22 (+17.3%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $1.3M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025 while institutional accumulation and options positioning remain a partial offse

The street is overcomplicating BTCS Inc. (BTCS). Revenue grew from $1.3M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025 while institutional accumulation and options positioning remain a partial offset in the RQD pillars.. With an RQD score of 20/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.12.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.88 (-15.4%)
Spot @ $1.04

Net income fell to -$33.4M in FY 2025, ROIC is -23.9%, FCF yield is -16.82%, and the insider conviction pillar scores only 3/20.

Net income fell to -$33.4M in FY 2025, ROIC is -23.9%, FCF yield is -16.82%, and the insider conviction pillar scores only 3/20.. Look at the math on BTCS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -23.9% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.92 before getting long.

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