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Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.99 -1.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.99

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $47.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MATH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (NASDAQ: MATH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (-1.10% 1D, market cap $47.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MATH ranks #710 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MATH compare to VIP and CANG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MATH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VIP (Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.0M) and CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIP leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while VIP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATH?
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For Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #710 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.99 (-0.39%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MATH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MATH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MATH SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($1.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$1.09-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$1.07-9.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$0.97+2.1% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$0.99-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MATH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MATH currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.99) and Max Pain ($1.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MATH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MATH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE
L: $1$0.99H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MATH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MATH
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MATH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MATH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MATH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.00H $1.00L $0.99C $0.99VOL 4.5K
RES: $1.34SUP: $0.62SMA50: $0.99SMA200: $1.09
$2.50$2.02$1.54$1.06$0.58RES $1.34SUP $0.62$0.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MATH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MATH Butterfly Map → + Track MATH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MATH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MATH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MATH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MATH)

Financials Rank #710 of 1096 ⚔️ VIP vs MATH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MATH vs. VIP, CANG, NCTY, FRMM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) ranks #710 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #1012 by equity capitalization ($47.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIP leads on earnings valuation at 9.6x trailing P/E, while VIP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MATH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MATH ACTIVE
Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
D 48/100 — — — -1.10% $47.5M Benchmark Subject
VIP
Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 9.6x — -35.0% -8.59% $49.0M /vip-vs-math →
CANG
Cango Inc. (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -15.00% $49.2M /cang-vs-math →
NCTY
The9 Limited American Depository Shares
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -10.70% $45.7M /ncty-vs-math →
FRMM
Forum Markets Incorporated
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -5.22% $45.5M /frmm-vs-math →

2. MATH Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) operates in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $47.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. MATH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MATH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (NASDAQ: MATH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (-1.10% 1D, market cap $47.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MATH ranks #710 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MATH compare to VIP and CANG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MATH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VIP (Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.0M) and CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIP leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while VIP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATH?

For Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #710 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MATH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MATH last traded at $0.99 (-1.10% on volume of 2,004 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.99) and -9.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.09). Across its 52-week range of $0.73 to $3.19, MATH sits at the 10.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.11).

Direct Sub-Reports: MATH RQD Cockpit MATH 12M Forecast MATH Earnings & Move MATH Dividends & DRIP MATH Insiders & 13F MATH Whale Options MATH Profit Sankey MATH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MATH — Metalpha Technology Holding Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.99 (-1.10% 1D, market capitalization $47.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Finance: Consumer Services industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $47.5M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Finance: Consumer Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.73 – $3.19 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), MATH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can MATH sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $3.19 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MATH's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MATH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MATH Debate Forum (3) ↓
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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MATH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MATH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MATH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.17 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating balance-shee

The street is overcomplicating Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH). The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating balance-sheet strength relative to the other pillars.. With an RQD score of 48/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.08.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.00 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.93.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.84 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $1.00

Valuation & margin reality check on MATH at $1.00 before chasing here

I respect the product at Metalpha Technology Holding Limited, but the stock at $1.00 is a different story. Valuation & margin reality check on MATH at $1.00 before chasing here. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 48/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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