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BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.17 +1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33.3% gross margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BellRing Brands Inc. (NYSE: BRBR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $9.17 (+1.21% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BRBR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRBR compare to SENEB and SENEA in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BRBR carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of 46.3%. By comparison, SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?
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Per BRBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772016), BellRing Brands Inc. generated $2.32B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $216.2M in net income, and $260.6M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.18B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 11.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$35 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE BRBR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BRBR SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.2% FCF Margin ($260.6M FCF) & 33.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$8.51+11.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$9.51-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$9.21-0.4% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$9.17+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRBR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, BRBR faces multiple-compression risk if 4.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.08) or 200D SMA ($13.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.83) toward Bear Floor ($7.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BRBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BRBR Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BRBR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BRBR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BRBR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BRBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.06H $9.17L $9.06C $9.17VOL 3.09M
RES: $9.66SUP: $5.35SMA50: $9.08SMA200: $13.18
$30.50$24.22$17.94$11.66$5.38RES $9.66SUP $5.35$9.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRBR Butterfly Map → + Track BRBR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRBR)

Consumer Staples Rank #10 of 147 ⚔️ SENEB vs BRBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BRBR vs. SENEB, SENEA, SMPL, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #74 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BRBR ACTIVE
BellRing Brands Inc.
B 74/100 4.9x 33.3% 46.3% +1.21% $1.07B Benchmark Subject
SENEB
Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)
D+ 53/100 9.4x — 16.1% 0.00% $1.08B /seneb-vs-brbr →
SENEA
Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 9.4x — 16.1% +0.57% $1.08B /senea-vs-brbr →
SMPL
The Simply Good Foods Company
C 64/100 8.9x 36.2% 6.4% +5.54% $977.2M /smpl-vs-brbr →
FLO
Flowers Foods Inc.
C- 60/100 15.6x — 5.2% +1.46% $1.33B /flo-vs-brbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001772016 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.00B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.2M, operating cash flow of $260.6M, and free cash flow of $260.6M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRBR closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.18B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.32B $216.2M $260.6M $260.6M $1.06B $1.18B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.00B $246.5M $199.6M $199.6M $885.2M $833.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.67B $165.5M $215.6M $215.6M — —

3. BRBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BellRing Brands Inc. (NYSE: BRBR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $9.17 (+1.21% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BRBR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRBR compare to SENEB and SENEA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BRBR carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of 46.3%. By comparison, SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?

Per BRBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772016), BellRing Brands Inc. generated $2.32B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $216.2M in net income, and $260.6M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.18B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRBR last traded at $9.17 (+1.21% on volume of 3,094,552 shares), positioning the stock +0.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.08) and -30.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.18). Across its 52-week range of $7.33 to $33.56, BRBR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($8.22 to $10.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: BRBR RQD Cockpit BRBR 12M Forecast BRBR Earnings & Move BRBR Dividends & DRIP BRBR Insiders & 13F BRBR Whale Options BRBR Profit Sankey BRBR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BRBR — BellRing Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $9.17 (+1.21% 1D, market capitalization $1.07B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 46.3%, gross margin of 33.3%, operating margin of 15.4%, and free cash flow yield of 24.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.61, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

BellRing Brands Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and Packaged Foods industry, . — for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model detail. The source data confirms only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) reported $2.32B in annual revenue (up from $2.00B in FY2024, +16.1% YoY) and $216.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.67B revenue, $165.5M net income) through FY2025, BRBR scaled operating cash flow to $260.6M and free cash flow to $260.6M, backed by $1.06B in total assets against $1.18B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Strong cash generator (33.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.33 – $33.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 4.9x trailing P/E and 6.1x EV/EBITDA against 15.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations beyond the sector label of Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods, so second-order ripple effects cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can BRBR sustain or expand its 15.4% operating margin and 46.3% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.32B and free cash flow of $260.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.18B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BRBR's 4.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BRBR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRBR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRBR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.17?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRBR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BRBR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.91 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is exceptional: ROIC of 46.3% and an FCF yield of 24.74% against a 4.9 TTM P/E.

Don't sleep on BRBR's setup in Consumer Staples. Cash generation is exceptional: ROIC of 46.3% and an FCF yield of 24.74% against a 4.9 TTM P/E.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (74/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 74/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.17 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.53.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.24 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $9.17

Stock has collapsed from a $33.56 52-week high to $9.06 and carries a RED risk-watch lawsuit item in the news feed.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BRBR above $9.17. Stock has collapsed from a $33.56 52-week high to $9.06 and carries a RED risk-watch lawsuit item in the news feed.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20) and FCF yield (24.74%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $33.56.

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