Should I buy, hold, or sell BLMN stock right now?

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 70.2% gross margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 111x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BLMN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BLMN's 12-month base price target is $10.67 (range $8.32 to $13.26), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BLMN

BH (61) FWRG (38) CNNE (34) HDL (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.57 -1.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.53

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $905.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BLMN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BLMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $10.57 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $905.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #330 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BLMN compare to BH and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $916.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLMN?

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Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.53 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BLMN SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.4% FCF Margin ($96.8M FCF) & 70.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$9.21+12.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$10.34-12.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$9.08+16.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$10.57+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BLMN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, BLMN faces multiple-compression risk if 111.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.23) or 200D SMA ($7.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.67) toward Bear Floor ($8.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BLMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

62.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.84>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE72% OF RANGE

L: $5$10.57H: $13

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (70.2% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BLMN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

10.7% ROIC with 70.2% gross margin and 10.57% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.84 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BLMN

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BLMN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BLMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +87.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $10.69H $10.69L $10.57C $10.57VOL 2.21M

RES: $10.93SUP: $7.85SMA50: $9.23SMA200: $7.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BLMN Butterfly Map → + Track BLMN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #330 of 1009 ⚔️ BH vs BLMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BLMN vs. BH, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) ranks #330 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #519 by equity capitalization ($905.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with BLMN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BLMN ACTIVE Bloomin' Brands Inc.	C-	60/100	111.1x	70.2%	10.7%	-1.12%	$905.0M	Benchmark Subject
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)	C-	61/100	—	59.2%	-7.2%	+0.87%	$916.0M	/bh-vs-blmn →
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.	D-	38/100	39.7x	—	3.6%	+1.84%	$786.2M	/fwrg-vs-blmn →
CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	15.5%	-10.6%	-0.06%	$743.4M	/cnne-vs-blmn →
HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.	D	46/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$643.8M	/hdl-vs-blmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001546417 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.96B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.2M, operating cash flow of $276.7M, and free cash flow of $96.8M (+1208.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLMN closed FY2025 with $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.84, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$3.96B	$8.2M	$276.7M	$96.8M	$3.17B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$3.95B	-$128.0M	$228.1M	$7.4M	$3.38B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.17B	$247.4M	$532.4M	$532.4M	—	—

3. BLMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BLMN compare to BH and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLMN?

Where is BLMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLMN last traded at $10.57 (-1.12% on volume of 2,207,393 shares), positioning the stock +14.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.23) and +33.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.91). Across its 52-week range of $5.19 to $12.63, BLMN sits at the 72.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.25 to $11.89).

Direct Sub-Reports: BLMN RQD Cockpit BLMN 12M Forecast BLMN Earnings & Move BLMN Dividends & DRIP BLMN Insiders & 13F BLMN Whale Options BLMN Profit Sankey BLMN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BLMN — Bloomin' Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.57 (-1.12% 1D, market capitalization $905.0M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.7%, gross margin of 70.2%, operating margin of 0.9%, and free cash flow yield of 10.57%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.84, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Restaurants industry. The issuer has a market capitalization of $0.9B. Gross margin is reported at 70.2%, operating margin at 0.9%, and net margin at 0.2%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) reported $3.96B in annual revenue (up from $3.95B in FY2024, +0.1% YoY) and $8.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.17B revenue, $247.4M net income) through FY2025, BLMN scaled operating cash flow to $276.7M and free cash flow to $96.8M, backed by $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 10.57% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.19 – $12.63 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 111.1x trailing P/E and 4.5x EV/EBITDA against 0.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer relationships, or sector correlation coefficients. A prospective investor should note that the Consumer Discretionary and Restaurants classification alone does not establish any second-order linkages in this dataset.

Key Question #1: Can BLMN sustain or expand its 0.9% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.96B and free cash flow of $96.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BLMN's 103.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BLMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BLMN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 23h ago

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Bloomin' Brands' Turnaround Is An Encouraging Work In Progress (NASDAQ:BLMN)

Seeking Alpha report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

Bloomin Brands(BLMN) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:BLMN

TradingView report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?

Yahoo Finance report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Transcript: Bloomin Brands Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call - Bloomin Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN)

Benzinga report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Raymond James Keeps Their Hold Rating on Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN)

The Globe and Mail report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Bloomin' Brands Insiders Added US$1.03m Of Stock To Their Holdings

Simply Wall St report covering Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BLMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.57?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BLMN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.37 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 10.57% FCF yield and ROIC of 10.7% show the cash engine generating meaningful returns despite thin reported margins.

The street is overcomplicating Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN). A 10.57% FCF yield and ROIC of 10.7% show the cash engine generating meaningful returns despite thin reported margins.. With an RQD score of 60/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $11.42.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BLMN's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.56 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $10.57

A 0.84 Altman Z-Score and a 111.1 trailing P/E leave little margin for error if free cash flow keeps declining from $532.4M in FY 2023.

I respect the product at Bloomin' Brands Inc., but the stock at $10.57 is a different story. A 0.84 Altman Z-Score and a 111.1 trailing P/E leave little margin for error if free cash flow keeps declining from $532.4M in FY 2023.. FCF yield is 10.57% and RQD sits at 60/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?