Should I buy, hold, or sell BH stock right now?

Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 59.2% gross margin (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BH's 12-month base price target is $399.01 (range $311.23 to $507.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BH

BLMN (60) FWRG (38) CNNE (34) HDL (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$393.70 +0.87% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $393.57

Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $916.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: BH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $393.70 (+0.87% 1D, market cap $916.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BH ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.2%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 111.1x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $905.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?

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Per BH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726173), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) generated $395.3M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$37.5M in net income, and $76.6M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $213.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $393.58 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BH SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 64% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$388.05+14% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$442.21-12.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$386.06+2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$393.70+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BH faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($376.73) or 200D SMA ($356.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($399.01) toward Bear Floor ($311.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

52.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE64% OF RANGE

L: $235$393.70H: $484

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (59.2% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BH

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

-7.2% ROIC with 59.2% gross margin and 8.44% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BH

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BH Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $390.3H $393.7L $390.3C $393.7VOL 76.7K

RES: $471.2SUP: $323.3SMA50: $376.7SMA200: $356.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BH Butterfly Map → + Track BH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #308 of 1009 ⚔️ BLMN vs BH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BH vs. BLMN, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) ranks #308 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #515 by equity capitalization ($916.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BH ACTIVE Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)	C-	61/100	—	59.2%	-7.2%	+0.87%	$916.0M	Benchmark Subject
BLMN Bloomin' Brands Inc.	C-	60/100	111.1x	70.2%	10.7%	-1.12%	$905.0M	/blmn-vs-bh →
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.	D-	38/100	39.7x	—	3.6%	+1.84%	$786.2M	/fwrg-vs-bh →
CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	15.5%	-10.6%	-0.06%	$743.4M	/cnne-vs-bh →
HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.	D	46/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$643.8M	/hdl-vs-bh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001726173 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) reported GAAP revenue of $395.3M (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $362.1M , and +8.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.5M, operating cash flow of $107.0M, and free cash flow of $76.6M (+301.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BH closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $213.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$395.3M	-$37.5M	$107.0M	$76.6M	$1.03B	$213.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$362.1M	-$3.8M	$49.7M	$19.1M	$866.1M	$10.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$365.3M	$54.9M	$73.0M	$73.0M	—	—

3. BH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?

Where is BH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BH last traded at $393.70 (+0.87% on volume of 76,701 shares), positioning the stock +4.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($376.73) and +10.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($356.68). Across its 52-week range of $234.92 to $483.60, BH sits at the 63.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($362.20 to $425.20).

Direct Sub-Reports: BH RQD Cockpit BH 12M Forecast BH Earnings & Move BH Dividends & DRIP BH Insiders & 13F BH Whale Options BH Profit Sankey BH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BH — Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $393.70 (+0.87% 1D, market capitalization $916.0M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.2%, gross margin of 59.2%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 8.44%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Restaurants industry..9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) reported $395.3M in annual revenue (up from $362.1M in FY2024, +9.2% YoY) and -$37.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($365.3M revenue, $54.9M net income) through FY2025, BH scaled operating cash flow to $107.0M and free cash flow to $76.6M, backed by $1.03B in total assets against $213.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.44% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $234.92 – $483.60 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations provided, and no proprietary signals. — for upstream dependencies, downstream customers, or 2nd-order bottlenecks. The only sector-level context is that BH sits in Consumer Discretionary / Restaurants, and the Roarable RQD rating's macro pillar notes sector sensitivity without specifying the mechanism.

Key Question #1: Can BH sustain or expand its — operating margin and -7.2% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $395.3M and free cash flow of $76.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $213.9M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BH's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC. NEWS RELEASE

Yahoo Finance report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Biglari Holdings Inc (BH) Stock Up 3.6% but GF Value Says Overva

GuruFocus report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

San Antonio's Majestic Theatre is set to host Biglari Holdings' 2027 shareholder meeting

Stock Titan report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Biglari Holdings (BH.A) Could Be 35% Above Fair Value Following A Sharp Pullback

Simply Wall St report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

CAVA Stock Price and Chart — NYSE:CAVA

TradingView report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in BH Response

Stock Traders Daily report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Biglari Holdings stock trades at EUR 330.00 with USD 1.4 billion market cap

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

CAKE Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:CAKE

TradingView report covering Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $393.70?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $503.94 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $76.6M in FY 2025 and an 8.44% FCF yield with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.41 point to a cash-gene

Picked up a starter position in BH in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $393.70. Free cash flow of $76.6M in FY 2025 and an 8.44% FCF yield with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.41 point to a cash-generative, reasonably levered balance sheet.. Trading inside a $234.92–$483.60 52-week range with 8.44% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Restaurants multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $393.70 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $326.77 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $393.70

A net loss of -$37.5M in FY 2025 alongside ROIC of -7.2% and a net margin of -9.5% shows the business is not currently earning returns

Fading this rally in BH at $393.70. A net loss of -$37.5M in FY 2025 alongside ROIC of -7.2% and a net margin of -9.5% shows the business is not currently earning returns on the capital it employs.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $393.70 (52-wk range $234.92–$483.60), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.