BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$107.32 +1.81% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.93

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- β€’ BUY Cap $13.31B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BJ) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $107.32 (+1.81% 1D, market cap $13.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJ ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BJ compare to FIVE and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BJ carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 18.6%, and ROIC of 25.3%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.52B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJ?
β–Ό

Per BJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001531152), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. generated $21.46B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $578.0M in net income, and $328.0M in free cash flow against $7.51B in total assets and $399.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (19% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.93 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 71.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ A-
025507510081
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk A-
Cash (15)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.4% Base Target
$140 Bull$118 Base$88 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BJ SCORES 81/100 (A-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.2% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 5 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$99.57+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$102.33+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
78
Grade A-$105.12+2.1% Next Q
Current
81
Grade A-$107.32+8.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (73) β†’ A- (81)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BJ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, BJ faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 16.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.82) or 200D SMA ($94.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($118.43) toward Bear Floor ($88.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BJβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BJ)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BJ.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BJ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BJ
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.41%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $103.4H $107.3L $103.4C $107.3VOL 2.20M
RES: $108.3SUP: $91.28SMA50: $96.82SMA200: $94.61
$109.8$102.6$95.40$88.18$80.97RES $108.3SUP $91.28$107.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BJ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BJ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #12 of 1011 βš”οΈ FIVE vs BJ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BJ vs. FIVE, BURL, DLTR, M)

Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #140 by equity capitalization ($13.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, M leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BJ ACTIVE
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.
A- 81/100 23.0x 18.6% 25.3% +1.81% $13.31B Benchmark Subject
FIVE
Five Below Inc.
B+ 76/100 37.7x 36.0% 13.8% -1.85% $13.52B /five-vs-bj β†’
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc.
D+ 58/100 25.0x 43.8% 22.8% -2.17% $15.22B /burl-vs-bj β†’
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc.
B+ 79/100 19.3x 36.4% 23.9% +1.39% $24.77B /dltr-vs-bj β†’
M
Macy's Inc
B 75/100 10.1x 38.0% 11.8% -2.47% $6.46B /m-vs-bj β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001531152

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) reported GAAP revenue of $21.46B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.50B , and +7.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $578.0M, operating cash flow of $1.03B, and free cash flow of $328.0M (+4.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BJ closed FY2025 with $7.51B in total assets against $399.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.83, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $21.46B $578.0M $1.03B $328.0M $7.51B $399.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $20.50B $534.0M $900.9M $312.9M $7.07B $398.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $19.97B $524.0M $718.9M -$179.7M $23.96B $5.61B

3. BJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BJ) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $107.32 (+1.81% 1D, market cap $13.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJ ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BJ compare to FIVE and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BJ carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 18.6%, and ROIC of 25.3%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.52B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJ?

Per BJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001531152), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. generated $21.46B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $578.0M in net income, and $328.0M in free cash flow against $7.51B in total assets and $399.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (19% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BJ last traded at $107.32 (+1.81% on volume of 1,707,359 shares), positioning the stock +10.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.82) and +13.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($94.61). Across its 52-week range of $83.21 to $108.08, BJ sits at the 96.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.2% ($101.74 to $112.90).

BJ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is BJ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BJ.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 81/100 (A-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BJ β€” BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BJ receives an RQD Score of 81 and a letter grade of A-, labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Superior Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 25.3% and an FCF yield of 2.46%. For a prospective investor, the high return on invested capital contrasts with a modest free cash flow yield, suggesting the business generates strong returns on capital while the current share price leaves a thinner cash yield to the buyer.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the investor implication is limited to the rating's directional read.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.14 per the market data, indicating moderately above-market price sensitivity to broad market moves. The sector sensitivity detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 4.83, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.18. These are the strongest pillar readings and suggest low balance-sheet stress relative to the other pillars.

Investor implications: the rating leans on balance-sheet strength and institutional positioning as upside supports, while valuation (P/E TTM of 23, forward P/E of 21.4, EV/EBITDA of 9.7) and a 2.46% FCF yield are the main tradeoffs. The RQD rating is a model-derived score, not a recommendation to act, and the components above are reported as the source frames them.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
105.41$13.31B2321.49.74.580%1.14$83.21 - $108.0825.3%

Business

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. is listed on the NYSE in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry. Per the profile, the company operates as a wholesale club retailer. The source data does not describe its customer base, product categories, or store footprint beyond the sector and industry classification. Its market capitalization is $13.3B per the profile and market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$21457.3M$816.6M$578.0MN/A$328.0M$46.2M$399.1M
FY 2024$20501.8M$772.2M$534.0MN/A$312.9M$28.3M$398.8M
FY 2023$19968.7M$800.4M$524.0MN/A$-179.7MN/A$5607.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $19968.7M in FY 2023 to $21457.3M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $524.0M to $578.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.6%, operating margin 3.8%, and net margin 2.7%, with ROIC at 25.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.83 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt fell from $5607.2M in FY 2023 to $399.1M in FY 2025, and the RQD rating reports a Debt/Equity of 0.18.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference BJ, all sourced as market wire or catalyst items. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance report that the stock "Trades Up," a Barron's piece noting that a prior BJ pick "Is Playing Out," and a Yahoo Finance question asking whether the stock is "Fully Priced After Its 77% Run." A MarketBeat item reports a reduction in BJ holdings by Curated Wealth Partners LLC and is flagged GREEN as a CATALYST; the remaining items are flagged YELLOW as market wire. The 77% run referenced in one headline is not independently verified in the market data, which shows a 52-week range of $83.21 to $108.08. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for BJ.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note the absence of mapped links as a gap in the graph rather than as evidence of no dependencies.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of BJ's revenue by product category and membership, and how does it drive the reported operating margin of 3.8%?
  • What specific 13F holder changes and options positioning sit behind the Whale 13F Flow score of 17 / 20?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions underlying the Insider Conviction pillar?
  • What drove the FY 2023 negative free cash flow of $-179.7M and the debt of $5607.2M reported that year, and how was the balance sheet reduced to $399.1M?
  • What is the source of the "77% run" referenced in one headline, and how does it reconcile with the stated 52-week range?

BJ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BJ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BJ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $107.32?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BJ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BJ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $124.38 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BJ (A- β€’ RQD 81/100) a Buy at $105.41?

Welcome to the BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 81/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Superior Risk/Reward) in Department/Specialty Retail Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $79.06 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $105.41

Pump the brakes on BJ β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BJ, but look at what you are paying: 23.0x trailing P/E with 18.6% gross margins. Unless BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.65 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $105.41

BJ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BJ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Department/Specialty Retail Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $105.41 (52-wk range $83.21 - $108.08), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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