Stock Ratings / Industrials / BCO / options

HUBG (42) CHRW (68) EXPD (80) FWRD (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brinks Company (BCO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$102.71 +0.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.61

Brinks Company (BCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $102.71 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $4.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

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Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.61 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($24.5M FCF) & 25.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$102.05+6.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$108.73-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$100.19+2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$102.71-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($105.88) and Max Pain ($107.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $143.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BCO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BCO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCO)

✓Walkthrough of BCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.60%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $102.2H $102.7L $102.2C $102.7VOL 395.2K

RES: $113.4SUP: $98.78SMA50: $105.9SMA200: $110.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCO Butterfly Map → + Track BCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCO)

Industrials Rank #259 of 485 ⚔️ HUBG vs BCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BCO vs. HUBG, CHRW, EXPD, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brinks Company (BCO) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #161 by equity capitalization ($4.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with BCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCO ACTIVE Brinks Company	D	46/100	21.1x	25.8%	19.6%	+0.51%	$4.23B	Benchmark Subject
HUBG Hub Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+0.11%	$1.63B	/hubg-vs-bco →
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.	C+	68/100	25.4x	—	22.6%	-2.21%	$14.56B	/chrw-vs-bco →
EXPD Expeditors International of Washington Inc.	B+	80/100	31.8x	—	40.3%	+0.23%	$25.85B	/expd-vs-bco →
FWRD Forward Air Corporation	E	25/100	—	—	1.7%	-1.40%	$595.2M	/fwrd-vs-bco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000078890

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brinks Company (BCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.26B (+5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.01B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $199.7M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BCO closed FY2025 with $7.34B in total assets against $3.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.26B	$199.7M	—	—	$7.34B	$3.81B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.01B	$162.9M	—	—	$6.62B	$3.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.87B	$87.7M	—	—	$5.85B	$1.37B

3. BCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

Where is BCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCO last traded at $102.71 (+0.51% on volume of 395,182 shares), positioning the stock -2.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($105.88) and -6.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.04). Across its 52-week range of $91.05 to $136.37, BCO sits at the 25.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($96.14 to $109.28).

BCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BCO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BCO.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCO RQD Cockpit BCO 12M Forecast BCO Earnings & Move BCO Dividends & DRIP BCO Insiders & 13F BCO Whale Options BCO Profit Sankey BCO News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

HUBG D-

Hub Group Inc. (Class A)

42 /100

CHRW C+

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.

68 /100

EXPD B+

Expeditors International of Washington Inc.

80 /100

FWRD E

Forward Air Corporation

25 /100

RLGT D+

Radiant Logistics Inc.

55 /100

PSIG E

PS International Group Ltd.

25 /100

BCO Core Snapshot

Market Cap $4.23B

Trailing / Fwd P/E 21.1x / 19.6x

Gross Profit Margin 25.8%

Return on Capital (ROIC) 19.6%

Free Cash Flow Yield 0.58%

12M Base Price Target $97.16

FREE TRADER TOOLS

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BCO Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 16h ago

Brinks Company (The) (BCO) Stock Forecasts

Direct Company Event TradingView • 19h ago

BCO Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 1.39B USD

Direct Company Event Stock Traders Daily • 22h ago

How Brinks Company (the) (BCO) Affects Rotational Strategy Timing

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Mugglehead Investment Magazine • 1d ago

Brink’s gets CMA acceptance in principle for UK asset sale

Direct Company Event https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Brinks Company (BCO) Rises 1.57% to $104.13, Holding Above Key Support - Wyckoff Spring

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCO — Brinks Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BCO scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 / 20 (ROIC 19.6%; FCF yield 0.58%), Whale 13F Flow at 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 / 20 (Altman Z 1.58; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 8.5).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where ROIC of 19.6% is a genuine quality signal, but the 0.58% FCF yield means the market is paying a high price for each dollar of free cash flow, which limits valuation support if growth slows. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20, indicating that the sector sensitivity profile offers little cushion in adverse conditions. The forensic balance sheet score of 10 / 20 reflects an Altman Z of 1.58 and a Debt/Equity of 8.5, both of which point to leverage-driven fragility. Upside drivers in the data are the ROIC and the Piotroski F of 7/9; the main valuation tradeoff is a trailing P/E of 21.1 against an EV/EBITDA of 8.3 with thin net margin of 3.8%. Per the RQD rating, the overall posture is a distribution warning rather than an accumulation setup.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$102.19	$4.21B	21.1	19.6	8.3	4.85	1%	1	$91.05 - $136.37	19.6%

Business

Per the profile, Brinks Company (The) (BCO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, with a market capitalization of $4.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 25.8% and operating margin is 11.1%. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond these classifications.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$5261.2M	$585.5M	$199.7M	N/A	N/A	$1725.9M	$3810.1M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)	$5011.9M	$453.0M	$162.9M	N/A	N/A	$1395.3M	$3605.2M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)	$4874.6M	$425.2M	$87.7M	N/A	N/A	N/A	$1368.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $4874.6M in FY 2023 to $5261.2M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $87.7M to $199.7M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 3.8% and ROIC is 19.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.58 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt rose from $1368.8M in FY 2023 to $3810.1M in FY 2025, and per the RQD rating the Debt/Equity is 8.5, indicating a leveraged balance sheet.

Open Questions

What drove the FY 2025 jump in debt from $3605.2M to $3810.1M, and how is that debt structured and scheduled for repayment?
Why are EPS and FCF reported as N/A across all periods, and what is the actual free cash flow generation?
What is the reported outcome and guidance behind the Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 1.39B USD?
What are the specific terms and expected impact of the UK asset sale referenced in the news wire?
What explains the gap between the 19.6% ROIC and the 0.58% FCF yield in the cash engine assessment?

BCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brinks Company (BCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 16h ago

Brinks Company (The) (BCO) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 19h ago

BCO Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 1.39B USD

TradingView report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 22h ago

How Brinks Company (the) (BCO) Affects Rotational Strategy Timing

Stock Traders Daily report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Mugglehead Investment Magazine • 1d ago

Brink’s gets CMA acceptance in principle for UK asset sale

Mugglehead Investment Magazine report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Brinks Company (BCO) Rises 1.57% to $104.13, Holding Above Key Support - Wyckoff Spring

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

Brinks (BCO) Slips 1.20% to $100.85 as Shares Sit Mid-Range Between Key Levels - Triple Top

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in BCO Response

Stock Traders Daily report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago

Boeing shares slide as investors focus on aircraft delivery delays

Boeing Co (NYSE:BA, XETRA:BCO) shares were down about 10% on Tuesday afternoon as investors focused on delays in ramping up aircraft production and the company’s reduced delivery outlook for 2026, overshadowing stronger-

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $102.71?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $110.37 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BCO (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $102.19?

Welcome to the BCO (Brinks Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $78.69 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $102.19

Pump the brakes on BCO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BCO, but look at what you are paying: 21.1x trailing P/E with 25.8% gross margins. Unless Brinks Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $123.65 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $102.19

BCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated Freight & Logistics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $102.19 (52-wk range $91.05 - $136.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.