Brinks Company (BCO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$102.71 +0.51% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.61

Brinks Company (BCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.21B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $102.71 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $4.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #277 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?
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Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.61 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk E
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$143 Bull$97 Base$76 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BCO SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($24.4M FCF) & 25.8% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$104.13+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$107.24-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$107.13-4.1% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$102.71-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($106.05) and Max Pain ($107.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $143.19.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BCO Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BCO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BCO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.60%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $100.2H $102.7L $100.2C $102.7VOL 499.9K
RES: $113.5SUP: $98.70SMA50: $106.1SMA200: $110.1
$126.6$117.0$107.4$97.70$88.06RES $113.5SUP $98.70$102.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCO)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BCO vs. HUBG, CHRW, EXPD, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brinks Company (BCO) ranks #277 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #160 by equity capitalization ($4.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with BCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCO ACTIVE
Brinks Company
D 46/100 21.1x 25.8% 19.6% +0.51% $4.21B Benchmark Subject
HUBG
Hub Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 β€” β€” β€” +0.11% $1.63B /hubg-vs-bco β†’
CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.4x β€” 22.6% -2.21% $14.89B /chrw-vs-bco β†’
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington Inc.
B+ 80/100 31.8x β€” 40.3% +0.23% $25.79B /expd-vs-bco β†’
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
E 25/100 β€” β€” 1.7% -1.40% $603.7M /fwrd-vs-bco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000078890

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brinks Company (BCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.26B (+5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.01B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $199.7M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BCO closed FY2025 with $7.34B in total assets against $3.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.26B $199.7M β€” β€” $7.34B $3.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.01B $162.9M β€” β€” $6.62B $3.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.87B $87.7M β€” β€” $5.85B $1.37B

3. BCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $102.71 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $4.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #277 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCO last traded at $102.71 (+0.51% on volume of 395,182 shares), positioning the stock -3.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($106.05) and -6.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.14). Across its 52-week range of $91.05 to $136.37, BCO sits at the 25.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.6% ($95.93 to $109.49).

BCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are BCO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BCO leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCO β€” Brinks Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BCO scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 / 20 (ROIC 19.6%; FCF yield 0.58%), Whale 13F Flow at 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 / 20 (Altman Z 1.58; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 8.5).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where ROIC of 19.6% is a genuine quality signal, but the 0.58% FCF yield means the market is paying a high price for each dollar of free cash flow, which limits valuation support if growth slows. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20, indicating that the sector sensitivity profile offers little cushion in adverse conditions. The forensic balance sheet score of 10 / 20 reflects an Altman Z of 1.58 and a Debt/Equity of 8.5, both of which point to leverage-driven fragility. Upside drivers in the data are the ROIC and the Piotroski F of 7/9; the main valuation tradeoff is a trailing P/E of 21.1 against an EV/EBITDA of 8.3 with thin net margin of 3.8%. Per the RQD rating, the overall posture is a distribution warning rather than an accumulation setup.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$102.19$4.21B21.119.68.34.851%1$91.05 - $136.3719.6%

Business

Per the profile, Brinks Company (The) (BCO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, with a market capitalization of $4.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 25.8% and operating margin is 11.1%. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond these classifications.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$5261.2M$585.5M$199.7MN/AN/A$1725.9M$3810.1M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$5011.9M$453.0M$162.9MN/AN/A$1395.3M$3605.2M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$4874.6M$425.2M$87.7MN/AN/AN/A$1368.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $4874.6M in FY 2023 to $5261.2M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $87.7M to $199.7M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 3.8% and ROIC is 19.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.58 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt rose from $1368.8M in FY 2023 to $3810.1M in FY 2025, and per the RQD rating the Debt/Equity is 8.5, indicating a leveraged balance sheet.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 jump in debt from $3605.2M to $3810.1M, and how is that debt structured and scheduled for repayment?
  • Why are EPS and FCF reported as N/A across all periods, and what is the actual free cash flow generation?
  • What is the reported outcome and guidance behind the Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 1.39B USD?
  • What are the specific terms and expected impact of the UK asset sale referenced in the news wire?
  • What explains the gap between the 19.6% ROIC and the 0.58% FCF yield in the cash engine assessment?

BCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brinks Company (BCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $102.71?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $110.37 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BCO (D β€’ RQD 46/100) a Buy at $102.19?

Welcome to the BCO (Brinks Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $78.69 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $102.19

Pump the brakes on BCO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BCO, but look at what you are paying: 21.1x trailing P/E with 25.8% gross margins. Unless Brinks Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $123.65 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $102.19

BCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated Freight & Logistics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $102.19 (52-wk range $91.05 - $136.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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