ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Materials / AUGO / insiders
BVN (45) MP (31) CLF (39) HBM (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$66.22 -15.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.25

Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.56B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AUGO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AUGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Aura Minerals Inc. (NASDAQ: AUGO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $66.22 (-15.43% 1D, market cap $6.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AUGO ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AUGO compare to BVN and MP in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), AUGO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.01B) and MP (MP Materials Corp.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AUGO?
▼

For Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #43 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.25 (-2.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$116 Bull$67 Base$52 Bear
📬 FREE AUGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AUGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AUGO SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$87.94-4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$84.25-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$81.23-18.5% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$66.22+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AUGO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AUGO faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($83.97) or 200D SMA ($76.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.52) toward Bear Floor ($51.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AUGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AUGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AUGO Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AUGO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AUGO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AUGO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AUGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.95%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $81.82H $81.82L $66.22C $66.22VOL 478.7K
RES: $93.30SUP: $65.62SMA50: $83.97SMA200: $76.05
$96.67$83.49$70.32$57.14$43.96RES $93.30SUP $65.62$66.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AUGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AUGO Butterfly Map → + Track AUGO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AUGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AUGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AUGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AUGO)

Materials Rank #43 of 270 ⚔️ BVN vs AUGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AUGO vs. BVN, MP, CLF, HBM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) ranks #43 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #60 by equity capitalization ($6.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUGO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AUGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AUGO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AUGO ACTIVE
Aura Minerals Inc.
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -15.43% $6.56B Benchmark Subject
BVN
Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -4.24% $7.01B /bvn-vs-augo →
MP
MP Materials Corp.
E 31/100 — — -6.8% -4.97% $7.42B /mp-vs-augo →
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
D- 39/100 — -4.6% -9.4% -0.07% $8.14B /clf-vs-augo →
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.11% $10.38B /hbm-vs-augo →

2. AUGO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $6.56B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. AUGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AUGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Aura Minerals Inc. (NASDAQ: AUGO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $66.22 (-15.43% 1D, market cap $6.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AUGO ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AUGO compare to BVN and MP in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), AUGO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.01B) and MP (MP Materials Corp.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AUGO?

For Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #43 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AUGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AUGO last traded at $66.22 (-15.43% on volume of 1,667,437 shares), positioning the stock -21.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($83.97) and -12.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.05). Across its 52-week range of $31.15 to $110.32, AUGO sits at the 44.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($58.27 to $74.17).

AUGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AUGO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AUGO leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AUGO RQD Cockpit AUGO 12M Forecast AUGO Earnings & Move AUGO Dividends & DRIP AUGO Insiders & 13F AUGO Whale Options AUGO Profit Sankey AUGO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AUGO — Aura Minerals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AUGO carries an RQD Score of 59, letter grade C-, and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.16; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

Read together, the forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively low financial-distress risk per the sourced Altman, Piotroski, and leverage metrics. The cash-generation and macro pillars are mid-range, and the whale-flow pillar is weakest, suggesting institutional conviction is not a clear tailwind in the data. On valuation, the per-the-market-data P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and forward P/E of 27.6 sit well above the 2.21% FCF yield, which implies the share price embeds expectations for earnings growth that the current cash yield does not yet demonstrate. A prospective investor should weigh the upside drivers (balance-sheet strength, a 0.39 Debt/Equity ratio, and recent production news) against the valuation tradeoff and the sourced 52-week range of $31.15–$110.32, which shows very wide price dispersion. The rating is a neutral, cautious read, not a directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$78.30$6.56B32.827.6212.380%1.16$31.15 - $110.329.9%

Business

Aura Minerals Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%, with a gross margin shown as 0%. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or detailed revenue mix.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Record production (Seeking Alpha, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline reports the stock rose 11% after Q3 production hit a record.
  • Record production discount question (Yahoo Finance, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline asks whether the stock still trades at a discount following record production.
  • Record GEO output (Simply Wall St, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline questions whether record GEO output changes the bull case.
  • Market wire items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingView; YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): General market-action and estimates coverage, without specific fundamental content in the summaries.
  • Risk watch (GuruFocus, RED, RISK WATCH): Headline reports shares fell 4.3% and GF Value says the stock is still overvalued.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the period-by-period revenue, operating income, net income, cash, and debt figures behind the reported margins and ROIC?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution, given that analyst data is absent?
  • Who are the top institutional holders and what is the 13F accumulation trend underlying the whale-flow pillar score of 9/20?
  • What drove the wide 52-week range of $31.15–$110.32, and what share of that move reflects production versus broader sector or macro factors?
  • What is the company's specific production volume, cost position, and reserve base, given that the record-production headlines do not quantify output?

AUGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AUGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AUGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $66.22?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AUGO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AUGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $84.56 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AUGO (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $78.30?

Welcome to the AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.07 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $78.30

Pump the brakes on AUGO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AUGO, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Aura Minerals Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $90.05 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $78.30

AUGO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AUGO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $78.30 (52-wk range $31.15 - $110.32), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%