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Aramark (ARMK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$54.24 +0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.19

Aramark (ARMK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARMK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $54.24 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $14.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #317 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.68B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $11.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?
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Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $2.22B in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.19 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$66 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE ARMK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARMK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARMK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.98 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.1% FCF Margin ($179.2M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$54.75+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$55.71-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$55.56-2.4% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$54.24+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARMK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ARMK faces multiple-compression risk if 45.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.87) or 200D SMA ($50.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.73) toward Bear Floor ($42.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARMK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARMK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARMK Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARMK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARMK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARMK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ARMK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.13%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $56.02H $56.02L $53.96C $54.24VOL 4.22M
RES: $56.08SUP: $51.26SMA50: $55.87SMA200: $50.33
$64.25$57.61$50.98$44.34$37.70RES $56.08SUP $51.26$54.242026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARMK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARMK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARMK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARMK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARMK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #317 of 1009 ⚔️ YUMC vs ARMK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARMK vs. YUMC, TXRH, EAT, DRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aramark (ARMK) ranks #317 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #130 by equity capitalization ($14.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while EAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with ARMK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARMK ACTIVE
Aramark
C- 60/100 45.2x — 11.4% +0.52% $14.23B Benchmark Subject
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc.
B- 71/100 16.7x — 14.9% +2.84% $15.68B /yumc-vs-armk →
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse Inc.
B+ 76/100 29.6x — 28.3% +2.55% $11.98B /txrh-vs-armk →
EAT
Brinker International Inc.
A- 82/100 18.8x — 53.3% -0.16% $8.81B /eat-vs-armk →
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc.
C 64/100 20.7x 20.3% 19.5% +1.21% $24.91B /dri-vs-armk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0001584509 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Aramark (ARMK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.22B (+12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.98B , and +26.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $326.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ARMK closed FY2025 with $13.54B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $2.22B $326.4M — — $13.54B $3.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $1.98B $262.5M — — $12.71B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $1.75B $674.1M $766.4M $766.4M $8.12B $1.90B

3. ARMK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $54.24 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $14.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #317 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.68B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $11.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?

Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $2.22B in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARMK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARMK last traded at $54.24 (+0.52% on volume of 2,898,831 shares), positioning the stock -2.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.87) and +7.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.33). Across its 52-week range of $35.07 to $62.65, ARMK sits at the 69.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($51.31 to $57.17).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARMK — Aramark: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aramark (ARMK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $54.24 (+0.52% 1D, market capitalization $14.23B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.91x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.98, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aramark (ARMK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Restaurants industry. Per the market data, its operating margin is 19.1% and its net margin is 7.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-03), Aramark (ARMK) reported $2.22B in annual revenue (up from $1.98B in FY2024, +12.1% YoY) and $326.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.75B revenue, $674.1M net income) through FY2025, ARMK scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $13.54B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.26% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.07 – $62.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 45.2x trailing P/E and 18.0x EV/EBITDA against 19.1% operating margins and a 0.91x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), ARMK carries a macro regime beta of 0.91 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARMK sustain or expand its 19.1% operating margin and 11.4% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.22B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.17B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARMK's 42.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.91x)?

ARMK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aramark (ARMK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARMK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARMK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $54.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARMK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARMK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.15 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and a 0.91 beta point to a financially sound, defensive profile with an earnings estimate upgrade in the news

Here is why I am bullish on ARMK here at $53.96: Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and a 0.91 beta point to a financially sound, defensive profile with an earnings estimate upgrade in the news flow.. Compare ARMK's 19.1% operating margin and 11.4% ROIC against the rest of Restaurants. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $51.26 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $53.96 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.47 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $53.96

A 1.26% FCF yield against a 45.2 P/E and rising debt from $1.90B to $3.17B leaves little valuation cushion.

I respect the product at Aramark, but the stock at $53.96 is a different story. A 1.26% FCF yield against a 45.2 P/E and rising debt from $1.90B to $3.17B leaves little valuation cushion.. FCF yield is 1.26% and RQD sits at 60/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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