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American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$26.35 -2.59% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.18

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.31B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, American Superconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: AMSC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $26.35 (-2.59% 1D, market cap $1.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMSC ranks #671 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMSC compare to FELE and GNRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), AMSC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.21B) and GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $11.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMSC?
β–Ό

Per AMSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000880807), American Superconductor Corporation generated $299.2M in revenue (+34.3% YoY), $133.8M in net income, and $18.3M in free cash flow against $719.5M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.18 (-0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$64 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AMSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AMSC SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.46 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 3.8% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$28.71-10.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$25.70+7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$27.63-4.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$26.35-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMSC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AMSC currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.66) and Max Pain ($27.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $64.36.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMSCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAMSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AMSC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AMSC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMSC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AMSC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.61%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $28.05H $28.05L $26.35C $26.35VOL 856.6K
RES: $28.68SUP: $22.64SMA50: $28.66SMA200: $35.31
$62.71$52.24$41.77$31.30$20.83RES $28.68SUP $22.64$26.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMSC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMSC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #671 of 1009 βš”οΈ FELE vs AMSC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMSC vs. FELE, GNRC, INIO, SCWO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) ranks #671 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #475 by equity capitalization ($1.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMSC leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while INIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. FELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AMSC at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMSC ACTIVE
American Superconductor Corporation
D 44/100 10.2x 30.5% 2.2% -2.59% $1.31B Benchmark Subject
FELE
Franklin Electric Co. Inc.
C- 61/100 29.1x 35.5% 13.2% +5.16% $4.21B /fele-vs-amsc β†’
GNRC
Generac Holdlings Inc.
D+ 52/100 74.3x 38.3% 6.6% +2.08% $11.68B /gnrc-vs-amsc β†’
INIO
INNIO N.V.
D 45/100 32.8x β€” 18.6% +0.68% $12.22B /inio-vs-amsc β†’
SCWO
374Water Inc.
E 26/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% +3.25% $43.6M /scwo-vs-amsc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0000880807 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) reported GAAP revenue of $299.2M (+34.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $222.8M , and +839.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $133.8M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $18.3M (-29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMSC closed FY2025 with $719.5M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.46, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $299.2M $133.8M $23.1M $18.3M $719.5M $6.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $222.8M -$133.81B $28.3M $25.9M $310.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $31.8M $6.03B $2.1M $2.1M β€” β€”

3. AMSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Superconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: AMSC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $26.35 (-2.59% 1D, market cap $1.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMSC ranks #671 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMSC compare to FELE and GNRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), AMSC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.21B) and GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $11.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMSC?

Per AMSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000880807), American Superconductor Corporation generated $299.2M in revenue (+34.3% YoY), $133.8M in net income, and $18.3M in free cash flow against $719.5M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMSC last traded at $26.35 (-2.59% on volume of 671,569 shares), positioning the stock -8.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.66) and -25.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.31). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $61.30, AMSC sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.7% ($23.27 to $29.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMSC β€” American Superconductor Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $26.35 (-2.59% 1D, market capitalization $1.31B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.2%, gross margin of 30.5%, operating margin of 3.8%, and free cash flow yield of 1.34%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.46, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.01x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

American Superconductor Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Metal Fabrications industry. β€” for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail. The profile establishes sector and industry classification and market capitalization of $1.4B only.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) reported $299.2M in annual revenue (up from $222.8M in FY2024, +34.3% YoY) and $133.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($31.8M revenue, $6.03B net income) through FY2025, AMSC scaled operating cash flow to $23.1M and free cash flow to $18.3M, backed by $719.5M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 44/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.34% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.08 – $61.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.2x trailing P/E and 78.5x EV/EBITDA against 3.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be established from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMSC sustain or expand its 3.8% operating margin and 2.2% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $299.2M and free cash flow of $18.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMSC's 9.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AMSC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AMSC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMSC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $26.35?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMSC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMSC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $32.19 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with a Z-score of 3.46, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity

Don't sleep on AMSC's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with a Z-score of 3.46, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.01, and the news wire flags record orders and strong backlog.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (44/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 44/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $27.05 and keeping dry powder in case we test $25.16.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.72 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $27.05

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the fundamental cash engine scores only 5/20 with ROIC of 2.2% and FCF yield of 1.34%, and the news wire r

I respect the product at American Superconductor Corporation, but the stock at $27.05 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the fundamental cash engine scores only 5/20 with ROIC of 2.2% and FCF yield of 1.34%, and the news wire reports an 8.6% stock decline.. FCF yield is 1.34% and RQD sits at 44/100 (D) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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