Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $159.19 (-1.62% 1D, market cap $2.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMR ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AMR carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B) and NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.4%, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
Per AMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704715), Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. generated $2.12B in revenue (-28.0% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and $144.9M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($144.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 4.18 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While AMR currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($186.60) and Max Pain ($167.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $266.51.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) slipped -1.62% to $159.19, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($133.64 – $253.82). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.debelegger.nl report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Nexa Resources (NEXA) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +45.00% and +0.56%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -28.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) ranks #167 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #119 by equity capitalization ($2.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AMR at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMR
ACTIVE
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -4.1% | -1.62% | $2.05B | Benchmark Subject |
| BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | E | 24/100 | — | — | -2.1% | -0.22% | $2.71B | /btu-vs-amr → |
| NRP Natural Resource Partners LP | B- | 70/100 | — | — | 18.4% | -0.75% | $1.54B | /nrp-vs-amr → |
| CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -4.0% | -0.25% | $4.33B | /cnr-vs-amr → |
| HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 79.3x | 22.4% | 1.8% | +0.41% | $4.52B | /hcc-vs-amr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.12B (-28.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.95B , and -38.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.7M, operating cash flow of $144.9M, and free cash flow of $144.9M (-75.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMR closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.18, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.12B | -$61.7M | $144.9M | $144.9M | $2.28B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.95B | $187.6M | $579.9M | $579.9M | $2.44B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.46B | $722.0M | $851.2M | $851.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $159.19 (-1.62% 1D, market cap $2.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMR ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AMR carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B) and NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.4%, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
Per AMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704715), Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. generated $2.12B in revenue (-28.0% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and $144.9M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AMR last traded at $159.19 (-1.62% on volume of 180,479 shares), positioning the stock -14.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($186.60) and -13.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($184.58). Across its 52-week range of $133.64 to $253.82, AMR sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($142.48 to $175.90).
Why AMR Stock slipped -1.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AMR scores 43 out of 100, grading D- with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC -4.1%; FCF yield 7.06%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 4.18; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Whale 13F Flow, and the strongest relative pillar is the Fundamental Cash Engine, which pairs negative ROIC with a positive FCF yield. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a mixed picture: the cash-flow yield and balance-sheet metrics provide some support, but negative returns on capital, weak institutional flow, and a sub-50 composite score weigh against the stock today. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because forward and trailing earnings multiples are not available in the source data.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector and Coal Mining industry, per the company profile. The profile does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond its sector classification. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $2122.6M for FY 2025, which indicates a substantial operating business. Further detail on product mix, end markets, and how the company generates income is not available in source data.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2122.6M | $-61.4M | $-61.7M | N/A | $144.9M | $366.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $2946.6M | $227.9M | $187.6M | N/A | $579.9M | $481.6M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $3456.6M | $863.1M | $722.0M | N/A | $851.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined in each reported period, from $3456.6M in FY 2023 to $2122.6M in FY 2025, and the company moved from positive operating and net income to losses in FY 2025. Per the market data, the gross margin is 0%, the operating margin is -2.9%, the net margin is -2.9%, and ROIC is -4.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.18, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $481.6M in FY 2024 to $366.0M in FY 2025, and FCF also declined over the same period.
Per the recent news feed, the most notable item is a RISK WATCH headline reporting that the company expects a Q3 net loss of $0.73 a share, compared with a FactSet estimate of a $0.51 loss. The other items are marked MARKET WIRE and reference a stock that is trading above fair value after a 209% five-year run, a sharp pullback in the share price, and analyst-style forecasts. The news items are largely aggregator coverage without specific operational detail. The Butterfly supply-chain graph shows no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals for this issuer.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. Investors should note that this absence reflects the limits of the available data rather than confirmation that no such dependencies exist.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.debelegger.nl report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AMR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AMR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $161.81 (52-wk range $133.64 - $253.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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