Altimmune Inc. (ALT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.04 -4.67% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.02

Altimmune Inc. (ALT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E โ€ข RED ALERT Cap $396.8M
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
โšก INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW โ€ข $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALT Below โ€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
โ–ผ

As of 2026-11-03, Altimmune Inc. (NASDAQ: ALT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $2.04 (-4.67% 1D, market cap $396.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALT ranks #970 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALT compare to AVTX and ASMB in the Health Care sector?
โ–ผ

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALT carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of โ€”, and ROIC of -34.7%. By comparison, AVTX (Avalo Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $384.5M) and ASMB (Assembly Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $409.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASMB leads on capital efficiency (-6.5% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALT?
โ–ผ

Per ALT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326190), Altimmune Inc. generated $41.0K in revenue (+105.0% YoY), -$88.1M in net income, and -$67.5M in free cash flow against $279.9M in total assets and $34.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.02 (-1.03%)๐Ÿงฌ Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) โ€ข 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 ยท E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT โ€ข E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E ยท Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE ALT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY ALT SCORES 21/100 (E) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.30 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 5/9

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$2.43-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$2.30-11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$2.04+0% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$2.04-11.6% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: E (29) โ†’ E (21)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While ALT currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.79) and Max Pain ($2.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.76.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALTโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œALT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
ยฑ10.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALT)

โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot) โ€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ALT.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALT)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of ALT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.45%๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.14H $2.14L $2.04C $2.04VOL 3.52M
RES: $3.69SUP: $1.97SMA50: $2.79SMA200: $3.26
$4.17$3.58$2.99$2.40$1.81RES $3.69SUP $1.97$2.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +105.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALT today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALT)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALT vs. AVTX, ASMB, RZLT, RLMD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Altimmune Inc. (ALT) ranks #970 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #475 by equity capitalization ($396.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.5% ROIC and โ€” gross margin. RZLT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with ALT at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALT ACTIVE
Altimmune Inc.
E 21/100 โ€” โ€” -34.7% -4.67% $396.8M Benchmark Subject
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics Inc.
E 17/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -3.63% $384.5M /avtx-vs-alt โ†’
ASMB
Assembly Biosciences Inc.
E 16/100 โ€” โ€” -6.5% -3.50% $409.9M /asmb-vs-alt โ†’
RZLT
Rezolute Inc. (NV)
D- 37/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -4.13% $382.1M /rzlt-vs-alt โ†’
RLMD
Relmada Therapeutics Inc.
E 30/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% +4.07% $381.9M /rlmd-vs-alt โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001326190

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Altimmune Inc. (ALT) reported GAAP revenue of $41.0K (+105.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.0K , and -90.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$88.1M, operating cash flow of -$67.5M, and free cash flow of -$67.5M (+15.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALT closed FY2025 with $279.9M in total assets against $34.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $41.0K -$88.1M -$67.5M -$67.5M $279.9M $34.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $20.0K -$95.1M -$79.8M -$79.8M $139.3M โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $426.0K -$88.4M -$75.8M -$75.8M โ€” โ€”

3. ALT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Altimmune Inc. (NASDAQ: ALT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $2.04 (-4.67% 1D, market cap $396.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALT ranks #970 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALT compare to AVTX and ASMB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALT carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of โ€”, and ROIC of -34.7%. By comparison, AVTX (Avalo Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $384.5M) and ASMB (Assembly Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $409.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASMB leads on capital efficiency (-6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALT?

Per ALT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326190), Altimmune Inc. generated $41.0K in revenue (+105.0% YoY), -$88.1M in net income, and -$67.5M in free cash flow against $279.9M in total assets and $34.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALT last traded at $2.04 (-4.67% on volume of 3,519,884 shares), positioning the stock -26.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.79) and -37.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.26). Across its 52-week range of $1.99 to $6.44, ALT sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ10.7% ($1.82 to $2.26).

ALT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

What is ALT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ALT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF โ€ข RQD 21/100 (E) โœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALT โ€” Altimmune Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALT carries an RQD Score of 22 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell โ€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -34.7% and FCF yield is -16.23%. For an investor, this means the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it, so valuation cannot be anchored to cash earnings.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, signaling limited evidence of sustained large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates insider activity does not provide a supportive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity assessment. The score suggests the stock does not offer a favorable macro-regime fit in the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.3, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.15. The Altman figure sits in a distress-oriented range, so balance sheet resilience is a material concern despite low leverage.

Taken together, the pillars point to a high-risk profile: weak cash generation, limited institutional and insider support, and a distressed-leaning Altman score. Upside drivers would need to come from a shift in cash-flow trajectory or external catalysts, neither of which is established in the source data. Valuation tradeoffs are unresolved because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable.

Business

Altimmune Inc. (ALT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations, per the profile. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $0.4B. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue was $0.0M in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and $0.4M in FY 2023. Not available in source data: product lines, customer base, and revenue model detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-94.5M$-88.1MN/A$-67.5M$43.8M$34.3M
FY 2024$0.0M$-103.2M$-95.1MN/A$-79.8M$36.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.4M$-95.9M$-88.4MN/A$-75.8MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -34.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.3 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.15. The reported losses and negative free cash flow across all three periods indicate sustained cash consumption.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed (all items tagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE):

  • Pemvidutide data presentation: A headline states Altimmune will present new data on pemvidutide in serious liver diseases at AASLD The Liver Meeting 2026. This is the most substantive pipeline catalyst referenced.
  • CFO share surrender: A report states the CFO surrendered 4,379 shares solely to cover stock-vesting taxes. This is a routine tax-withholding event and not a discretionary insider sale.
  • Options and ownership coverage: Moomoo options chain and MarketBeat institutional ownership items were referenced without specific holdings detail.
  • Analyst forecast coverage: A Simply Wall St forecast headline was referenced without figures.
  • Insider selling alert: A headline references a pullback from $2.43 resistance on 2026-10-14 alongside insider selling alerts. The source does not provide transaction detail.

Risk watch items: the sustained losses, negative FCF, and Altman distress-range score. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What is the pemvidutide clinical and regulatory timeline, and what does the AASLD data presentation show?
  • What is the cash runway given FY 2025 cash of $43.8M against FCF of $-67.5M?
  • Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and what would they show?
  • What drove the FY 2025 debt of $34.3M, and what are its terms and maturities?
  • What were the specific insider selling transactions referenced in the October 2026 alert?

ALT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Altimmune Inc. (ALT) โ€ข Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

๐Ÿ’ฌ Jump to ALT Debate Forum (3) โ†“
๐Ÿ”ฅ THE ROAR PIT โ€ข LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board โ€” What's Your Call at $2.04?

๐Ÿ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALT ๐Ÿป 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALT:
๐Ÿ’ก Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $1.88 (-12.1%)
๐Ÿ“Œ Pinned Debate

๐Ÿ”ฅ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALT (E โ€ข RQD 22/100) a Buy at $2.14?

Welcome to the ALT (Altimmune Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell โ€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (๐Ÿ‚ Bull or ๐Ÿป Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $1.63 (-23.8%)
Spot @ $2.14

Pump the brakes on ALT โ€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Altimmune Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader ๐Ÿ‚ BULLISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $2.61 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $2.14

ALT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.14 (52-wk range $1.99 - $6.44), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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