Why ALT Stock slipped -0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.02 -0.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01

Altimmune Inc. (ALT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $396.8M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Altimmune Inc. (NASDAQ: ALT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $2.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $396.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALT ranks #970 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALT compare to AVTX and ASMB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALT carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -34.7%. By comparison, AVTX (Avalo Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $384.5M) and ASMB (Assembly Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $409.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASMB leads on capital efficiency (-6.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALT?
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Per ALT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326190), Altimmune Inc. generated $41.0K in revenue (+105.0% YoY), -$88.1M in net income, and -$67.5M in free cash flow against $279.9M in total assets and $34.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01 (-0.37%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALT SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.30 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$2.43-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$2.30-11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$2.04-1% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$2.02-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALT currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.79) and Max Pain ($2.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ALT Stock slipped -0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Altimmune Inc. (ALT) slipped -0.98% to $2.02, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.99 – $6.44). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.99 – $6.44) with RSI-14 at 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.7% around $2.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ALT Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ALT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.14H $2.14L $2.02C $2.02VOL 3.52M
RES: $3.69SUP: $1.97SMA50: $2.79SMA200: $3.26
$4.17$3.58$2.99$2.40$1.81RES $3.69SUP $1.97$2.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +105.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALT)

Health Care Rank #970 of 1016 ⚔️ AVTX vs ALT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALT vs. AVTX, ASMB, RZLT, RLMD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Altimmune Inc. (ALT) ranks #970 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #475 by equity capitalization ($396.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. RZLT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with ALT at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALT ACTIVE
Altimmune Inc.
E 21/100 — — -34.7% -0.98% $396.8M Benchmark Subject
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics Inc.
E 17/100 — — -35.0% +2.09% $384.5M /avtx-vs-alt →
ASMB
Assembly Biosciences Inc.
E 16/100 — — -6.5% -3.08% $409.9M /asmb-vs-alt →
RZLT
Rezolute Inc. (NV)
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -1.77% $382.1M /rzlt-vs-alt →
RLMD
Relmada Therapeutics Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% +7.26% $381.9M /rlmd-vs-alt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001326190

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Altimmune Inc. (ALT) reported GAAP revenue of $41.0K (+105.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.0K , and -90.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$88.1M, operating cash flow of -$67.5M, and free cash flow of -$67.5M (+15.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALT closed FY2025 with $279.9M in total assets against $34.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $41.0K -$88.1M -$67.5M -$67.5M $279.9M $34.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $20.0K -$95.1M -$79.8M -$79.8M $139.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $426.0K -$88.4M -$75.8M -$75.8M — —

3. ALT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Altimmune Inc. (NASDAQ: ALT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $2.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $396.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALT ranks #970 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALT compare to AVTX and ASMB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALT carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -34.7%. By comparison, AVTX (Avalo Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $384.5M) and ASMB (Assembly Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $409.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASMB leads on capital efficiency (-6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALT?

Per ALT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326190), Altimmune Inc. generated $41.0K in revenue (+105.0% YoY), -$88.1M in net income, and -$67.5M in free cash flow against $279.9M in total assets and $34.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALT last traded at $2.02 (-0.98% on volume of 2,740,663 shares), positioning the stock -27.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.79) and -38.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.26). Across its 52-week range of $1.99 to $6.44, ALT sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($1.80 to $2.24).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALT — Altimmune Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:48Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ALT carries an RQD Score of 22 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -34.7% and FCF yield is -16.23%. For an investor, this means the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it, so valuation cannot be anchored to cash earnings.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, signaling limited evidence of sustained large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates insider activity does not provide a supportive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity assessment. The score suggests the stock does not offer a favorable macro-regime fit in the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.3, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.15. The Altman figure sits in a distress-oriented range, so balance sheet resilience is a material concern despite low leverage.

Taken together, the pillars point to a high-risk profile: weak cash generation, limited institutional and insider support, and a distressed-leaning Altman score. Upside drivers would need to come from a shift in cash-flow trajectory or external catalysts, neither of which is established in the source data. Valuation tradeoffs are unresolved because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Altimmune Inc. (ALT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations,..4B. Reported revenue was — in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and $0.4M in FY 2023. —: product lines, customer base, and revenue model detail.

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -34.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.3 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.15. The reported losses and negative free cash flow across all three periods indicate sustained cash consumption.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Pemvidutide is slated for new data presentation at AASLD The Liver Meeting 2026, a potential pipeline catalyst. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -34.7%, FCF yield -16.23%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.99 – $6.44 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative ROIC of -34.7% and FCF yield of -16.23% with an Altman Z-Score of 1.3 signal sustained cash burn and distress-range balance sheet risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the stated beta of 1.0: — 2nd-order bottlenecks: — Investors should monitor pemvidutide trial and data readouts as the primary pipeline-linked ripple, since that is the only referenced development that could affect cash-burn trajectory.

  • Key Question #1: What is the pemvidutide clinical and regulatory timeline, and what does the AASLD data presentation show?
  • Key Question #2: What is the cash runway given FY 2025 cash of $43.8M against FCF of -$67.5M?
  • Key Question #3: Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and what would they show?

ALT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Altimmune Inc. (ALT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.59 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Pemvidutide is slated for new data presentation at AASLD The Liver Meeting 2026, a potential pipeline catalyst.

Pemvidutide is slated for new data presentation at AASLD The Liver Meeting 2026, a potential pipeline catalyst.. When you look under the hood at ALT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -34.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $6.44. My 12M target is $2.59.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ALT's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.75 (-14.2%)
Spot @ $2.04

Negative ROIC of -34.7% and FCF yield of -16.23% with an Altman Z-Score of 1.3 signal sustained cash burn and distress-range balance sh

Careful chasing ALT at $2.04. Negative ROIC of -34.7% and FCF yield of -16.23% with an Altman Z-Score of 1.3 signal sustained cash burn and distress-range balance sheet risk.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.75 on multiple compression.

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