Allegion plc (ALLE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$186.44 -0.33% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.78

Allegion plc (ALLE) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $15.77B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALLE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $186.44 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $15.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALLE ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALLE compare to ROL and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ALLE carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $19.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLE?
β–Ό

Per ALLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001579241), Allegion plc generated $4.07B in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $643.8M in net income, and $600.8M in free cash flow against $5.22B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.78 (+0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 14.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- Β· Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (18)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$241 Bull$204 Base$153 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALLE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALLE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALLE SCORES 79/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.7% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (81.9) create a -9 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$153.17+2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$157.03+15% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$180.55+3.3% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$186.44+8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (71) β†’ B+ (79)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALLE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, ALLE faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 42.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($159.45) or 200D SMA ($150.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($204.06) toward Bear Floor ($152.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALLEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALLE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.91% Total Yield
1.11% Cash ($2.07/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
18.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $20,042

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $583/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.2K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.2K
Yr 6
$16.3K
Yr 7
$17.4K
Yr 8
$18.7K
Yr 9
$20.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ALLE & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ALLE and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ALLE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.72%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $180.7H $187.1L $180.7C $186.4VOL 1.49M
RES: $190.2SUP: $145.4SMA50: $159.5SMA200: $150.7
$194.1$175.4$156.6$137.9$119.2RES $190.2SUP $145.4$186.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALLE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALLE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALLE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALLE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALLE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #27 of 1011 βš”οΈ ROL vs ALLE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALLE vs. ROL, APG, AER, ADT)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegion plc (ALLE) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #123 by equity capitalization ($15.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ALLE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALLE ACTIVE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% -0.33% $15.77B Benchmark Subject
ROL
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x β€” 28.5% -0.09% $16.58B /rol-vs-alle β†’
APG
APi Group Corporation
C 65/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% -1.51% $19.46B /apg-vs-alle β†’
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x β€” 9.2% -0.74% $24.66B /aer-vs-alle β†’
ADT
ADT Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.1x β€” 9.3% -0.10% $7.21B /adt-vs-alle β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001579241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegion plc (ALLE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.07B (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.77B , and +11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $643.8M, operating cash flow of $783.8M, and free cash flow of $600.8M (+3.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALLE closed FY2025 with $5.22B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.07, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.07B $643.8M $783.8M $600.8M $5.22B $1.98B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.77B $597.5M $675.0M $582.9M $4.49B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.65B $540.6M $600.6M $436.3M $8.68B $2.03B

3. ALLE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $186.44 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $15.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALLE ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALLE compare to ROL and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ALLE carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $19.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLE?

Per ALLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001579241), Allegion plc generated $4.07B in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $643.8M in net income, and $600.8M in free cash flow against $5.22B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALLE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALLE last traded at $186.44 (-0.33% on volume of 1,245,025 shares), positioning the stock +16.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($159.45) and +23.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($150.73). Across its 52-week range of $125.00 to $189.59, ALLE sits at the 95.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 81.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.7% ($175.81 to $197.07).

ALLE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does ALLE pay a dividend and is it safe?

Allegion plc (ALLE) offers a 1.11% cash dividend yield ($2.07 annualized) and 2.91% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 79/100 (B+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALLE β€” Allegion plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 79 out of 100, a letter grade of B+, labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 18.4% and an FCF yield of 3.81%. For an investor, this suggests the business generates returns above typical cost-of-capital thresholds, though the 3.81% FCF yield means the stock is not cheap on a cash-flow basis at the current price.
  • Whale 13F flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and points to sustained institutional interest; the underlying 13F records themselves are not provided in source data.
  • Insider conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider and congressional trade-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.9 with a noted sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar: a beta below 1 implies somewhat lower market sensitivity, but the score signals that the stock's fit with the prevailing macro regime is only moderate.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.07, the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.96. These figures point to a financially sound balance sheet with strong scoring on quality tests.

Translated into investor implications: the composite rating points to strong quality and institutional support, with the main tradeoffs being valuation (P/E of 24.5 TTM and EV/EBITDA of 17.1, per the market data) and a macro-fit score that lags the other pillars. Upside drivers in the data are the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars; the valuation multiples and the more moderate macro-fit score are the points a prospective investor should weigh against them. This is an analytical summary of the source data, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
187.06$15.77B24.522.817.17.641.11%0.9$125 - $189.5918.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4067.3M$859.5M$643.8MN/A$600.8M$356.2M$1979.9M
FY 2024$3772.2M$780.7M$597.5MN/A$582.9M$503.8M$1977.6M
FY 2023$3650.8M$708.4M$540.6MN/A$436.3MN/A$2030.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose across the three reported fiscal years, and debt was broadly stable, moving from $2030.0M to $1979.9M. Per the market data, gross margin is 45.2%, operating margin 21.1%, and net margin 15.8%, with ROIC at 18.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.96. Cash balances fell from $503.8M to $356.2M over the period shown.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines reference ALLE: a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether the stock is outpacing industrial products peers (flagged YELLOW, market wire); a MarketWatch report that the stock underperformed competitors on a Thursday despite daily gains (GREEN, catalyst); a Yahoo Finance item on why the stock rose that day (YELLOW, market wire); a Yahoo Finance piece describing the stock as trading near fair value on a door deal (YELLOW, market wire); a Yahoo Finance piece suggesting the stock could be 18% overvalued after a raised outlook (GREEN, catalyst); and a Yahoo Finance piece on a lifted full-year guidance and whether the stock is already pricey (YELLOW, market wire). The headlines point to a raised full-year outlook and a valuation debate as the central catalysts. Specific guidance figures and the details of the door deal are not available in source data. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded (sector: Consumer Discretionary; industry: Diversified Commercial Services; supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

  • What are the specific raised full-year guidance figures referenced in the news headlines, and how do they compare with prior guidance?
  • What products and end markets generate ALLE's revenue, and how is revenue split across them?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional trade records underlying the 16/20 insider and 18/20 whale pillar scores?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range, given the analyst data is absent?
  • What drove the cash balance decline from $503.8M to $356.2M while FCF remained positive?

ALLE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegion plc (ALLE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALLE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALLE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $186.44?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALLE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALLE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.73 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALLE (B+ β€’ RQD 79/100) a Buy at $187.06?

Welcome to the ALLE (Allegion plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 79/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $145.91 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $187.06

Pump the brakes on ALLE β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALLE, but look at what you are paying: 24.5x trailing P/E with 45.2% gross margins. Unless Allegion plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $215.12 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $187.06

ALLE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALLE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $187.06 (52-wk range $125.00 - $189.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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