Argan Inc. (AGX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$344.11 -3.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $341.24

Argan Inc. (AGX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.01B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Argan Inc. (NYSE: AGX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $344.11 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $5.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AGX ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGX compare to LGN and BBUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), AGX carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of 24.9%. By comparison, LGN (Legence Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 21.5%, cap $4.53B) and BBUC (Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while AGX leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGX?
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Per AGX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000100591), Argan Inc. generated $944.6M in revenue (+8.1% YoY), $137.8M in net income, and $410.8M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $341.25 (-0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 43.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (19)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$846 Bull$361 Base$282 Bear
📬 FREE AGX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGX SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43.5% FCF Margin ($410.8M FCF) & 20.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$388.10-9.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$349.64-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$341.04+0.9% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$344.11+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, AGX faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($383.67) or 200D SMA ($520.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($361.14) toward Bear Floor ($281.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.28% Total Yield
0.48% Cash ($1.65/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,127

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $436/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.8K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.7K
Yr 7
$16.8K
Yr 8
$17.9K
Yr 9
$19.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in AGX & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on AGX and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AGX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $352.7H $356.9L $344.1C $344.1VOL 176.2K
RES: $354.9SUP: $279.6SMA50: $383.7SMA200: $520.9
$839.9$698.4$557.0$415.6$274.1RES $354.9SUP $279.6$344.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #169 of 1011 ⚔️ LGN vs AGX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AGX vs. LGN, BBUC, AMRC, LMB)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Argan Inc. (AGX) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #271 by equity capitalization ($5.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while AGX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with AGX at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGX ACTIVE
Argan Inc.
C+ 69/100 36.3x 20.5% 24.9% -3.57% $5.01B Benchmark Subject
LGN
Legence Corp. (Class A)
D 48/100 — 21.0% 21.5% -7.33% $4.53B /lgn-vs-agx →
BBUC
Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares
D 49/100 — — — -0.28% $5.96B /bbuc-vs-agx →
AMRC
Ameresco Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — — -3.29% $1.11B /amrc-vs-agx →
LMB
Limbach Holdings Inc.
B 73/100 15.7x 26.2% 21.2% -5.96% $613.8M /lmb-vs-agx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000100591

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Argan Inc. (AGX) reported GAAP revenue of $944.6M (+8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $874.2M , and +64.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $137.8M, operating cash flow of $414.7M, and free cash flow of $410.8M (+155.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGX closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.22, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $944.6M $137.8M $414.7M $410.8M $1.19B $325.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $874.2M $85.5M $167.6M $161.0M $836.2M $218.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $573.3M $32.4M $116.9M $91.1M $2.75B $644.3M

3. AGX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Argan Inc. (NYSE: AGX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $344.11 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $5.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AGX ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGX compare to LGN and BBUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), AGX carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of 24.9%. By comparison, LGN (Legence Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 21.5%, cap $4.53B) and BBUC (Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while AGX leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGX?

Per AGX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000100591), Argan Inc. generated $944.6M in revenue (+8.1% YoY), $137.8M in net income, and $410.8M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGX last traded at $344.11 (-3.57% on volume of 168,442 shares), positioning the stock -10.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($383.67) and -33.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($520.94). Across its 52-week range of $276.28 to $805.75, AGX sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($310.39 to $377.83).

AGX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does AGX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Argan Inc. (AGX) offers a 0.48% cash dividend yield ($1.65 annualized) and 2.28% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AGX — Argan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AGX scores 69 out of 100, earning a C+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, anchored by ROIC of 24.9% and an FCF yield of 8.21%. For an investor, this suggests the business generates substantial returns on invested capital and meaningful free cash flow relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. This is a relative drag on the composite and indicates limited observable institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores well, implying insider and disclosed-trade activity leans constructive. The underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1 and sector sensitivity. An investor should read this as moderate, market-equivalent exposure rather than a defensive or high-beta profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 6.22, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.66 support a sound balance-sheet read.

Taken together, the investor implication is a stock with strong cash economics and a healthy balance sheet, but valuation (P/E TTM 36.3, EV/EBITDA 36) that prices in substantial future growth, and weak institutional flow support. The upper-neutral verdict and "watch for breakout" language suggest the rating is waiting for confirmation from positioning signals rather than signaling an immediate directional move.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
356.85$5.01B36.333.8369.820.48%1$276.28 - $805.7524.9%

Business

Argan Inc. (AGX) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Engineering & Construction industry, per the profile section. Source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Revenue trajectory is visible in the SEC financials (FY 2023 through FY 2025), but the drivers of that trajectory are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$944.6M$134.7M$137.8MN/A$410.8M$339.5M$325.8M
FY 2024$874.2M$88.2M$85.5MN/A$161.0M$145.3M$218.0M
FY 2023$573.3M$36.5M$32.4MN/A$91.1MN/A$644.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $573.3M (FY 2023) to $944.6M (FY 2025), net income from $32.4M to $137.8M, and debt fell from $644.3M to $325.8M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 20.5%, operating margin 14.3%, and net margin 14.6%, with ROIC at 24.9%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.22 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.66. EPS is reported as N/A in the SEC financials for all three periods, though the market data lists EPS (TTM) at 9.82.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items, all tagged to AGX:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): General market action and institutional positioning coverage.
  • Seeking Alpha (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline argues a valuation reset creates an entry point.
  • Yahoo Finance (GREEN, CATALYST): Headline references a 25% year-to-date gain and asks whether the rally is still worth pursuing.
  • Benzinga (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Five-year return retrospective.
  • GuruFocus (RED, RISK WATCH): Headline reports a 5.9% share decline and references a GF Score of 86.
  • www.debelegger.nl (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): General stock price and chart page.

The GREEN catalyst is the Yahoo Finance year-to-date rally item; the RED risk-watch item is the GuruFocus share-decline item. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no links and no proprietary signals (see next section).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary, Engineering & Construction) is the only structural context provided. An investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the analysis rather than evidence of an absence of ripple effects.

Open Questions

  • What specific services or projects generate AGX's revenue, and which end markets drive the FY 2023–FY 2025 growth?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A in the SEC financials when the market data lists EPS (TTM) at 9.82?
  • What drove the FY 2025 FCF of $410.8M relative to net income of $137.8M, and how durable is that cash conversion?
  • Which specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores?
  • What is the source and methodology behind the GF Score of 86 referenced in the GuruFocus item, and what caused the reported 5.9% decline?

AGX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Argan Inc. (AGX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $344.11?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $385.40 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AGX (C+ • RQD 69/100) a Buy at $356.85?

Welcome to the AGX (Argan Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Engineering & Construction. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (36.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $274.77 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $356.85

Pump the brakes on AGX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AGX, but look at what you are paying: 36.3x trailing P/E with 20.5% gross margins. Unless Argan Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $431.79 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $356.85

AGX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AGX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Engineering & Construction and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $356.85 (52-wk range $276.28 - $805.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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