Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.73 +1.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.74

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $356.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: PHOE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $356.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHOE ranks #907 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PHOE compare to MTRX and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), PHOE carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTRX (Matrix Service Company) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $279.2M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $513.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHOE?
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Per PHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002035709), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited generated $7.2M in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $8.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.74 (+0.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$140 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE PHOE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PHOE SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$17.82-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$17.18-10.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$15.30+9.3% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$16.73-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PHOE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PHOE currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.72) and Max Pain ($17.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $139.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PHOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $10$16.73H: $133
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PHOE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

14.0% ROIC with 4.6% gross margin and -1.61% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PHOE
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PHOE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PHOE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $15.60H $16.73L $15.60C $16.73VOL 452
RES: $17.19SUP: $13.69SMA50: $18.72SMA200: $18.46
$70.62$54.87$39.12$23.36$7.61RES $17.19SUP $13.69$16.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHOE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #907 of 1011 ⚔️ MTRX vs PHOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PHOE vs. MTRX, BBCP, PMA, LMB)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) ranks #907 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #632 by equity capitalization ($356.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with PHOE at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PHOE ACTIVE
Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited
E 28/100 — 4.6% — +1.39% $356.4M Benchmark Subject
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
E 28/100 — 5.2% -35.0% -5.17% $279.2M /mtrx-vs-phoe →
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.
D+ 52/100 80.5x 42.4% 5.2% +0.49% $513.0M /bbcp-vs-phoe →
PMA
PMA Graphene Technology Group Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — -18.4% — -1.51% $215.1M /pma-vs-phoe →
LMB
Limbach Holdings Inc.
B 73/100 15.7x 26.2% 21.2% -5.96% $613.8M /lmb-vs-phoe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0002035709

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) reported GAAP revenue of $7.2M (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.4M , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (-602.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHOE closed FY2025 with $8.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $7.2M -$1.2M -$5.7M -$5.7M $8.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $7.4M $1.0M $1.2M $1.1M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $5.8M $1.1M $540.3K $540.3K — —

3. PHOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: PHOE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $16.73 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $356.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHOE ranks #907 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHOE compare to MTRX and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), PHOE carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTRX (Matrix Service Company) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $279.2M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $513.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHOE?

Per PHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002035709), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited generated $7.2M in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $8.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHOE last traded at $16.73 (+1.39% on volume of 1,421 shares), positioning the stock -10.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.72) and -9.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.46). Across its 52-week range of $9.76 to $133.12, PHOE sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($15.24 to $18.22).

PHOE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PHOE stock right now?

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 28/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PHOE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PHOE's 12-month base price target is $14.47 (range $11.29 to $139.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PHOE — Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PHOE carries an RQD Score of 28 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each scored out of 20. The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 8/20, reflecting a 0% ROIC and a free cash flow yield of -1.61%, indicating the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow relative to its valuation. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3/20 and the insider conviction pillar scores 3/20; both are weak, and the source data contains no analyst or holder detail to explain the underlying positioning. The macro regime fit pillar scores 6/20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity noted as a drag. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8/20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 1/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the practical reading is that the rating frames PHOE as a high-risk name where the reported forensic indicators and cash generation metrics both point toward caution. Valuation upside would require a meaningful improvement in profitability and cash conversion that the source data does not show. The rating is an analytical signal, not a recommendation, and should be weighed alongside the full dossier.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7.2M$-1.2M$-1.2MN/A$-5.7MN/AN/A
FY 2024$7.4M$1.3M$1.0MN/A$1.1MN/AN/A
FY 2023$5.8M$1.2M$1.1MN/A$0.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $5.8M in FY 2023 to $7.4M in FY 2024 and then to $7.2M in FY 2025, while operating income turned negative to $-1.2M in FY 2025 after positive results in the prior two years. Per the market data, gross margin is 4.6%, operating margin is -16.8%, and net margin is -16.7%, with ROIC at 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash and debt balances are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are PHOE's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers within Engineering & Construction, given that the source data does not describe them?
  • What caused the swing from positive FY 2024 operating income of $1.3M to negative FY 2025 operating income of $-1.2M, and is the FY 2025 free cash flow of $-5.7M expected to persist?
  • What are the reported cash and debt balances, and how do they support the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z of 2.5?
  • What explains the 52-week range of $9.76 to $133.12 relative to the current price of 16.5?
  • What are the EPS and P/E figures on a trailing and forward basis, which the source data lists as unavailable?

PHOE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PHOE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PHOE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.73?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PHOE 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PHOE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.52 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PHOE (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $16.50?

Welcome to the PHOE (Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Engineering & Construction. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.71 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.50

Pump the brakes on PHOE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PHOE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 4.6% gross margins. Unless Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.79 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $16.50

PHOE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PHOE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Engineering & Construction and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.50 (52-wk range $9.76 - $133.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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