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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AEVA / earnings
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Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$8.60 -7.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.47

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $646.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aeva Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $8.60 (-7.23% 1D, market cap $646.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEVA ranks #977 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEVA compare to APOG and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), AEVA carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $945.3M) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEVA?
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Per AEVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789029), Aeva Technologies Inc. generated $18.1M in revenue (+99.4% YoY), -$145.0M in net income, and -$119.7M in free cash flow against $179.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.47 (-1.49%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.6% Base Target
$33 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE AEVA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEVA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AEVA SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$12.17-15.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$10.27+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$10.44-17.6% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$8.60-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEVA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AEVA currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.43) and Max Pain ($9.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEVA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AEVA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.07 Expected Swing
$7.53 (-12.5%)Spot $8.60$9.67 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AEVA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 21/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 99.4%

Model Bullish Setup (21/100)Model Risk Weight (79/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$18.1M-$145.0M-$119.7M-3.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$9.1M-$152.0M-$112.0M-41.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$4.3M-$149.0M-$118.8M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEVA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AEVA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AEVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.94H $9.94L $8.60C $8.60VOL 2.54M
RES: $21.28SUP: $7.92SMA50: $13.43SMA200: $16.81
$32.89$26.31$19.72$13.14$6.56RES $21.28SUP $7.92$8.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEVA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AEVA Butterfly Map → + Track AEVA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +99.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEVA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEVA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEVA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #977 of 1009 ⚔️ APOG vs AEVA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AEVA vs. APOG, SMP, DCH, CPS)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) ranks #977 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #559 by equity capitalization ($646.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with AEVA at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AEVA ACTIVE
Aeva Technologies Inc.
E 21/100 — -3.7% -35.0% -7.23% $646.2M Benchmark Subject
APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% +3.78% $945.3M /apog-vs-aeva →
SMP
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +7.64% $947.5M /smp-vs-aeva →
DCH
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 — 12.1% 2.2% -2.93% $1.14B /dch-vs-aeva →
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 — 11.9% 85.0% +4.04% $356.6M /cps-vs-aeva →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001789029 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) reported GAAP revenue of $18.1M (+99.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and +319.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$145.0M, operating cash flow of -$115.1M, and free cash flow of -$119.7M (-6.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEVA closed FY2025 with $179.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.1M -$145.0M -$115.1M -$119.7M $179.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.1M -$152.0M -$106.9M -$112.0M $147.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.3M -$149.0M -$118.8M -$118.8M — —

3. AEVA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aeva Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $8.60 (-7.23% 1D, market cap $646.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEVA ranks #977 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEVA compare to APOG and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), AEVA carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $945.3M) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEVA?

Per AEVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789029), Aeva Technologies Inc. generated $18.1M in revenue (+99.4% YoY), -$145.0M in net income, and -$119.7M in free cash flow against $179.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEVA last traded at $8.60 (-7.23% on volume of 2,159,308 shares), positioning the stock -35.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.43) and -48.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $8.68 to $31.30, AEVA sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.53 to $9.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: AEVA RQD Cockpit AEVA 12M Forecast AEVA Earnings & Move AEVA Dividends & DRIP AEVA Insiders & 13F AEVA Whale Options AEVA Profit Sankey AEVA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AEVA — Aeva Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $8.60 (-7.23% 1D, market capitalization $646.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -3.7%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -17.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry (per the company profile). Reported revenue is shown in the financial periods below. Gross margin is -3.7% (per the market data).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) reported $18.1M in annual revenue (up from $9.1M in FY2024, +99.4% YoY) and -$145.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.3M revenue, -$149.0M net income) through FY2025, AEVA scaled operating cash flow to -$115.1M and free cash flow to -$119.7M, backed by $179.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -17.27% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.68 – $31.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), AEVA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of -3.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AEVA sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.1M and free cash flow of -$119.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AEVA's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AEVA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AEVA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEVA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEVA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AEVA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.40 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue grew from $4.3M in FY 2023 to $18.1M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $72.3M in FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA). Reported revenue grew from $4.3M in FY 2023 to $18.1M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $72.3M in FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 21/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.01.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.27 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.42 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $9.27

The RQD rating grades AEVA E with an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, ROIC of -35%, and FCF yield of -17.27%.

Careful chasing AEVA at $9.27. The RQD rating grades AEVA E with an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, ROIC of -35%, and FCF yield of -17.27%.. Gross margin is -3.7%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $7.42 on multiple compression.

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