ATA Creativity Global (AACG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.65 -0.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65

ATA Creativity Global (AACG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $44.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AACG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AACG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, ATA Creativity Global (NASDAQ: AACG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.65 (-0.08% 1D, market cap $44.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AACG ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AACG compare to YOUL and LFS in the Real Estate sector?
▼

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), AACG carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and LFS (LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 26.5%, cap $54.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AACG?
▼

Per AACG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001420529), ATA Creativity Global generated $38.3M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $58.4M in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE AACG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AACG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AACG SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$0.70+12.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$0.79-7.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$0.73-11% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$0.65-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AACG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AACG currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.80) and Max Pain ($0.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AACG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AACG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AACG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.65: 15384.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.44
$6,769
$-3,231 (-32.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.57
$8,769
$-1,231 (-12.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $1.55
$23,846
+$13,846 (+138.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AACG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AACG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AACG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.66H $0.66L $0.65C $0.65VOL 10.8K
RES: $0.90SUP: $0.55SMA50: $0.80SMA200: $0.97
$1.31$1.11$0.91$0.72$0.52RES $0.90SUP $0.55$0.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AACG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AACG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AACG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AACG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AACG)

Real Estate Rank #42 of 51 ⚔️ YOUL vs AACG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AACG vs. YOUL, LFS, IH, STG)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ATA Creativity Global (AACG) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #33 by equity capitalization ($44.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with AACG at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AACG ACTIVE
ATA Creativity Global
E 30/100 — 48.6% -35.0% -0.08% $44.5M Benchmark Subject
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 45/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -5.31% $36.3M /youl-vs-aacg →
LFS
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% -0.95% $54.9M /lfs-vs-aacg →
IH
iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)
D+ 58/100 4.4x 67.9% 85.0% 0.00% $60.3M /ih-vs-aacg →
STG
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 46/100 — 86.9% 80.4% -5.74% $32.7M /stg-vs-aacg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001420529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ATA Creativity Global (AACG) reported GAAP revenue of $38.3M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $36.7M , and +22.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.3M, and free cash flow of -$2.4M (+23.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AACG closed FY2025 with $58.4M in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $38.3M -$6.9M -$2.3M -$2.4M $58.4M $2.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $36.7M -$4.9M -$458.3K -$3.2M $62.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $31.2M -$4.7M $1.2M $1.2M — —

3. AACG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AACG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ATA Creativity Global (NASDAQ: AACG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.65 (-0.08% 1D, market cap $44.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AACG ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AACG compare to YOUL and LFS in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), AACG carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and LFS (LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 26.5%, cap $54.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AACG?

Per AACG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001420529), ATA Creativity Global generated $38.3M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $58.4M in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AACG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AACG last traded at $0.65 (-0.08% on volume of 69,672 shares), positioning the stock -18.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.80) and -32.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.97). Across its 52-week range of $0.58 to $1.48, AACG sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.73).

AACG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AACG's 12-month stock price target?

ATA Creativity Global (AACG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.57 (-12.3% from $0.65), with a bull-case target of $1.55 and a bear-case floor of $0.44.

Is AACG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AACG E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 30/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AACG — ATA Creativity Global: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AACG scores 30 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -5.5%), Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.47). Investor implication: the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, meaning the business is currently not generating returns on capital and insider-flow evidence does not offer support. The forensic pillar is also weak, with an Altman Z of 0.2 signaling elevated financial distress risk per the rating's framework. The only pillar with partial credit is institutional positioning (8/20), which is modest. Upside drivers would need to come from operating improvement that the source data does not yet show; valuation tradeoffs are unresolvable without earnings-based multiples, which are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$38.3M$-9.2M$-6.9MN/A$-2.4M$12.2M$2.1M
FY 2024$36.7M$-5.9M$-4.9MN/A$-3.2M$5.0MN/A
FY 2023$31.2M$-5.8M$-4.7MN/A$1.2MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 48.6%, operating margin -23.9%, and net margin -17.9%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating forensic pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.47. Reported operating losses persisted across all three periods, while revenue grew from $31.2M to $38.3M. The balance sheet shows cash of $12.2M against debt of $2.1M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains five items, all from third-party aggregators (StockInvest.us, Moomoo, TradingView, Simply Wall St) and all flagged YELLOW with a "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Headlines reference a stock price forecast, analyst ratings and estimates, an insider stock buying report tied to a CN¥5.14m investment, and a report that Chunlin Chen seeks to influence the company with a 34.51% stake. Risk watch item: the 34.51% stake reference suggests concentrated holder influence, though the source data does not detail the holder's intentions. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain and no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or services drive the $38.3M revenue, and who are the customers?
  • What is the source of the operating losses, and what is management's path to positive operating margins?
  • Who is Chunlin Chen, what is the intent behind the reported 34.51% stake, and how does it relate to insider buying activity?
  • What is the company's cash runway given FY 2025 cash of $12.2M against an operating loss of $9.2M?
  • Why are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what is the earnings trajectory?

AACG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ATA Creativity Global (AACG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AACG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AACG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.65?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AACG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AACG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.57 (-12.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AACG (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $0.65?

Welcome to the AACG (ATA Creativity Global) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.55 (-15.4%)
Spot @ $0.65

Pump the brakes on AACG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AACG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 48.6% gross margins. Unless ATA Creativity Global expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.81 (+24.6%)
Spot @ $0.65

AACG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AACG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.65 (52-wk range $0.58 - $1.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%