Should I buy, hold, or sell DIOD stock right now?

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 61x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DIOD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DIOD's 12-month base price target is $77.61 (range $60.54 to $132.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / DIOD

AXTI (36) KLIC (51) ENPH (44) OSIS (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$80.13 -8.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.71

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.69B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ: DIOD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $80.13 (-8.76% 1D, market cap $3.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DIOD ranks #329 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIOD compare to AXTI and KLIC in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), DIOD carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.1x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 1.9%. By comparison, AXTI (AXT Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $3.61B) and KLIC (Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $3.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while OSIS leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIOD?

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Per DIOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029002), Diodes Incorporated generated $1.48B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $66.1M in net income, and $137.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.71 (-1.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 9.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIOD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DIOD SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($137.2M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$90.62-6.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$84.77-2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$83.09-3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$80.13-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DIOD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DIOD currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($91.14) and Max Pain ($84.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $132.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIOD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DIOD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

38.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.84>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE45% OF RANGE

L: $42$80.13H: $126

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (31.2% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on DIOD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

1.9% ROIC with 31.2% gross margin and 3.39% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 5.84 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (32)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DIOD

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 61x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DIOD)

✓Walkthrough of DIOD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DIOD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.28%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $87.82H $87.82L $80.13C $80.13VOL 597.4K

RES: $111.3SUP: $65.09SMA50: $91.14SMA200: $88.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIOD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DIOD Butterfly Map → + Track DIOD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

41.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIOD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIOD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIOD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIOD)

Technology Rank #329 of 715 ⚔️ AXTI vs DIOD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DIOD vs. AXTI, KLIC, ENPH, OSIS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) ranks #329 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #233 by equity capitalization ($3.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENPH leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while OSIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. OSIS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with DIOD at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DIOD ACTIVE Diodes Incorporated	D	51/100	61.1x	31.2%	1.9%	-8.76%	$3.69B	Benchmark Subject
AXTI AXT Inc	D-	36/100	—	12.7%	-5.4%	-9.56%	$3.61B	/axti-vs-diod →
KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc.	D	51/100	—	42.5%	-0.5%	-6.86%	$3.88B	/klic-vs-diod →
ENPH Enphase Energy Inc.	D	44/100	19.9x	46.6%	10.5%	-0.81%	$3.39B	/enph-vs-diod →
OSIS OSI Systems Inc.	D+	53/100	21.9x	34.3%	11.4%	-4.19%	$3.14B	/osis-vs-diod →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000029002 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $66.1M, operating cash flow of $215.5M, and free cash flow of $137.2M (+195.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIOD closed FY2025 with $2.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.84, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.48B	$66.1M	$215.5M	$137.2M	$2.45B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.31B	$44.0M	$119.4M	$46.4M	$2.39B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.66B	$227.2M	$280.9M	$280.9M	—	—

3. DIOD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DIOD compare to AXTI and KLIC in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIOD?

Where is DIOD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIOD last traded at $80.13 (-8.76% on volume of 597,428 shares), positioning the stock -12.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($91.14) and -8.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($88.04). Across its 52-week range of $42.28 to $125.99, DIOD sits at the 45.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($71.64 to $88.62).

Direct Sub-Reports: DIOD RQD Cockpit DIOD 12M Forecast DIOD Earnings & Move DIOD Dividends & DRIP DIOD Insiders & 13F DIOD Whale Options DIOD Profit Sankey DIOD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DIOD — Diodes Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $80.13 (-8.76% 1D, market capitalization $3.69B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.9%, gross margin of 31.2%, operating margin of 2.4%, and free cash flow yield of 3.39%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.84, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry,. FY 2025 revenue was $1.48B. Per the market data, gross margin is 31.2%, operating margin is 2.4%, and net margin is 4.5%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) reported $1.48B in annual revenue (up from $1.31B in FY2024, +13.0% YoY) and $66.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.66B revenue, $227.2M net income) through FY2025, DIOD scaled operating cash flow to $215.5M and free cash flow to $137.2M, backed by $2.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 3.39% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.28 – $125.99 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 61.1x trailing P/E and 36.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signal links are recorded. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are — An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify ripple effects from semiconductor supply disruptions, customer concentration, or sector-wide demand shifts.

Key Question #1: Can DIOD sustain or expand its 2.4% operating margin and 1.9% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.48B and free cash flow of $137.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is DIOD's 51.3x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DIOD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DIOD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Diodes Incorporated Estimates – NASDAQ:DIOD

TradingView report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ:DIOD) Stock Rated "Moderate Buy" by Sell-Side Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Diodes (NASDAQ:DIOD) Stock Falls 7.9% - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Slips 4.42% to $86.71 as Shares Pull Back Toward Lower Support - Revenue Growth Stocks

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Diodes (DIOD) Stock Fair Value Rises After Analysts Lift Growth And Margin Views

Yahoo Finance report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Artemis Investment Management LLP Buys 99,286 Shares of Diodes Incorporated $DIOD

MarketBeat report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Edges Higher to $90.72, Holding Firm Above Key Support - Volume Weighted Price

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DIOD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $80.13?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DIOD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.96 (+21.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z of 5.84 and Piotroski F of 8/9, giving the company strong financial footing.

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z of 5.84 and Piotroski F of 8/9, giving the company strong financial footing.. When you look under the hood at DIOD, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 31.2% gross margins and 1.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $125.99. My 12M target is $96.96.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 61.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (31.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.70 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $80.13

Trailing P/E of 61.1 and ROIC of 1.9% leave the valuation dependent on earnings recovery that the data does not yet show.

Careful chasing DIOD at $80.13. Trailing P/E of 61.1 and ROIC of 1.9% leave the valuation dependent on earnings recovery that the data does not yet show.. Gross margin is 31.2%, but operating margin is 2.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $61.70 on multiple compression.