Should I buy, hold, or sell ALG stock right now?

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 24.8% gross margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ALG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALG's 12-month base price target is $149.09 (range $116.29 to $230.87), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / ALG

RUN (25) ATS (45) MFP (48) HSAI (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$147.76 +0.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.67

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $147.76 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $1.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ALG ranks #121 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALG compare to RUN and ATS in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 14.3%. By comparison, RUN (Sunrun Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $1.80B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALG?

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Per ALG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000897077), Alamo Group Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $103.8M in net income, and $146.9M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.67 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$155.17-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$148.95-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$145.68+1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$147.76+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ALG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($158.87) or 200D SMA ($168.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($149.09) toward Bear Floor ($116.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

39.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.14>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE

L: $143$147.76H: $220

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (24.8% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ALG

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

14.3% ROIC with 24.8% gross margin and 8.23% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 5.14 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALG

✓Strong cash generator (24.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALG Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.73%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $146.7H $147.8L $146.7C $147.8VOL 149.3K

RES: $180.4SUP: $141.9SMA50: $158.9SMA200: $168.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALG Butterfly Map → + Track ALG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALG)

Industrials Rank #121 of 486 ⚔️ RUN vs ALG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALG vs. RUN, ATS, MFP, HSAI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) ranks #121 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #218 by equity capitalization ($1.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ALG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALG ACTIVE Alamo Group Inc.	C-	60/100	17.2x	24.8%	14.3%	+0.70%	$1.80B	Benchmark Subject
RUN Sunrun Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-3.2%	-1.45%	$1.80B	/run-vs-alg →
ATS ATS Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	—	-3.67%	$1.78B	/ats-vs-alg →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-3.49%	$1.81B	/mfp-vs-alg →
HSAI Hesai Group	D-	38/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.09%	$1.91B	/hsai-vs-alg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000897077 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.63B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $103.8M, operating cash flow of $177.5M, and free cash flow of $146.9M (-20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALG closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.14, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.60B	$103.8M	$177.5M	$146.9M	$1.61B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.63B	$115.9M	$209.8M	$184.8M	$1.45B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	$136.2M	$131.2M	$131.2M	—	—

3. ALG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALG compare to RUN and ATS in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALG?

Where is ALG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALG last traded at $147.76 (+0.70% on volume of 149,315 shares), positioning the stock -6.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($158.87) and -12.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($168.36). Across its 52-week range of $142.84 to $219.88, ALG sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($140.08 to $155.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALG RQD Cockpit ALG 12M Forecast ALG Earnings & Move ALG Dividends & DRIP ALG Insiders & 13F ALG Whale Options ALG Profit Sankey ALG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALG — Alamo Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $147.76 (+0.70% 1D, market capitalization $1.80B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.3%, gross margin of 24.8%, operating margin of 9.5%, and free cash flow yield of 8.23%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.14, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components, per the market data profile. Specific products, customers, and revenue model details are — Revenue and operating income figures appear in the financial trend section, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) reported $1.60B in annual revenue (up from $1.63B in FY2024, -1.5% YoY) and $103.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.69B revenue, $136.2M net income) through FY2025, ALG scaled operating cash flow to $177.5M and free cash flow to $146.9M, backed by $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Strong cash generator (24.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $142.84 – $219.88 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.2x trailing P/E and 8.3x EV/EBITDA against 9.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification are — Investors should note that second-order ripple analysis cannot be performed from this dataset.

Key Question #1: Can ALG sustain or expand its 9.5% operating margin and 14.3% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.60B and free cash flow of $146.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALG's 16.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Implied Volatility Surging for Alamo Group Stock Options

TradingView report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Alamo Group: A Sluggish Performer But An Interesting Deal (NYSE:ALG)

Seeking Alpha report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockStory • 1d ago

1 Oversold Stock Set for a Comeback and 2 We Avoid

StockStory report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Alamo Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALG) Stock Now Rated "Moderate Buy" by Sell-Side Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Alamo Group (ALG) Heads Into Earnings, Is The Stock 28% Undervalued?

Simply Wall St report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A UK road-equipment maker with about 1,300 rental trucks is now owned by Alamo Group.

Stock Titan report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Alamo (ALG) reports earnings tomorrow: what to expect

TradingView report covering Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $147.76?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $169.92 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine with 14.3% ROIC and 8.23% FCF yield, backed by a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 5.14, Debt/Equity 0.5).

Strong cash engine with 14.3% ROIC and 8.23% FCF yield, backed by a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 5.14, Debt/Equity 0.5).. When you look under the hood at ALG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 24.8% gross margins and 14.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $219.88. My 12M target is $169.92.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ALG's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $121.16 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $147.76

Weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 4/20, with revenue and net income declining from FY 2023 to FY 2025 and beta of 1.0 offering no def

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ALG: Weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 4/20, with revenue and net income declining from FY 2023 to FY 2025 and beta of 1.0 offering no defensive cushion.. At 17.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.