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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ALG
RUN (25) ATS (45) MFP (48) HSAI (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$147.76 +0.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.67

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $147.76 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $1.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALG ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALG compare to RUN and ATS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 14.3%. By comparison, RUN (Sunrun Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $1.80B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALG?
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Per ALG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000897077), Alamo Group Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $103.8M in net income, and $146.9M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.67 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-
Cash (15)Whales (4)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$231 Bull$149 Base$116 Bear
📬 FREE ALG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$155.17-4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$148.95-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$145.68+1.4% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$147.76+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ALG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($158.87) or 200D SMA ($168.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($149.09) toward Bear Floor ($116.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.14>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $143$147.76H: $220
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (25% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ALG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

14.3% ROIC with 24.8% gross margin and 8.23% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 5.14 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALG
  • ✓Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ALG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.73%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $146.7H $147.8L $146.7C $147.8VOL 149.3K
RES: $180.4SUP: $141.9SMA50: $158.9SMA200: $168.4
$191.5$178.3$165.1$151.9$138.7RES $180.4SUP $141.9$147.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALG Butterfly Map → + Track ALG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALG)

Industrials Rank #120 of 485 ⚔️ RUN vs ALG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALG vs. RUN, ATS, MFP, HSAI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #217 by equity capitalization ($1.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ALG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALG ACTIVE
Alamo Group Inc.
C- 60/100 17.2x 24.8% 14.3% +0.70% $1.80B Benchmark Subject
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
E 25/100 — — -3.2% -1.45% $1.80B /run-vs-alg →
ATS
ATS Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -3.67% $1.78B /ats-vs-alg →
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 48/100 — — — -3.49% $1.81B /mfp-vs-alg →
HSAI
Hesai Group
D- 38/100 32.7x 41.8% 1.8% -6.09% $1.91B /hsai-vs-alg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000897077

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.63B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $103.8M, operating cash flow of $177.5M, and free cash flow of $146.9M (-20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALG closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.14, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.60B $103.8M $177.5M $146.9M $1.61B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.63B $115.9M $209.8M $184.8M $1.45B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.69B $136.2M $131.2M $131.2M — —

3. ALG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $147.76 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $1.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALG ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALG compare to RUN and ATS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 14.3%. By comparison, RUN (Sunrun Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $1.80B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALG?

Per ALG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000897077), Alamo Group Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $103.8M in net income, and $146.9M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALG last traded at $147.76 (+0.70% on volume of 149,315 shares), positioning the stock -6.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($158.87) and -12.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($168.36). Across its 52-week range of $142.84 to $219.88, ALG sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($140.08 to $155.44).

ALG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALG stock right now?

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 25% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ALG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALG's 12-month base price target is $149.09 (range $116.29 to $230.87), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALG RQD Cockpit ALG 12M Forecast ALG Earnings & Move ALG Dividends & DRIP ALG Insiders & 13F ALG Whale Options ALG Profit Sankey ALG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALG — Alamo Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 60 / C-, labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral," per the Roarable RQD rating. The score is built from five pillars, each scored out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.3% and an FCF yield of 8.23%. For a prospective investor, the return on invested capital and free cash flow yield are the strongest operating signals in the dataset, supporting the view that the business generates meaningful cash relative to its capital base.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest pillar. The source data contains no holder detail (see Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership), so the low score signals limited observable institutional support rather than a quantified sell signal.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and is the strongest pillar. The underlying transaction detail is not provided in the source data, so the score cannot be traced to specific trades here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion or amplified upside relative to market moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 5.14, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These figures indicate a comparatively sound balance sheet.

Taken together, the profile is a business with solid cash returns and a sound balance sheet, offset by weak institutional flow and a market-level risk profile. Valuation is a tradeoff: a P/E (TTM) of 17.2 and forward P/E of 16 sit against an EV/EBITDA of 8.3, and the stock trades within a wide 52-week range. These are educational observations, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
146.74$1.79B17.2168.38.530.81%1.0$142.84 - $219.8814.3%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six headlines are listed under the recent news feed, all tagged to ALG and carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Yahoo Finance UK market summary, covering market action, institutional positioning, and catalysts.
  • A TradingView report headlined "Implied Volatility Surging for Alamo Group Stock Options," indicating options-market activity.
  • A Seeking Alpha piece headlined "Alamo Group: A Sluggish Performer But An Interesting Deal."
  • A StockStory piece on an oversold stock setup.
  • A MarketBeat report noting a "Moderate Buy" rating from sell-side analysts.
  • A Simply Wall St piece referencing an upcoming earnings report and a valuation discount.

Risk watch items are the implied volatility surge and the sluggish-performance characterization. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are ALG's product lines, end markets, and customer concentration, and how do these drive revenue?
  • Why did revenue and net income decline across FY 2023–FY 2025, and what is the outlook?
  • What are the EPS and total debt figures for each reported period, which the financials leave as N/A?
  • What are the specific insider Form 4 and Congressional trades underlying the 17/20 insider score?
  • What drove the implied volatility surge and the "Moderate Buy" consensus, and what do analyst price targets look like?

ALG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $147.76?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $158.48 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALG (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $146.74?

Welcome to the ALG (Alamo Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $110.06 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $146.74

Pump the brakes on ALG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALG, but look at what you are paying: 17.2x trailing P/E with 24.8% gross margins. Unless Alamo Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $173.15 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $146.74

ALG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $146.74 (52-wk range $142.84 - $219.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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