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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ZGN / options
FIGS (66) COLM (70) UAA (27) CPRI (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.03 +4.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.10

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE: ZGN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $14.03 (+4.00% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZGN ranks #395 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZGN compare to FIGS and COLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), ZGN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIGS (FIGS Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 104.4x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $3.54B) and COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $3.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while CPRI leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZGN?
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For Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #395 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.10 (+0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$17 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE ZGN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZGN SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$12.94-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$12.77+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$13.37+4.9% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$14.03-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZGN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, ZGN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.76) or 200D SMA ($12.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.97) toward Bear Floor ($10.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ZGN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ZGN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZGN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ZGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ZGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $13.41H $14.03L $13.41C $14.03VOL 731.1K
RES: $16.74SUP: $10.55SMA50: $12.76SMA200: $12.43
$16.37$14.64$12.92$11.19$9.46RES $16.74SUP $10.55$14.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZGN Butterfly Map → + Track ZGN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZGN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #395 of 1011 ⚔️ FIGS vs ZGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZGN vs. FIGS, COLM, UAA, CPRI)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) ranks #395 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #331 by equity capitalization ($3.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COLM leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while CPRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.4% ROIC and 62.3% gross margin. COLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ZGN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZGN ACTIVE
Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
D+ 57/100 — — — +4.00% $3.62B Benchmark Subject
FIGS
FIGS Inc.
C+ 66/100 104.4x 66.5% 7.3% -0.09% $3.54B /figs-vs-zgn →
COLM
Columbia Sportswear Company
B- 70/100 18.4x 50.5% 9.2% +5.30% $3.46B /colm-vs-zgn →
UAA
Under Armour Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — 45.5% -9.5% +5.01% $2.14B /uaa-vs-zgn →
CPRI
Capri Holdings Limited
D 50/100 23.1x 62.3% 10.4% +7.33% $2.12B /cpri-vs-zgn →

2. ZGN Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $3.62B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ZGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE: ZGN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $14.03 (+4.00% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZGN ranks #395 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZGN compare to FIGS and COLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), ZGN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIGS (FIGS Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 104.4x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $3.54B) and COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $3.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while CPRI leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZGN?

For Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #395 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZGN last traded at $14.03 (+4.00% on volume of 1,120,219 shares), positioning the stock +9.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.76) and +12.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.43). Across its 52-week range of $8.65 to $15.95, ZGN sits at the 73.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($13.06 to $15.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: ZGN RQD Cockpit ZGN 12M Forecast ZGN Earnings & Move ZGN Dividends & DRIP ZGN Insiders & 13F ZGN Whale Options ZGN Profit Sankey ZGN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ZGN — Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.03 (+4.00% 1D, market capitalization $3.62B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Apparel industry..6B. — regarding specific products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.65 – $15.95 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded. The sector is listed as Consumer Discretionary and the industry as Apparel, but no peer relationships or ripple paths are provided. — for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can ZGN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Apparel peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $15.95 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ZGN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ZGN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZGN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZGN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZGN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZGN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.51 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics are comparatively solid, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 6/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.

Balance-sheet forensics are comparatively solid, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 6/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.. When you look under the hood at ZGN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (13/20) has been quietly accumulating below $15.95. My 12M target is $15.51.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ZGN's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.47 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $13.49

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and insider conviction scores 9/20, the lowest pillar in the RQD rating.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ZGN: ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and insider conviction scores 9/20, the lowest pillar in the RQD rating.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Apparel triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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