Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$31.89 -0.65% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.79

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.17B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-03, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $31.89 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $7.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZG ranks #557 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZG compare to Z and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ZG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, Z (Zillow Group Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $6.96B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while ETSY leads on capital efficiency (33.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZG?
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Per ZG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.79 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 9.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (4)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$79 Bull$31 Base$24 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ZG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ZG SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.1% FCF Margin ($235.0M FCF) & 74.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$28.69+10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$31.82+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$33.73-5.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$31.89-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ZG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ZG currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.98) and Max Pain ($33.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $78.54.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œZG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $26,654

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $480/yr
$11.0K
Yr 1
$12.2K
Yr 2
$13.4K
Yr 3
$14.8K
Yr 4
$16.3K
Yr 5
$18.0K
Yr 6
$19.9K
Yr 7
$21.9K
Yr 8
$24.2K
Yr 9
$26.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ZG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ZG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.96%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $32.10H $32.10L $31.89C $31.89VOL 1.02M
RES: $35.23SUP: $25.38SMA50: $31.98SMA200: $38.98
$67.04$56.26$45.47$34.69$23.90RES $35.23SUP $25.38$31.892026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #557 of 1011 βš”οΈ Z vs ZG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZG vs. Z, ANDG, ETSY, EXLS)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) ranks #557 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #215 by equity capitalization ($7.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXLS leads on earnings valuation at 24.7x trailing P/E, while ETSY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.3% ROIC and 71.6% gross margin. EXLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with ZG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZG ACTIVE
Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 β€” 74.1% -0.7% -0.65% $7.17B Benchmark Subject
Z
Zillow Group Inc.
D 50/100 β€” 74.1% -0.6% -0.10% $6.96B /z-vs-zg β†’
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 β€” β€” -28.9% +1.05% $7.47B /andg-vs-zg β†’
ETSY
Etsy Inc.
B 73/100 48.4x 71.6% 33.3% -2.87% $7.67B /etsy-vs-zg β†’
EXLS
ExlService Holdings Inc.
A 86/100 24.7x 38.4% 23.4% +0.75% $6.25B /exls-vs-zg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001617640

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.58B (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.24B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $368.0M, and free cash flow of $235.0M (-17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZG closed FY2025 with $5.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.58B $23.0M $368.0M $235.0M $5.68B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.24B -$112.0M $428.0M $285.0M $5.83B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.95B -$158.0M $354.0M $354.0M β€” β€”

3. ZG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $31.89 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $7.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZG ranks #557 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZG compare to Z and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ZG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, Z (Zillow Group Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $6.96B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while ETSY leads on capital efficiency (33.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZG?

Per ZG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZG last traded at $31.89 (-0.65% on volume of 1,017,256 shares), positioning the stock -0.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.98) and -18.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.98). Across its 52-week range of $27.25 to $74.80, ZG sits at the 9.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.2% ($28.96 to $34.82).

ZG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does ZG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ZG β€” Zillow Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ZG carries an RQD Score of 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, and the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -0.7% and an FCF yield of 3.26%. The modest free-cash-flow yield is positive, but a negative ROIC means the business is not currently earning a return above its cost of capital, which limits the cash-engine case for prospective investors.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is a moderate score, indicating some institutional support without a dominant signal.
  • Insider Conviction: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A below-midpoint score suggests insider activity does not provide a strong confirmation signal either way.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves, so the stock's direction will track overall market conditions and sector sentiment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 5.69, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the principal support for the rating: balance-sheet quality is strong even though operating returns are weak.

Investor implications: The rating balances a strong balance sheet against weak operating returns. Upside drivers would need to come from converting the positive FCF yield and clean balance sheet into sustained positive ROIC. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with P/E and EV/EBITDA not available in source data, the stock cannot be benchmarked on earnings multiples here, and the 52-week range of $27.25 - $74.8 shows the price has been highly volatile, with the current $31.89 near the lower end of that band.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2583.0M$-34.0M$23.0MN/A$235.0M$768.0MN/A
FY 2024$2236.0M$-197.0M$-112.0MN/A$285.0M$1082.0MN/A
FY 2023$1945.0M$-270.0M$-158.0MN/A$354.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1945.0M in FY 2023 to $2583.0M in FY 2025, while operating income improved from $-270.0M to $-34.0M over the same span. FY 2025 net income turned positive at $23.0M after losses in the prior two years. Per the market data, gross margin is 74.1%, operating margin is -1.3%, and net margin is 0.9%. ROIC is -0.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.69 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5, indicating a strong forensic balance sheet posture. Cash declined from $1082.0M in FY 2024 to $768.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalysts and watch items are:

  • Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance report headlined "Zillow (ZG) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After A 68% Fall" is flagged as a risk item, suggesting valuation concern after a steep decline.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): A 24/7 Wall St. report on a surge of Opendoor and Zillow as long-term rates retreat is flagged as a positive catalyst, linking ZG's move to interest-rate sensitivity.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Several items, including a Yahoo Finance report noting the stock trading down, a Trefis piece on regaining its old high, a GuruFocus report with a GF Score of 65/100, and a Simply Wall St. piece on a fresh AI push that may look fully priced, are flagged as neutral market commentary.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream supply-chain links are recorded, and the supply_chain field is NONE. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. The one ripple the news feed does indicate is interest-rate sensitivity: the 24/7 Wall St. catalyst ties ZG's move to retreating long-term rates alongside Opendoor and Compass. A prospective investor should watch rate-driven moves in peer and housing-adjacent names as a 2nd-order signal, though the source data does not quantify that linkage.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's actual revenue model and product mix, given that the profile gives only the sector and industry classification?
  • Why is operating income negative in FY 2025 while net income is positive at $23.0M, and what items drive that gap?
  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are needed to judge valuation against the stock's volatility?
  • What are the debt levels in dollar terms, since the financials list debt as N/A while Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores, and in what direction?

ZG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ZG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $31.89?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $34.44 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ZG (C β€’ RQD 65/100) a Buy at $31.89?

Welcome to the ZG (Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.47 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $31.89

Pump the brakes on ZG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ZG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 74.1% gross margins. Unless Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.86 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $31.89

ZG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ZG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $31.89 (52-wk range $27.25 - $74.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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