Why Z Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$30.96 -0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.90

Zillow Group Inc. (Z) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.97B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is Z stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Zillow Group Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $30.96 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $6.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, Z ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does Z compare to ZG and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), Z carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.6%. By comparison, ZG (Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $7.22B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while WEX leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for Z?
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Per Z's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $360.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.89 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 9.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Cash (9)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$81 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE Z RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for Z)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY Z SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.50 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.9) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$27.97+15.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$32.24-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$32.05-3.4% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$30.96-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a Z Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While Z currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.03) and Max Pain ($32.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $80.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $Z• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “Z Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why Z Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Zillow Group Inc. (Z) slipped -0.10% to $30.96, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($26.67 – $77.07). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($26.67 – $77.07) with RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $30.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 74.1% gross margin and $235.0M annual free cash flow.
Live Z Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring Z)

  • ✓Walkthrough of Z's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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Z // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $30.77H $30.99L $30.77C $30.96VOL 3.87M
RES: $34.01SUP: $24.79SMA50: $31.03SMA200: $38.56
$68.77$57.36$45.95$34.54$23.13RES $34.01SUP $24.79$30.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

Z Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on Z today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for Z. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for Z today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (Z)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #555 of 1011 ⚔️ ZG vs Z Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (Z vs. ZG, ANDG, WEX, LYFT)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zillow Group Inc. (Z) ranks #555 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #220 by equity capitalization ($6.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WEX leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while WEX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and 40.4% gross margin. ZG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with Z at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
Z ACTIVE
Zillow Group Inc.
D 50/100 — 74.1% -0.6% -0.10% $6.97B Benchmark Subject
ZG
Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 — 74.1% -0.7% -0.65% $7.22B /zg-vs-z →
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)
C 62/100 — — -28.9% +1.05% $7.39B /andg-vs-z →
WEX
WEX Inc.
D+ 56/100 20.6x 40.4% 13.6% +0.62% $6.25B /wex-vs-z →
LYFT
Lyft Inc.
D 49/100 — 37.3% -4.7% -1.52% $6.21B /lyft-vs-z →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001617640

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zillow Group Inc. (Z) reported GAAP revenue of $2.58B (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.24B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $368.0M, and free cash flow of $235.0M (-17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, Z closed FY2025 with $5.68B in total assets against $360.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.50, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.58B $23.0M $368.0M $235.0M $5.68B $360.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.24B -$112.0M $428.0M $285.0M $5.83B $441.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.95B -$158.0M $354.0M $266.5M $3.83B $896.9M

3. Z Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is Z stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Zillow Group Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $30.96 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $6.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, Z ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

How does Z compare to ZG and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), Z carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.6%. By comparison, ZG (Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $7.22B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while WEX leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for Z?

Per Z's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $360.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is Z trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

Z last traded at $30.96 (-0.10% on volume of 3,593,502 shares), positioning the stock -0.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.03) and -19.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.56). Across its 52-week range of $26.67 to $77.07, Z sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($28.05 to $33.87).

Z Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is Z stock moving today?

Why Z Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

Z — Zillow Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Zillow Group Inc. scores 50 out of 100 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of -0.6% and an FCF yield of 3.37%. Negative ROIC means the business is not currently earning returns above its capital base, which is the weakest part of the profile. The positive FCF yield is the offsetting point: the business generates cash relative to its market value even though accounting returns are negative.
  • Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): The rating characterizes institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak. For a prospective investor, this suggests large institutional holders are not building positions as a supportive signal.
  • Insider Conviction (10 / 20): The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a modest level. Insider activity is not providing a strong confidence signal in either direction.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6 / 20): The rating cites a beta of 0.88 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1 implies somewhat lower market-linked volatility, but the low pillar score indicates the regime fit is poor.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (18 / 20): This is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 5.5, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.07. The balance sheet is the main support for the stock's downside resilience.

Investor implications: The upside case rests on the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, which are comparatively strong. The downside case rests on negative ROIC, weak institutional flow, and a poor macro fit. The rating's distribution-warning label signals that the composite profile favors caution. This is an educational summary of the rating's components, not personalized advice.

Business

Zillow Group Inc. is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry, trading on NASDAQ. The profile describes it as a NASDAQ-listed issuer with a market capitalization of $7.0B. Source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2583.0M$-34.0M$23.0MN/A$235.0M$768.0M$360.4M
FY 2024$2236.0M$-197.0M$-112.0MN/A$285.0M$1082.0M$441.4M
FY 2023$1945.0M$-270.0M$-158.0MN/A$266.5MN/A$896.9M

Revenue grew from $1945.0M in FY 2023 to $2583.0M in FY 2025, and operating income improved from $-270.0M to $-34.0M over the same span. FY 2025 recorded positive net income of $23.0M, while operating margin per market data is -1.3% and net margin is 0.9%. Gross margin is reported at 74.1%. ROIC is -0.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 5.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9 per the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is 0.07. Total debt declined from $896.9M in FY 2023 to $360.4M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged YELLOW with the impact label "MARKET WIRE" and none carrying a specific fundamental event. The items are aggregator and market-recap pieces from Yahoo Finance UK, The Motley Fool, Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingView, and MarketBeat. Headlines reference a Morgan Stanley expectation reduction for the stock, a 5.8% single-day price increase, and a downward trading move, but the source summaries do not provide the underlying data or reasoning for these events. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items per the data: the Morgan Stanley expectation reduction and the wide 52-week range from $26.67 to $77.07.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context is the Consumer Discretionary / Business Services classification.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customer segments, and revenue drivers beyond the sector and industry classification?
  • What are the reported EPS figures, since FY 2023 through FY 2025 EPS is listed as N/A?
  • What is the basis of the Morgan Stanley expectation reduction referenced in the news wire, and what estimates changed?
  • What drove the FY 2025 swing from operating loss to positive net income, and how durable is it?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which the source lists as N/A?

Z Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zillow Group Inc. (Z) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to Z Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

Z Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON Z 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on Z:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $33.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is Z (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $30.99?

Welcome to the Z (Zillow Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.24 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $30.99

Pump the brakes on Z — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on Z, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 74.1% gross margins. Unless Zillow Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.67 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $30.99

Z cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on Z, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.99 (52-wk range $26.67 - $77.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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