Stock Ratings / Industrials / YSS / financials

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York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$6.32 -9.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.20

York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $960.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on YSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.32 (-9.59% 1D, market cap $960.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #282 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $765.5M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?

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Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.20 (-1.92%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY YSS SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($26.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.83-16.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$5.68+11.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.32+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D$6.32-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YSS currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.90) and Max Pain ($6.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “YSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How YSS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$26.9M (0.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	52%	0%	$0	$0	15%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSS)

✓Walkthrough of YSS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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YSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -80.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $6.59H $6.99L $6.32C $6.32VOL 1.43M

RES: $6.60SUP: $4.80SMA50: $7.90SMA200: $20.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YSS Butterfly Map → + Track YSS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSS)

Industrials Rank #282 of 485 ⚔️ CDNL vs YSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (YSS vs. CDNL, PKE, VOYG, XTND)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) ranks #282 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #256 by equity capitalization ($960.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with YSS at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
YSS ACTIVE York Space Systems Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-9.59%	$960.1M	Benchmark Subject
CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	33.7x	—	54.6%	-3.42%	$765.5M	/cdnl-vs-yss →
PKE Park Aerospace Corp.	C-	60/100	—	30.9%	19.0%	-2.98%	$584.9M	/pke-vs-yss →
VOYG Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A)	E	18/100	—	18.0%	-35.0%	-4.93%	$1.72B	/voyg-vs-yss →
XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-7.78%	$475.7M	/xtnd-vs-yss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002086587

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, YSS closed FY2025 with $1.48B in total assets against $145.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$1.48B	$145.0M

3. YSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?

Where is YSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSS last traded at $6.32 (-9.59% on volume of 1,471,645 shares), positioning the stock -20.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.90) and -69.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.60). Across its 52-week range of $5.52 to $44.54, YSS sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.53 to $7.11).

YSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is York Space Systems Inc. (YSS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), YSS converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $26.9M in free cash flow (0.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: YSS RQD Cockpit YSS 12M Forecast YSS Earnings & Move YSS Dividends & DRIP YSS Insiders & 13F YSS Whale Options YSS Profit Sankey YSS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

YSS — York Space Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, YSS scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free cash yield to support the current valuation.
Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar, suggesting limited institutional support in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score indicates weak insider conviction signals.
Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The score indicates the stock's market-linked risk profile does not earn a favorable regime rating.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.14. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is the most constructive part of the profile.

Upside drivers in the source data are limited to the balance sheet pillar and the recent price move of 6.07%. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA not available in source data, and ROIC and FCF yield at 0%, the market price of $6.99 cannot be anchored to reported earnings or cash generation. Investors evaluating this stock today are relying on non-fundamental drivers, and the RQD rating flags that as a distribution risk. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile, York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Military/Government/Technical industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue is reported as $0.0M, so the source data does not show a revenue-generating operating base in the period provided. Market capitalization is listed at $1.0B in the profile and $960.1M in market data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	N/A	$162.6M	$145.0M

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are all $0.0M for FY 2025, and gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9 per the forensic balance sheet pillar, with Debt/Equity at 0.14. Cash of $162.6M against debt of $145.0M is the primary balance sheet datapoint in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Securities class action (RISK WATCH, PR Newswire): The headline references a stock decline of 10% after satellite software issues were disclosed, with a securities fraud class action filed.
Lead plaintiff deadline (MARKET WIRE, Morningstar): A law firm notice references an October 30, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
Stock falling today (RISK WATCH, Stocktwits): A report questions why the stock is falling.
Space Force design reviews (RISK WATCH, Stock Titan): Two U.S. Space Force missions passed design review, with spacecraft delivery stated as on track for the fourth quarter.
Analyst initiation (MARKET WIRE, Investing.com): Piper Sandler initiated coverage at Neutral.
General market wire (MARKET WIRE, Yahoo Finance UK): A general quote and history page.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded (supply_chain: NONE, butterfly_links: empty). Sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Military/Government/Technical classification are not available in source data. For a prospective investor, the watch items are the Space Force delivery timeline (stated as on track for the fourth quarter) and the litigation timeline tied to the October 30, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline, since either could ripple into the stock independent of supply-chain linkages.

Open Questions

What specific satellite software issues were disclosed, and what is the financial magnitude of the associated litigation?
Why are P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what is the company's earnings trajectory?
What revenue sources exist given reported FY 2025 revenue of $0.0M?
Who are the institutional holders and insiders, and what have they transacted recently?
Does the Space Force program timeline carry revenue recognition implications within the next reporting period?

YSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YSS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 8h ago

York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stocktwits • 11h ago

Why Is York Space Systems (YSS) Stock Falling Today?

Stocktwits report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 14h ago

Piper Sandler initiates York Space Systems stock at Neutral

Investing.com report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 17h ago

YSS Stock Notice: York Space Stock Plummeted 10% after Satellite Software Issues Disclosed - Securities Fraud Class Action Filed

PR Newswire report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 20h ago

Two U.S. Space Force missions pass design review; spacecraft delivery is on track for the fourth quarter

Stock Titan report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 23h ago

Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Urges York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) Investors to Seek Counsel Before the October 30, 2026 Lead Plaintiff Deadline in the Securities Class Action

Morningstar report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

York Space Systems (NYSE:YSS) Stock Picked Up by Analysts at Barclays

MarketBeat report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

York Space Systems Shares Details on Two Space Force Space Data Network Task Orders

www.marketscreener.com report covering York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.32?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YSS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $7.55 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is YSS (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $6.99?

Welcome to the YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.24 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $6.99

Pump the brakes on YSS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on YSS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless York Space Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.95 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $6.99

YSS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on YSS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.99 (52-wk range $5.52 - $44.54), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.