X Financial each representing six (Class A) (XYF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.84 +1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.85

X Financial each representing six (Class A) (XYF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $260.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XYF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XYF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, X Financial each representing six (Class A) (NYSE: XYF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.84 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $260.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, XYF ranks #577 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XYF compare to SNFCA and HRZN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), XYF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.8%. By comparison, SNFCA (Security National Financial Corporation (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $250.5M) and HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $272.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RWAY leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while SNFCA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XYF?
▼

Per XYF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001725033), X Financial each representing six (Class A) generated $1.09B in revenue (+35.8% YoY), $209.4M in net income, and $206.7M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.85 (+0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$13 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE XYF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XYF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XYF SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.9% FCF Margin ($206.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$5.03-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$4.87+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$4.88-0.8% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$4.84-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XYF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XYF currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.12) and Max Pain ($5.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XYF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XYF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
10.06% Total Yield
8.26% Cash ($0.40/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (21.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $70,107

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $7,053/yr
$12.2K
Yr 1
$14.8K
Yr 2
$17.9K
Yr 3
$21.8K
Yr 4
$26.5K
Yr 5
$32.2K
Yr 6
$39.1K
Yr 7
$47.5K
Yr 8
$57.7K
Yr 9
$70.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XYF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XYF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
XYF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.20%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.89H $4.89L $4.76C $4.84VOL 38.2K
RES: $6.16SUP: $4.76SMA50: $5.12SMA200: $4.96
$9.49$8.03$6.57$5.11$3.65RES $6.16SUP $4.76$4.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XYF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +35.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XYF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XYF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XYF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XYF)

Financials Rank #577 of 1096 ⚔️ SNFCA vs XYF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (XYF vs. SNFCA, HRZN, RWAY, HTT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, X Financial each representing six (Class A) (XYF) ranks #577 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #840 by equity capitalization ($260.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RWAY leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while SNFCA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SNFCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with XYF at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XYF ACTIVE
X Financial each representing six (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — — 18.8% +1.68% $260.8M Benchmark Subject
SNFCA
Security National Financial Corporation (Class A)
C- 60/100 — — 85.0% +1.42% $250.5M /snfca-vs-xyf →
HRZN
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
D 48/100 — — -0.8% -1.23% $272.8M /hrzn-vs-xyf →
RWAY
Runway Growth Finance Corp.
D+ 52/100 8.1x — 7.0% -0.61% $273.3M /rway-vs-xyf →
HTT
High Templar Tech Limited each representing one Class A ordinary share
D- 35/100 — — -5.2% +0.56% $279.5M /htt-vs-xyf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001725033

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), X Financial each representing six (Class A) (XYF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.09B (+35.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.4M , and +61.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $209.4M, operating cash flow of $209.9M, and free cash flow of $206.7M (-0.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XYF closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.09B $209.4M $209.9M $206.7M $2.10B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $804.4M $211.0M $208.7M $206.8M $1.62B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $678.2M $167.2M $114.7M $114.7M — —

3. XYF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XYF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, X Financial each representing six (Class A) (NYSE: XYF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.84 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $260.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, XYF ranks #577 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XYF compare to SNFCA and HRZN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), XYF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.8%. By comparison, SNFCA (Security National Financial Corporation (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $250.5M) and HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $272.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RWAY leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while SNFCA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XYF?

Per XYF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001725033), X Financial each representing six (Class A) generated $1.09B in revenue (+35.8% YoY), $209.4M in net income, and $206.7M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XYF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XYF last traded at $4.84 (+1.68% on volume of 41,425 shares), positioning the stock -5.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.12) and -2.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.96). Across its 52-week range of $3.30 to $12.85, XYF sits at the 16.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($4.47 to $5.21).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XYF — X Financial each representing six (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:35Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

XYF scores 55 out of 100 (letter grade D+), with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20 (ROIC 18.8%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the ROIC figure and the balance sheet pillar, while the weakest pillars (13F flow and macro fit) indicate limited institutional support and only moderate sensitivity to the broader market. The FCF yield of 0% per the RQD rating and market data means the cash-generation pillar does not translate into a current cash return on the price paid, so valuation rests on dividend yield and earnings quality rather than free-cash-flow yield. The verdict indicates the rating model views fundamentals as weak on a composite basis, so the rating points toward caution rather than accumulation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The company reported revenue of $1.09B for FY 2025. — The customer base, product lines, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

Per the market data, operating margin is 21.3% and net margin is 19.2%, with ROIC of 18.8%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Revenue grew from $678.2M (FY 2023) to $1.09B (FY 2025) while net income moved from $167.2M to $209.4M over the same period, with a dip to $211.0M in FY 2024 and a slight decline in operating income from FY 2024 to FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: ROIC of 18.8% and an 8.26% dividend yield suggest the business earns strong returns on capital and pays a high cash yield relative to its $4.89 price. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 18.8%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $3.30 – $12.85 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD verdict of Roarable Sell with a 0% FCF yield, Beta 1.0 and weak 13F flow (6/20) signals fundamentals and institutional support are not keeping pace with the stock. Investors must weigh current valuation against 21.3% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks beyond the sector and industry classification.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's total debt and EPS figures, which are reported as N/A in the SEC financials?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the 0% gross margin and FCF yield alongside a positive 18.8% ROIC?
  • Key Question #3: What drives the 52-week price range of $3.3 to $12.85, and what catalysts have occurred in that window?

XYF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for X Financial each representing six (Class A) (XYF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XYF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 70d ago
X Financial Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

X Financial (NYSE:XYF) reported lower second-quarter revenue and loan origination volumes as it maintained a conservative operating approach focused on credit quality, liquidity and balance-sheet strength. Management sai

Read Full Source ↗
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 154d ago
X Financial (XYF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript

Kan Li: Thank you, Victoria, and hello, everyone. In the first quarter of 2026, we continue to operate with a high degree of discipline as the operating environment remained challenging. Carrying forward the more conserv

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XYF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.84?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XYF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XYF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.52 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 18.8% and an 8.26% dividend yield suggest the business earns strong returns on capital and pays a high cash yield relative to i

Picked up a starter position in XYF in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.76. ROIC of 18.8% and an 8.26% dividend yield suggest the business earns strong returns on capital and pays a high cash yield relative to its $4.89 price.. Trading inside a $3.30–$12.85 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Finance: Consumer Services multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.67 (-22.9%)
Spot @ $4.76

The RQD verdict of Roarable Sell with a 0% FCF yield, Beta 1.0 and weak 13F flow (6/20) signals fundamentals and institutional support

Fading this rally in XYF at $4.76. The RQD verdict of Roarable Sell with a 0% FCF yield, Beta 1.0 and weak 13F flow (6/20) signals fundamentals and institutional support are not keeping pace with the stock.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.76 (52-wk range $3.30–$12.85), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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