Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: XPOF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.78 (+7.18% 1D, market cap $220.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPOF ranks #675 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), XPOF carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $179.2M) and SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $289.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPOF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPOF leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
Per XPOF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802156), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) generated $314.9M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), -$38.7M in net income, and $24.7M in free cash flow against $345.6M in total assets and $500.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.9% FCF Margin ($24.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling
While XPOF currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.45) and Max Pain ($5.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) surged +7.18% to $4.78, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($3.57 – $9.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-30/investor-said-to-look-to-bid-on-club-pilates-owner-xponential
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +20.43% and +2.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPOF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPOF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) ranks #675 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #678 by equity capitalization ($220.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XPOF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPOF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with XPOF at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPOF
ACTIVE
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | — | 6.8% | +7.18% | $220.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -6.25% | $179.2M | /aibz-vs-xpof → |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | E | 18/100 | — | — | -24.6% | +1.15% | $289.0M | /seg-vs-xpof → |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -1.50% | $393.3M | /cdro-vs-xpof → |
| TP Ticketplus Ltd. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $107.5M | /tp-vs-xpof → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) reported GAAP revenue of $314.9M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $320.3M , and -1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.7M, operating cash flow of $28.3M, and free cash flow of $24.7M (+255.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPOF closed FY2025 with $345.6M in total assets against $500.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $314.9M | -$38.7M | $28.3M | $24.7M | $345.6M | $500.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $320.3M | -$67.7M | $11.7M | $7.0M | $403.4M | $341.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $317.9M | -$4.0M | $32.7M | $32.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: XPOF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.78 (+7.18% 1D, market cap $220.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPOF ranks #675 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), XPOF carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $179.2M) and SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $289.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPOF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPOF leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
Per XPOF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802156), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) generated $314.9M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), -$38.7M in net income, and $24.7M in free cash flow against $345.6M in total assets and $500.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
XPOF last traded at $4.78 (+7.18% on volume of 1,176,614 shares), positioning the stock +7.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.45) and -20.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.99). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $9.25, XPOF sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.18 to $5.38).
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.78 (+7.18% 1D, market capitalization $220.0M).
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. — for specific product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail beyond the sector and industry classification.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) reported $314.9M in annual revenue (up from $320.3M in FY2024, -1.7% YoY) and -$38.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($317.9M revenue, -$4.0M net income) through FY2025, XPOF scaled operating cash flow to $28.3M and free cash flow to $24.7M, backed by $345.6M in total assets against $500.5M in total debt.
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies and no sector-correlation links.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Here is why I am bullish on XPOF here at $4.46: A 13.41% FCF yield and a reported takeover-bid catalyst could support the share price if the acquisition interest is confirmed.. Compare XPOF's 6.3% operating margin and 6.8% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $4.24 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — XPOF's 6/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Careful chasing XPOF at $4.46. An Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and rising debt to $500.5M leave the balance sheet vulnerable despite positive FY 2025 operating income.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 6.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.48 on multiple compression.
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