Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / XPEV / financials

OSK (64) NIO (17) VFS (36) LI (18) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

XPeng Inc. American (XPEV) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.04 -1.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.00

XPeng Inc. American (XPEV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XPEV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XPEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, XPeng Inc. American (NYSE: XPEV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $9.04 (-1.52% 1D, market cap $8.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPEV ranks #513 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XPEV compare to OSK and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), XPEV carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $8.35B) and NIO (NIO Inc. American) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while OSK leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEV?

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For XPeng Inc. American (XPEV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #513 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.00 (-0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XPEV SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$9.75+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.91-6.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$9.29-2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$9.04-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XPEV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XPEV currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.06) and Max Pain ($9.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XPEV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How XPEV Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$194.4M (4.9% FCF Margin)

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XPEV)

✓Walkthrough of XPEV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

XPEV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.43%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $9.32H $9.32L $9.04C $9.04VOL 3.86M

RES: $9.01SUP: $7.73SMA50: $10.06SMA200: $14.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XPEV Butterfly Map → + Track XPEV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #513 of 1011 ⚔️ OSK vs XPEV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (XPEV vs. OSK, NIO, VFS, LI)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPeng Inc. American (XPEV) ranks #513 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #183 by equity capitalization ($8.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OSK leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while OSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.4% ROIC and 17.5% gross margin. OSK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with XPEV at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XPEV ACTIVE XPeng Inc. American	D+	52/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.52%	$8.80B	Benchmark Subject
OSK Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)	C	64/100	11.4x	17.5%	14.4%	+3.45%	$8.35B	/osk-vs-xpev →
NIO NIO Inc. American	E	17/100	—	13.6%	-35.0%	-3.31%	$8.32B	/nio-vs-xpev →
VFS VinFast Auto Ltd.	D-	36/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-4.94%	$8.05B	/vfs-vs-xpev →
LI Li Auto Inc.	E	18/100	—	18.7%	-2.1%	-0.99%	$10.89B	/li-vs-xpev →

2. XPEV Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

XPeng Inc. American (XPEV) operates in Auto Manufacturing (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $8.80B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. XPEV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does XPEV compare to OSK and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEV?

Where is XPEV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEV last traded at $9.04 (-1.52% on volume of 4,488,713 shares), positioning the stock -10.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.06) and -37.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.36). Across its 52-week range of $8.94 to $28.24, XPEV sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($8.51 to $9.57).

XPEV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is XPeng Inc. American (XPEV)?

In Trailing 12 Months, XPEV converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 13.9% operating margin, and $194.4M in free cash flow (4.9% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: XPEV RQD Cockpit XPEV 12M Forecast XPEV Earnings & Move XPEV Dividends & DRIP XPEV Insiders & 13F XPEV Whale Options XPEV Profit Sankey XPEV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XPEV — XPeng Inc. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XPEV scores 52 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.03; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which the rating treats as the most supportive element. The weakest are whale/institutional flow and macro regime fit, which together signal limited institutional sponsorship and above-market sensitivity to sector conditions. The cash-engine pillar is modest: a 2.21% FCF yield sits against a trailing P/E of 32.8, a valuation tradeoff the rating's scoring reflects. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on balance-sheet durability and any improvement in cash generation; the downside risk is that valuation, weak institutional flow, and sector sensitivity compound one another. This is an analytical read of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	9.18
Market Cap	$8.8B
P/E (TTM)	32.8
Forward P/E	30.5
EV/EBITDA	21
EPS (TTM)	0.28
Dividend Yield	0%
Beta	1.03
52-Wk Range	$8.94 - $28.24
ROIC %	9.9%

Business

Per the profile, XPeng Inc. American is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Auto Manufacturing industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model. The source supports only sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Auto Manufacturing. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures by period, so the margin and ROIC claims can be verified?
What is XPeng's product mix, customer base, and geographic revenue split?
What drove the stock's move from its 52-week high of $28.24 to the current $9.18, and what is the underlying cause of the weak institutional flow score?
What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and does it reflect a data gap or an actual reported result?
What supply-chain dependencies and sector catalysts apply to the auto manufacturing industry, given the empty Butterfly graph?

XPEV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for XPeng Inc. American (XPEV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XPEV Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 9h ago

Tesla Has Best Norway October as Chinese Brands Hit Record

Tesla was Norway's top-selling brand with a 9.8% share

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 12h ago

XPENG to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on Monday, November 16, 2026

XPeng Inc. ("XPENG" or the "Company," NYSE: XPEV and HKEX: 9868), a leading global Physical AI company, today announced that it will report its third quarter 2026 unaudited financial results on Monday, November 16, 2026,

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 12h ago

XPeng Smashes October Delivery Record As Overseas Sales Skyrocket 166%

XPeng (NYSE: XPEV) shares rose premarket after reporting record October deliveries of 50,237 EVs, up 20% year-over-year.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago

China’s BYD Continues Massive EV Exports. It Isn’t Helping.

Exports accounted for 35% of total sales.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 1d ago

China EV Stocks Tumble: XPeng, Li Auto, BYD and Polestar Hit as Price War Bites

Top China EV stocks like XPeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Polestar have plunged because of the ongoing price war in the country.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago

Tesla China EV Rivals BYD, Xiaomi, XPeng Report Strong Sales As Year-End Push Begins

Tesla China rivals BYD, Xiaomi and XPeng reported strong October sales as the traditional year-end push begins.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 1d ago

NIO Stock Under Fire: Slowing October Deliveries Pile On the Pressure

Nio stock extended its steep sell-off last week, falling to its lowest level since April 2025 and sitting about 60% below its 2025 peak.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago

XPENG Announces Vehicle Delivery Results for October 2026

XPeng Inc. ("XPENG" or the "Company," NYSE: XPEV and HKEX: 9868), a leading global Physical AI company, today announced its vehicle delivery results for October 2026.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XPEV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.04?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPEV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.91 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XPEV (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $9.18?

Welcome to the XPEV (XPeng Inc. American) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.44 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $9.18

Pump the brakes on XPEV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XPEV, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless XPeng Inc. American expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.20 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $9.18

XPEV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XPEV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.18 (52-wk range $8.94 - $28.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.