Xometry Inc. (XMTR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$93.65 -7.11% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $92.27

Xometry Inc. (XMTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.78B
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As of 2026-11-02, Xometry Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $93.65 (-7.11% 1D, market cap $5.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XMTR ranks #515 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XMTR compare to MBGL and AMTM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), XMTR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of -7.8%. By comparison, MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B) and AMTM (Amentum Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 81.8x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XMTR?
β–Ό

Per XMTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657573), Xometry Inc. generated $686.6M in revenue (+25.9% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and -$24.1M in free cash flow against $703.7M in total assets and $192.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $92.27 (-1.47%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$119 Bull$91 Base$71 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE XMTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XMTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY XMTR SCORES 52/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.3% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$107.90-13.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$93.64+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$97.14-3.6% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$93.65-1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ D+ (52)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XMTR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While XMTR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($96.80) and Max Pain ($98.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $118.59.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XMTRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œXMTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How XMTR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$686.6MGross Profit $268.8M (39.1%)Cost of Sales $417.9MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $268.8MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $463.4M
FY24
Rev $545.5M
FY25
Rev $686.6M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$686.6M39.1%-6.6%-$61.7M-$24.1M-7.9%
FY 2024$545.5M39.5%-10.3%-$50.4M-$33.5M-9.7%
FY 2023$463.4M39.1%-15.9%-$67.5M-$50.7M-3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XMTR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of XMTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XMTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +76.73%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $99.75H $100.8L $93.65C $93.65VOL 488.6K
RES: $123.5SUP: $86.50SMA50: $96.80SMA200: $76.34
$117.8$97.69$77.59$57.48$37.38RES $123.5SUP $86.50$93.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XMTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XMTR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XMTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XMTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XMTR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #515 of 1011 βš”οΈ MBGL vs XMTR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (XMTR vs. MBGL, AMTM, EXLS, LYFT)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xometry Inc. (XMTR) ranks #515 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #245 by equity capitalization ($5.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXLS leads on earnings valuation at 24.7x trailing P/E, while EXLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 38.4% gross margin. EXLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 87/100 (A) compared with XMTR at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XMTR ACTIVE
Xometry Inc.
D+ 52/100 β€” 39.1% -7.8% -7.11% $5.78B Benchmark Subject
MBGL
Mobility Global Inc.
D 51/100 32.8x β€” 1.4% -0.05% $5.58B /mbgl-vs-xmtr β†’
AMTM
Amentum Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 81.8x 10.5% 4.6% -0.91% $5.40B /amtm-vs-xmtr β†’
EXLS
ExlService Holdings Inc.
A 87/100 24.7x 38.4% 23.4% +0.75% $6.20B /exls-vs-xmtr β†’
LYFT
Lyft Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 37.3% -4.7% -1.52% $6.21B /lyft-vs-xmtr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001657573

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xometry Inc. (XMTR) reported GAAP revenue of $686.6M (+25.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $545.5M , and +48.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.7M, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of -$24.1M (+28.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XMTR closed FY2025 with $703.7M in total assets against $192.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $686.6M -$61.7M $6.1M -$24.1M $703.7M $192.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $545.5M -$50.4M -$15.4M -$33.5M $680.1M $164.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $463.4M -$67.5M -$29.9M -$50.7M $3.18B $743.8M

3. XMTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XMTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Xometry Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $93.65 (-7.11% 1D, market cap $5.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XMTR ranks #515 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XMTR compare to MBGL and AMTM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), XMTR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of -7.8%. By comparison, MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B) and AMTM (Amentum Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 81.8x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XMTR?

Per XMTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657573), Xometry Inc. generated $686.6M in revenue (+25.9% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and -$24.1M in free cash flow against $703.7M in total assets and $192.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XMTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XMTR last traded at $93.65 (-7.11% on volume of 855,579 shares), positioning the stock -3.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($96.80) and +22.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($76.34). Across its 52-week range of $35.86 to $112.94, XMTR sits at the 75.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.3% ($82.13 to $105.17).

XMTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Xometry Inc. (XMTR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), XMTR converted $686.6M of revenue into a 39.1% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 52/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XMTR β€” Xometry Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XMTR scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC -7.8%, FCF yield -0.42%); Whale 13F Flow at 14 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8 of 20 (Beta 0.91, sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 of 20 (Altman Z 8.44, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.65).

For a prospective investor, the pattern is a stock whose strongest support comes from balance-sheet and institutional-flow signals, while its weakest pillars are cash generation and insider conviction. Negative ROIC and negative FCF yield mean the business is not currently earning returns above its cost of capital or generating free cash relative to its market value. The Altman Z and Piotroski readings suggest the balance sheet is not the primary concern, so the rating's downgrade is driven mainly by operating economics and weak insider alignment. Upside drivers would need to come from margin improvement that moves ROIC and FCF toward positive territory; the valuation tradeoff is that a forward P/E of 20 is being paid against negative trailing EPS, so the forward figure depends on earnings recovery that the source data does not quantify. Beta of 0.91 indicates market-like sensitivity, meaning the stock is not defensively positioned against broad drawdowns while also not carrying elevated market-level volatility.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$686.6M$-45.5M$-61.7MN/A$-24.1M$15.0M$192.1M
FY 2024$545.5M$-56.1M$-50.4MN/A$-33.5M$22.2M$164.0M
FY 2023$463.4M$-73.6M$-67.5MN/A$-50.7MN/A$743.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $463.4M in FY 2023 to $686.6M in FY 2025 while operating losses narrowed from $-73.6M to $-45.5M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 39.1%, operating margin is -6.6%, and net margin is -9%, with ROIC at -7.8%. Per the Roarable RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z-Score is 8.44, Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.65. Debt reported at $743.8M for FY 2023 declined to $192.1M for FY 2025, and cash moved from $15.0M in FY 2025 to $22.2M in FY 2024 and $15.0M in FY 2025 per the table.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are indexed for XMTR, all with the relatedSymbol XMTR. Two are classified as CATALYST items with GREEN light: a GuruFocus report describing shares surging 4.3% and referencing a GF Score of 70, and a Seeking Alpha report titled "Accelerating Growth At Xometry." Four are classified as MARKET WIRE items with YELLOW light, including an Investing.com UK report stating the stock hit an all-time high at 107.96 USD, an Investor's Business Daily report, a Simply Wall St forecast piece, and a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page. The news summaries are templated descriptions of market action and do not contain the underlying figures for the cited moves beyond the headlines. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What does Xometry sell, to which customers, and through which revenue model? The source data provides no business description.
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, and how does the forward P/E of 20 reconcile with trailing EPS of -1.08?
  • What drove the decline in cash from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while debt fell substantially from FY 2023, and what is the source of the FY 2023 cash figure, which is listed as N/A?
  • What are the underlying holder records behind the institutional accumulation and insider cluster signals that the RQD pillars reference?
  • What analyst coverage, consensus rating, and price targets exist for the stock?

XMTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xometry Inc. (XMTR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to XMTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XMTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $93.65?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XMTR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XMTR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $108.89 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XMTR (D+ β€’ RQD 52/100) a Buy at $100.82?

Welcome to the XMTR (Xometry Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.66 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $100.82

Pump the brakes on XMTR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XMTR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 39.1% gross margins. Unless Xometry Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $124.01 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $100.82

XMTR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XMTR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $100.82 (52-wk range $35.86 - $112.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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