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Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$71.19 -4.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.51

Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $90.94B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Williams Companies Inc. (NYSE: WMB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $71.19 (-4.25% 1D, market cap $90.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WMB ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WMB compare to NGG and EPD in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), WMB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.8%. By comparison, NGG (National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $88.14B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $82.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WMB?
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Per WMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000107263), Williams Companies Inc. generated $14.90B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $2.62B in net income, and $1.00B in free cash flow against $58.57B in total assets and $13.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.51 (-0.96%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (10)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$87 Bull$73 Base$57 Bear
📬 FREE WMB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WMB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WMB SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.09 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 28.2% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$72.80+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$72.80+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$74.27-4.1% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$71.19+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WMB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, WMB faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($72.42) or 200D SMA ($72.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($73.43) toward Bear Floor ($57.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WMB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WMB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WMB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WMB.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WMB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WMB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WMB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $74.88H $74.88L $71.19C $71.19VOL 7.63M
RES: $75.86SUP: $66.63SMA50: $72.42SMA200: $72.62
$81.20$76.56$71.91$67.27$62.63RES $75.86SUP $66.63$71.192026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WMB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WMB Butterfly Map → + Track WMB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WMB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WMB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WMB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WMB)

Energy Rank #60 of 211 ⚔️ NGG vs WMB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (WMB vs. NGG, EPD, ENB, KMI)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #17 by equity capitalization ($90.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPD leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while WMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. EPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with WMB at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WMB ACTIVE
Williams Companies Inc.
C 65/100 35.0x — 18.8% -4.25% $90.94B Benchmark Subject
NGG
National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC
C 64/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.56% $88.14B /ngg-vs-wmb →
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
B 72/100 14.5x 26.7% 7.9% -2.04% $82.38B /epd-vs-wmb →
ENB
Enbridge Inc
C- 61/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.53% $108.03B /enb-vs-wmb →
KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.8x — 6.0% -3.42% $75.45B /kmi-vs-wmb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000107263 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) reported GAAP revenue of $14.90B (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.63B , and +24.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.62B, operating cash flow of $5.90B, and free cash flow of $1.00B (-58.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WMB closed FY2025 with $58.57B in total assets against $13.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.09, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.90B $2.62B $5.90B $1.00B $58.57B $13.71B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.63B $2.23B $4.97B $2.40B $54.53B $12.76B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.00B $3.18B $5.94B $5.40B $50.37B $11.79B

3. WMB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Williams Companies Inc. (NYSE: WMB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $71.19 (-4.25% 1D, market cap $90.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WMB ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WMB compare to NGG and EPD in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), WMB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.8%. By comparison, NGG (National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $88.14B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $82.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WMB?

Per WMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000107263), Williams Companies Inc. generated $14.90B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $2.62B in net income, and $1.00B in free cash flow against $58.57B in total assets and $13.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WMB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WMB last traded at $71.19 (-4.25% on volume of 9,030,003 shares), positioning the stock -1.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($72.42) and -1.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($72.62). Across its 52-week range of $56.19 to $80.08, WMB sits at the 62.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($67.13 to $75.25).

Direct Sub-Reports: WMB RQD Cockpit WMB 12M Forecast WMB Earnings & Move WMB Dividends & DRIP WMB Insiders & 13F WMB Whale Options WMB Profit Sankey WMB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WMB — Williams Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $71.19 (-4.25% 1D, market capitalization $90.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 28.2%, and free cash flow yield of 1.10%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.09, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.92x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Natural Gas Distribution industry per the company profile..6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) reported $14.90B in annual revenue (up from $12.63B in FY2024, +17.9% YoY) and $2.62B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.00B revenue, $3.18B net income) through FY2025, WMB scaled operating cash flow to $5.90B and free cash flow to $1.00B, backed by $58.57B in total assets against $13.71B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 1.10% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $56.19 – $80.08 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 35.0x trailing P/E and 11.5x EV/EBITDA against 28.2% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Natural Gas Distribution (Energy), WMB carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can WMB sustain or expand its 28.2% operating margin and 18.8% ROIC against Natural Gas Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $14.90B and free cash flow of $1.00B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $13.71B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WMB's 29.4x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

WMB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WMB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WMB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $71.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WMB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WMB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.65 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 18.8% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 of 9 show strong operating returns and forensic balance sheet health.

Here is why I am bullish on WMB here at $74.35: ROIC of 18.8% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 of 9 show strong operating returns and forensic balance sheet health.. Compare WMB's 28.2% operating margin and 18.8% ROIC against the rest of Natural Gas Distribution. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $70.63 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 65/100 quality, though with 0.98 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $74.35 and keeping dry powder in case we test $69.15.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $59.48 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $74.35

FCF fell from $5.40B in FY 2023 to $1.00B in FY 2025 while debt rose, and the FCF yield is only 1.1%.

FCF fell from $5.40B in FY 2023 to $1.00B in FY 2025 while debt rose, and the FCF yield is only 1.1%.. Look at the math on WMB: paying 35.0x trailing P/E for 18.8% ROIC and 28.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Natural Gas Distribution demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $65.43 before getting long.

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