Waste Management Inc. (WM) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$233.45 +1.10% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $234.47

Waste Management Inc. (WM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (40% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $91.81B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WM Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Waste Management Inc. (NYSE: WM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $233.45 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $91.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, WM ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WM compare to RSG and WCN in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), WM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.9x, gross margin of 40.4%, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, RSG (Republic Services Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 33.8x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $72.35B) and WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WM?
β–Ό

Per WM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000823768), Waste Management Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $2.71B in net income, and $4.91B in free cash flow against $45.84B in total assets and $16.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $234.48 (+0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 19.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (15)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$292 Bull$247 Base$191 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WM SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.5% FCF Margin ($4.91B FCF) & 40.4% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.2% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$211.83+9.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$231.73+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$235.81-1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$233.45+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, WM faces multiple-compression risk if 33.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 37.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($218.06) or 200D SMA ($225.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($247.11) toward Bear Floor ($191.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.25% Total Yield
1.45% Cash ($3.39/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
17.6% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $28,651

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $931/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.3K
Yr 2
$13.7K
Yr 3
$15.2K
Yr 4
$16.9K
Yr 5
$18.8K
Yr 6
$20.9K
Yr 7
$23.2K
Yr 8
$25.8K
Yr 9
$28.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in WM & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on WM and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.46%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $225.2H $233.5L $225.2C $233.5VOL 2.86M
RES: $241.0SUP: $198.0SMA50: $218.1SMA200: $225.3
$250.4$236.9$223.4$209.9$196.4RES $241.0SUP $198.0$233.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WM)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (WM vs. RSG, WCN, GFL, CWST)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Waste Management Inc. (WM) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #5 by equity capitalization ($91.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFL leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while RSG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and 42.0% gross margin. RSG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with WM at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WM ACTIVE
Waste Management Inc.
B- 71/100 33.9x 40.4% 13.7% +1.10% $91.81B Benchmark Subject
RSG
Republic Services Inc.
B+ 79/100 33.8x 42.0% 13.9% +3.28% $72.35B /rsg-vs-wm β†’
WCN
Waste Connections Inc.
B 73/100 42.3x 42.4% 9.9% +1.16% $45.52B /wcn-vs-wm β†’
GFL
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.38% $19.64B /gfl-vs-wm β†’
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” 33.8% 2.4% +3.34% $5.75B /cwst-vs-wm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000823768

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Waste Management Inc. (WM) reported GAAP revenue of $25.20B (+14.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.06B , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.71B, operating cash flow of $6.04B, and free cash flow of $4.91B (+11.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, WM closed FY2025 with $45.84B in total assets against $16.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.91, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $25.20B $2.71B $6.04B $4.91B $45.84B $16.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.06B $2.75B $5.39B $4.40B $44.57B $16.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.43B $2.30B $4.72B $3.80B $50.50B $11.82B

3. WM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Waste Management Inc. (NYSE: WM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $233.45 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $91.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, WM ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WM compare to RSG and WCN in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), WM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.9x, gross margin of 40.4%, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, RSG (Republic Services Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 33.8x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $72.35B) and WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WM?

Per WM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000823768), Waste Management Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $2.71B in net income, and $4.91B in free cash flow against $45.84B in total assets and $16.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WM last traded at $233.45 (+1.10% on volume of 2,615,538 shares), positioning the stock +7.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($218.06) and +3.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($225.34). Across its 52-week range of $194.11 to $248.13, WM sits at the 72.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.2% ($223.65 to $243.25).

WM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does WM pay a dividend and is it safe?

Waste Management Inc. (WM) offers a 1.45% cash dividend yield ($3.39 annualized) and 3.25% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WM β€” Waste Management Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WM scores 71 out of 100 for a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a ROIC of 13.7% and an FCF yield of 5.35%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business generates meaningful cash relative to its capital base and market value. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the company's returns on invested capital and free-cash-flow generation are the main support for the valuation, although the P/E figures in the Snapshot indicate the market is pricing in a premium.
  • Whale 13F Flow (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not provide 13F holder detail (see Analyst View), so the score cannot be traced to specific holders here. The implication is that institutional flow has been constructive, but this cannot be independently verified from the provided sections.
  • Insider Conviction (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data. An investor should treat this score as a summary signal rather than a verifiable transaction record.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, WM carries a beta of 0.7 and this pillar reflects sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 implies lower relative price sensitivity to broad market moves, which can make the stock more defensive in a risk-off environment, though it may lag in strong risk-on rallies.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.91, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.51. This is the weakest pillar. The implication is that leverage is a meaningful consideration, and the balance sheet adds more risk than the cash-generation or flow pillars.

Valuation tradeoff: the cash-flow and ROIC strengths sit alongside a P/E (TTM) of 33.9 and a Forward P/E of 28.5, so upside depends on continued earnings growth and cash-flow delivery to justify the multiple. The score is a summary of the provided data and is not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
230.9$91.81B33.928.520.26.811.45%0.7$194.11 - $248.1313.7%

Business

Waste Management Inc. (WM) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Per the profile, it operates in the Utilities sector within the Environmental Services industry. Not available in source data: the specific products, customer segments, and revenue-generation model beyond the sector and industry classification. Its reported revenue and margins are shown in the Financial Trend section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$25204.0M$4308.0M$2708.0MN/A$4908.8M$201.0M$16129.8M
FY 2024$22063.0M$4063.0M$2746.0MN/A$4397.2M$414.0M$16340.9M
FY 2023$20426.0M$3575.0M$2304.0MN/A$3799.8MN/A$11816.4M

Per the market data, gross margin is 40.4%, operating margin 17.1%, and net margin 10.7%, with ROIC of 13.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.91 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 1.51. Reported revenue rose from $20426.0M (FY 2023) to $25204.0M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $2304.0M to $2746.0M in FY 2024 before reaching $2708.0M in FY 2025. Debt was $16129.8M at FY 2025 against cash of $201.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all tagged to WM, from Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, and CNN. Headlines are largely market commentary: one "Beats Stock Market Upswing" piece (flagged GREEN as CATALYST), a price-quote page, a long-runway analysis, a Jim Cramer commentary, and a post-Q2-earnings buy/sell/hold piece, the remaining items flagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE. The feed does not contain specific operational, contract, or guidance details; the summaries are generic. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items the data supports: the debt level relative to cash, and a valuation multiple that depends on continued execution.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific holder-level 13F and Form 4 transactions underlying the whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What drove the change in net income between FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite revenue growth, and what are the drivers of the EPS trend (EPS is N/A in the financials)?
  • How is the $16129.8M debt structured in terms of maturities and interest cost, and how does it bear on the forensic balance-sheet score?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range, and how does the current price compare?
  • Which specific supply-chain or sector relationships affect WM, given the Butterfly graph shows no links?

WM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Waste Management Inc. (WM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to WM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $233.45?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $272.46 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WM (B- β€’ RQD 71/100) a Buy at $230.90?

Welcome to the WM (Waste Management Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Environmental Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $187.03 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $230.90

Pump the brakes on WM β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WM, but look at what you are paying: 33.9x trailing P/E with 40.4% gross margins. Unless Waste Management Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $281.70 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $230.90

WM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Environmental Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $230.90 (52-wk range $194.11 - $248.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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