John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$51.60 -4.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.27

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WLYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (NYSE: WLYB) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $51.60 (-4.86% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLYB ranks #82 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WLYB compare to WLY and SCHL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Books), WLYB carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of 74.3%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, WLY (John Wiley & Sons Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $2.61B) and SCHL (Scholastic Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 12.7x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $722.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLY leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while WLYB leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLYB?
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Per WLYB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000107140), John Wiley & Sons Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (-0.1% YoY), $221.6M in net income, and $209.4M in free cash flow against $2.56B in total assets and $796.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.27 (-0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 12.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (15)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$65 Bull$55 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE WLYB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WLYB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WLYB SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 16.5% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$51.59+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$53.04+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$54.46-5.3% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$51.60+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WLYB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, WLYB faces multiple-compression risk if 12.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.74) or 200D SMA ($43.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.32) toward Bear Floor ($42.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WLYB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WLYB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your WLYB Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $51.60: 193.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $42.31
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $55.32
$10,721
+$721 (+7.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $65.28
$12,651
+$2,651 (+26.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$5874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$6169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WLYB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
WLYB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.24%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $54.23H $54.23L $51.60C $51.60VOL 103
RES: $54.37SUP: $49.15SMA50: $50.74SMA200: $43.76
$56.84$51.34$45.84$40.33$34.83RES $54.37SUP $49.15$51.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WLYB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WLYB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WLYB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WLYB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WLYB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #82 of 1011 ⚔️ WLY vs WLYB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WLYB vs. WLY, SCHL, PSO, AAP)

Industry: Books (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) ranks #82 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #377 by equity capitalization ($2.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLY leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while WLYB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.1% ROIC and 74.3% gross margin. WLYB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WLYB ACTIVE
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
B 74/100 12.4x 74.3% 15.1% -4.86% $2.75B Benchmark Subject
WLY
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
B 72/100 11.8x 74.3% 15.1% -0.52% $2.61B /wly-vs-wlyb →
SCHL
Scholastic Corporation
C- 59/100 12.7x 56.4% 1.1% +0.82% $722.2M /schl-vs-wlyb →
PSO
Pearson Plc
C- 60/100 — — — -0.74% $10.53B /pso-vs-wlyb →
AAP
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
E 28/100 62.8x 43.4% -1.4% -1.36% $2.76B /aap-vs-wlyb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000107140

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.68B (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and -10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $221.6M, operating cash flow of $260.5M, and free cash flow of $209.4M (+48.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, WLYB closed FY2025 with $2.56B in total assets against $796.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $1.68B $221.6M $260.5M $209.4M $2.56B $796.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $1.68B $84.2M $202.6M $141.1M $2.60B $877.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $1.87B -$200.3M $207.6M $207.6M — —

3. WLYB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WLYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (NYSE: WLYB) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $51.60 (-4.86% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLYB ranks #82 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WLYB compare to WLY and SCHL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Books), WLYB carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of 74.3%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, WLY (John Wiley & Sons Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $2.61B) and SCHL (Scholastic Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 12.7x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $722.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLY leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while WLYB leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLYB?

Per WLYB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000107140), John Wiley & Sons Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (-0.1% YoY), $221.6M in net income, and $209.4M in free cash flow against $2.56B in total assets and $796.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WLYB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WLYB last traded at $51.60 (-4.86% on volume of 173 shares), positioning the stock +1.69% above its 50-day simple moving average ($50.74) and +17.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.76). Across its 52-week range of $29.62 to $55.51, WLYB sits at the 84.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($50.67 to $52.53).

WLYB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WLYB's 12-month stock price target?

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $55.32 (+7.2% from $51.60), with a bull-case target of $65.28 and a bear-case floor of $42.31.

Is WLYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates WLYB B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 74/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WLYB — John Wiley & Sons Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WLYB scores 74 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an ROIC of 15.1% and an FCF yield of 7.6%. Investor implication: the business converts capital into returns and cash at a level the rating considers solid, though this is not the top-scoring pillar.
  • Whale 13F Flow (14/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: institutional positioning is supportive but not decisive; the source data does not itemize the holdings behind this score.
  • Insider Conviction (18/20): Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: the rating reads recent insider activity as a meaningful positive signal, which is worth verifying against the filings themselves.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20): Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock is assessed as moving in line with the broad market, so it offers neither a defensive profile nor an outsized-beta profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 2.68, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.06. Investor implication: the balance sheet is assessed as sound on the scoring models used, with leverage being the main item to monitor.

Taken together, the rating points to upside drivers in insider conviction and cash generation, with valuation in the market data (P/E TTM 12.4, forward P/E 11.5) relatively modest against the reported earnings base. The main tradeoffs are a middling macro fit and institutional flow that the rating scores only moderately. This is an analytical summary of the scoring, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$54.23$2.75B12.411.510.84.372.7%1.0$29.62 - $55.5115.1%

Business

Per the profile, John Wiley & Sons Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Books industry. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mechanics beyond the reported gross margin of 74.3%, operating margin of 16.5%, and net margin of 13.2% per the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1676.5M$276.9M$221.6MN/A$209.4M$95.1M$796.3M
FY 2024$1677.6M$221.4M$84.2MN/A$141.1M$104.5M$877.2M
FY 2023$1873.0M$52.3M$-200.3MN/A$207.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while operating and net income rose substantially, and FY 2023 shows a net loss of $-200.3M. Per the market data, the operating margin is 16.5% and ROIC is 15.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.68, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.06. Reported debt declined from $877.2M to $796.3M across FY 2024 to FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items relate to WLYB and are tagged YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Moomoo stock forum/discussion item covering institutional positioning and fundamental catalysts.
  • An Investing.com South Africa item reporting a Form 4 filing from director Raymond W. Mcdaniel.
  • Stock Titan items reporting deferred quarterly dividends granting director stock units, including 114, 228, and 439 units across separate items.
  • A Stock Traders Daily item on behavioral patterns and institutional flows.

Risk watch items per the source: the news feed is headline-level and does not state the substance of the institutional flows or the financial effect of the director unit grants. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE" with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation beyond the sector classification (Consumer Discretionary) and beta of 1.0. Investors should note that second-order ripple analysis cannot be performed from this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific insider purchase or sale amounts and dates behind the Form 4 cluster flow reflected in the insider conviction score?
  • Which institutions drove the whale 13F accumulation, and what is the size of their positions?
  • What is the composition of the FY 2025 operating income increase relative to the flat revenue?
  • What is the debt maturity profile and cost, given debt of $796.3M against cash of $95.1M?
  • What drove the FY 2023 net loss of $-200.3M, and is it a one-time item?

WLYB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLYB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WLYB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WLYB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $51.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WLYB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WLYB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.99 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WLYB (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $54.23?

Welcome to the WLYB (John Wiley & Sons Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Books. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $44.47 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $54.23

Pump the brakes on WLYB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WLYB, but look at what you are paying: 12.4x trailing P/E with 74.3% gross margins. Unless John Wiley & Sons Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.91 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $54.23

WLYB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WLYB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Books and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.23 (52-wk range $29.62 - $55.51), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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