CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why Is Wingstop (WING) Stock Soaring TodayYahoo Finance report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why WING Stock surged +8.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$163.04 +8.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.34
Wingstop Inc. (WING) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $4.05B
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Is WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market cap $4.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?
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Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.34 (+1.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WING)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WING SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (71) create a -9 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$122.90-2.4% Next Q
58
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$119.95+15.5% Next Q
61
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$138.57+17.7% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C+$163.04+1.4% Hist 90D α
66
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WING Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, WING faces multiple-compression risk if 22.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.98) or 200D SMA ($161.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($168.91) toward Bear Floor ($131.75).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WING• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WING Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WING Stock surged +8.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Wingstop Inc. (WING) surged +8.89% to $163.04, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($95.82 – $302.8). Solid steady margins (45% return on capital), mixed timing at 23x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($95.82 – $302.8) with RSI-14 at 71 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.9% around $163.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $105.6M annual free cash flow.
Live WING Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHBarron's • 1d ago
Wingstop Stock Sinks as Wall Street Slashes Outlook. A Sales Recovery Looks Elusive.Barron's report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETrefis • 1d ago
A 5-Day Winning Streak Has Wingstop Stock Up 25%Trefis report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Why is Wingstop stock surging today?Investing.com report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRENorthern Kentucky Tribune • 1d ago
Joe Cotton’s Weekly Stock Picks: McDonalds and Wingstop are way down from their highsNorthern Kentucky Tribune report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Wingstop (WING) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to KnowYahoo Finance report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREGuruFocus • 1d ago
Wingstop Inc (WING) Stock Up 3.1% and Still Undervalued -- GF ScGuruFocus report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHInvesting.com • 1d ago
StoneX cuts Wingstop stock price target to $185 on QSR headwindsInvesting.com report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Defensive Bets Extend Streak As Crocs, Wingstop, Carvana Lead Weekly Consumer GainsConsumer staples and discretionary ETFs posted weekly gains despite broader market weakness, boosted by earnings and raised outlooks.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
5 insightful analyst questions from Wingstop’s Q3 earnings callWingstop’s third quarter results drew a strong positive response from the market despite revenue missing Wall Street’s expectations. The company’s management pointed to new marketing strategies and the rollout of its fir
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WING Tape Review)
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WING // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.33%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $145.4H $163.0L $145.4C $163.0VOL 1.58M
RES: $128.6SUP: $83.03SMA50: $117.0SMA200: $161.5
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WING Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +11.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WING today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WING. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WING today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WING)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #216 of 1009
⚔️ SHAK vs WING Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WING vs. SHAK, CAKE, JMKE, CAVA)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wingstop Inc. (WING) ranks #216 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #305 by equity capitalization ($4.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WING leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while WING leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CAKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with WING at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WING
ACTIVE
Wingstop Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 22.6x | — | 45.0% | +8.89% | $4.05B | Benchmark Subject |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | D | 48/100 | 60.7x | — | 6.8% | +2.81% | $3.02B | /shak-vs-wing → |
| CAKE Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | B- | 71/100 | 38.0x | — | 18.9% | +0.28% | $5.61B | /cake-vs-wing → |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | D | 47/100 | 32.8x | — | 2.4% | +2.84% | $5.81B | /jmke-vs-wing → |
| CAVA CAVA Group Inc. | D | 51/100 | 108.5x | — | 5.9% | +5.64% | $6.86B | /cava-vs-wing → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001636222 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Wingstop Inc. (WING) reported GAAP revenue of $696.9M (+11.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $625.8M , and +51.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $174.3M, operating cash flow of $153.1M, and free cash flow of $105.6M (-0.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WING closed FY2025 with $693.4M in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-27 | $696.9M | $174.3M | $153.1M | $105.6M | $693.4M | $1.21B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $625.8M | $108.7M | $157.6M | $105.7M | $716.2M | $1.21B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $460.1M | $70.2M | $121.6M | $100.9M | $2.16B | $506.2M |
3. WING Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market cap $4.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?
Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WING trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WING last traded at $163.04 (+8.89% on volume of 2,974,153 shares), positioning the stock +39.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($116.98) and +0.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($161.49). Across its 52-week range of $95.82 to $302.80, WING sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($143.64 to $182.44).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
WING — Wingstop Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Wingstop Inc. (WING) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market capitalization $4.05B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 45.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 25.7%, and free cash flow yield of 2.69%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.33, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Wingstop Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mechanics beyond the reported financial figures. The company's market capitalization is $3.9B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Wingstop Inc. (WING) reported $696.9M in annual revenue (up from $625.8M in FY2024, +11.4% YoY) and $174.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($460.1M revenue, $70.2M net income) through FY2025, WING scaled operating cash flow to $153.1M and free cash flow to $105.6M, backed by $693.4M in total assets against $1.21B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.69% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $95.82 – $302.80 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 22.6x trailing P/E and 22.5x EV/EBITDA against 25.7% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), WING carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can WING sustain or expand its 25.7% operating margin and 45.0% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $696.9M and free cash flow of $105.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.21B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is WING's 21.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?
WING Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wingstop Inc. (WING) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why Is Wingstop (WING) Stock Soaring Today Yahoo Finance report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Barron's • 1d ago
Wingstop Stock Sinks as Wall Street Slashes Outlook. A Sales Recovery Looks Elusive. Barron's report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago
A 5-Day Winning Streak Has Wingstop Stock Up 25% Trefis report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Why is Wingstop stock surging today? Investing.com report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Northern Kentucky Tribune • 1d ago
Joe Cotton’s Weekly Stock Picks: McDonalds and Wingstop are way down from their highs Northern Kentucky Tribune report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Wingstop (WING) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know Yahoo Finance report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago
Wingstop Inc (WING) Stock Up 3.1% and Still Undervalued -- GF Sc GuruFocus report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago
StoneX cuts Wingstop stock price target to $185 on QSR headwinds Investing.com report covering Wingstop Inc. (WING) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
WING Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $163.04?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WING 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $179.68 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Strong ROIC of 45% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to a high-quality cash engine and balance sheet, with insider conviction scorin
Long WING at $149.73 targeting $179.68. Strong ROIC of 45% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to a high-quality cash engine and balance sheet, with insider conviction scoring 16/20.. Institutional whale score is 12/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $95.82 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — WING's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $115.29 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $149.73 A Barron's report cites Wall Street outlook cuts and doubts about a sales recovery, while the stock trades far below its $302.8 52-week
Fading this rally in WING at $149.73. A Barron's report cites Wall Street outlook cuts and doubts about a sales recovery, while the stock trades far below its $302.8 52-week high.. With a beta of 1.01 and the stock sitting at $149.73 (52-wk range $95.82–$302.80), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.