Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$30.61 +1.26% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.62

Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $860.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.61 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $860.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WGO ranks #193 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WGO compare to THO and DFH in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), WGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.5x, gross margin of 13.0%, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, THO (Thor Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $3.80B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WGO?
β–Ό

Per WGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000107687), Winnebago Industries Inc. generated $2.80B in revenue (-5.9% YoY), $25.7M in net income, and $89.5M in free cash flow against $2.13B in total assets and $541.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.62 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$53 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WGO SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$23.21-2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$22.67+24% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$28.11+8.9% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$30.61-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WGO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, WGO faces multiple-compression risk if 33.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.46) or 200D SMA ($32.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.20) toward Bear Floor ($23.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WGOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WGO)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WGO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WGO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of WGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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WGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.43%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $28.63H $30.61L $28.63C $30.61VOL 809.2K
RES: $33.61SUP: $21.14SMA50: $27.46SMA200: $32.58
$37.81$33.51$29.21$24.91$20.62RES $33.61SUP $21.14$30.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WGO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WGO)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WGO vs. THO, DFH, LGIH, LEGH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) ranks #193 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #264 by equity capitalization ($860.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with WGO at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WGO ACTIVE
Winnebago Industries Inc.
D+ 55/100 33.5x 13.0% 2.8% +1.26% $860.8M Benchmark Subject
THO
Thor Industries Inc.
D+ 53/100 14.7x 14.0% 5.0% +0.38% $3.80B /tho-vs-wgo β†’
DFH
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 4.2x β€” 15.3% -2.49% $909.0M /dfh-vs-wgo β†’
LGIH
LGI Homes Inc.
E 27/100 14.0x 20.7% 3.0% +1.44% $1.02B /lgih-vs-wgo β†’
LEGH
Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)
C+ 68/100 16.5x β€” 7.4% +1.49% $688.0M /legh-vs-wgo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-30 β€’ CIK 0000107687

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30), Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.80B (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.97B , and -19.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.7M, operating cash flow of $128.9M, and free cash flow of $89.5M (-9.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WGO closed FY2025 with $2.13B in total assets against $541.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-30 $2.80B $25.7M $128.9M $89.5M $2.13B $541.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $2.97B $13.0M $143.9M $98.9M $2.30B $637.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-26 $3.49B $215.9M $294.5M $294.5M β€” β€”

3. WGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.61 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $860.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WGO ranks #193 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WGO compare to THO and DFH in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), WGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.5x, gross margin of 13.0%, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, THO (Thor Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $3.80B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WGO?

Per WGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000107687), Winnebago Industries Inc. generated $2.80B in revenue (-5.9% YoY), $25.7M in net income, and $89.5M in free cash flow against $2.13B in total assets and $541.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WGO last traded at $30.61 (+1.26% on volume of 697,201 shares), positioning the stock +11.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.46) and -6.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.58). Across its 52-week range of $21.95 to $50.16, WGO sits at the 30.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.4% ($27.12 to $34.10).

WGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is WGO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WGO.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WGO β€” Winnebago Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WGO scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 9 of 20 (ROIC 2.8%; FCF yield 10.4%), indicating weak capital efficiency paired with a high cash-yield figure that a prospective investor should interpret cautiously. Whale 13F Flow scores 10 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is only moderately supportive. Insider Conviction scores 13 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 7 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), the weakest relative alignment with the current regime. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20 (Altman Z 3.39; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.44), the strongest pillar and the main offset to the weaker operating picture.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the cash-yield figure and balance-sheet strength, while the valuation tradeoff is that the trailing P/E of 33.5 is elevated relative to the thin operating margin of 2%. The second-order implication is that a low-margin business trading at a high earnings multiple leaves limited room for error if sector demand or margins soften further.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
30.23$860.8M33.531.213.50.94.52%1.0$21.95 - $50.162.8%

Business

Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Homebuilding industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its specific product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. Per the profile, the market capitalization is $0.9B. Revenue generation is not further detailed in the source data beyond the reported financial figures below.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2798.2M$57.2M$25.7MN/A$89.5M$181.7M$541.0M
FY 2024$2973.5M$100.2M$13.0MN/A$98.9M$262.5M$637.7M
FY 2023$3490.7M$300.7M$215.9MN/A$294.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $3490.7M in FY 2023 to $2798.2M in FY 2025, and operating income fell from $300.7M to $57.2M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 13%, operating margin 2%, and net margin 0.9%, with ROIC at 2.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.39, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.44. Cash declined from $262.5M to $181.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while debt fell from $637.7M to $541.0M, indicating deleveraging alongside lower cash balances.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference WGO. Headlines include a Benzinga report stating "Winnebago Stock Jumps 6% As Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates Despite Revenue Miss, Soft 2027 Outlook," a Seeking Alpha item on earnings results, and multiple Yahoo Finance and Motley Fool pieces on post-earnings price action. Several items are tagged as catalysts (GREEN) and others as market wire (YELLOW). The soft 2027 outlook and revenue miss referenced in the Benzinga headline represent the primary risk watch items. The Butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals (see below).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the reported Industrials/Homebuilding classification alone does not establish these linkages.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and customer segments drive the $2798.2M in FY 2025 revenue, and how does the revenue decline relate to the soft 2027 outlook referenced in the news?
  • What are the EPS figures for each reported fiscal period, given that the source lists EPS as N/A for all three years?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash and debt position, which the source lists as N/A?
  • Who holds WGO shares among institutional investors, and what are the specific 13F and insider transactions underlying the pillar scores?
  • What is the source of the dividend yield of 4.52% given the thin net margin of 0.9%?

WGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to WGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $30.61?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WGO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WGO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $32.65 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WGO (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $30.23?

Welcome to the WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.39 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $30.23

Pump the brakes on WGO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WGO, but look at what you are paying: 33.5x trailing P/E with 13.0% gross margins. Unless Winnebago Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.97 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $30.23

WGO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WGO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.23 (52-wk range $21.95 - $50.16), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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