Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$90.63 +1.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.04

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $6.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WFRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Weatherford International plc (NASDAQ: WFRD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $90.63 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $6.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WFRD ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WFRD compare to NOV and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), WFRD carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 27.4%. By comparison, NOV (NOV Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 47.6x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $6.88B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while WFRD leads on capital efficiency (27.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WFRD?
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Per WFRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001603923), Weatherford International plc generated $2.12B in revenue (-19.4% YoY), $431.0M in net income, and $450.0M in free cash flow against $5.20B in total assets and $1.58B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.04 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 21.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C-
Cash (16)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$119 Bull$96 Base$74 Bear
📬 FREE WFRD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WFRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WFRD SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.3% FCF Margin ($450.0M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$75.45+13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$85.49+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$88.81+2% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$90.63+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WFRD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, WFRD faces multiple-compression risk if 15.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($85.18) or 200D SMA ($93.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($95.93) toward Bear Floor ($74.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WFRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WFRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WFRD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WFRD.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WFRD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WFRD
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WFRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.94%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $89.58H $90.63L $89.58C $90.63VOL 745.5K
RES: $90.34SUP: $66.86SMA50: $85.18SMA200: $93.16
$116.0$104.2$92.37$80.55$68.73RES $90.34SUP $66.86$90.632026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WFRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WFRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WFRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WFRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WFRD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #133 of 1011 ⚔️ NOV vs WFRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WFRD vs. NOV, SEI, WHD, DNOW)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) ranks #133 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #228 by equity capitalization ($6.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WFRD leads on earnings valuation at 15.1x trailing P/E, while WFRD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.4% ROIC and — gross margin. WHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with WFRD at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WFRD ACTIVE
Weatherford International plc
B- 71/100 15.1x — 27.4% +1.17% $6.57B Benchmark Subject
NOV
NOV Inc.
D+ 57/100 47.6x 20.2% 6.1% -0.36% $6.88B /nov-vs-wfrd →
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.
C 64/100 — — 25.3% +2.29% $5.41B /sei-vs-wfrd →
WHD
Cactus Inc.
B 72/100 31.6x 37.0% 15.4% +0.32% $5.27B /whd-vs-wfrd →
DNOW
DNOW Inc.
D 51/100 — 17.0% -3.6% -2.10% $2.95B /dnow-vs-wfrd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001603923

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Weatherford International plc (WFRD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.12B (-19.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.63B , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $431.0M, operating cash flow of $676.0M, and free cash flow of $450.0M (-8.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WFRD closed FY2025 with $5.20B in total assets against $1.58B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.06, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.12B $431.0M $676.0M $450.0M $5.20B $1.58B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.63B $506.0M $792.0M $493.0M $5.16B $1.74B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.30B $417.0M $832.0M $832.0M $3.57B $835.5M

3. WFRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WFRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Weatherford International plc (NASDAQ: WFRD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $90.63 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $6.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WFRD ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WFRD compare to NOV and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), WFRD carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 27.4%. By comparison, NOV (NOV Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 47.6x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $6.88B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while WFRD leads on capital efficiency (27.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WFRD?

Per WFRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001603923), Weatherford International plc generated $2.12B in revenue (-19.4% YoY), $431.0M in net income, and $450.0M in free cash flow against $5.20B in total assets and $1.58B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WFRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WFRD last traded at $90.63 (+1.17% on volume of 745,489 shares), positioning the stock +6.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($85.18) and -2.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($93.16). Across its 52-week range of $68.49 to $113.15, WFRD sits at the 49.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($84.10 to $97.16).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WFRD — Weatherford International plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WFRD scores 71 out of 100, graded B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16 / 20 (ROIC 27.4%; FCF yield 6.93%), Whale 13F Flow at 12 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 19 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 / 20 (Beta 1.07; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 / 20 (Altman Z 2.06; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.87). Per the rating, the strongest pillar is insider conviction, while macro regime fit is the weakest, which suggests the stock's sensitivity to sector and market conditions is the main drag on its score. For a prospective investor, the rating points to strong cash generation and balance-sheet quality alongside a higher beta and a lower macro-fit score, so the upside case rests heavily on continued cash conversion and insider signaling, with the valuation tradeoff reflected in a P/E (TTM) of 15.1 against a Forward P/E of 12.7. This is an analytical reading of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Bullish-leaning headlines (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance item titled "Why Weatherford International Stock Crushed it Today" (1h ago); a Motley Fool item with the same headline (3h ago); a TradingView estimates item (9h ago); and a GuruFocus item reporting solid Q3 2026 results (15h ago).
  • Risk Watch (RED): A Seeking Alpha item stating the stock is "Mostly Fully Valued Here Despite The Drop" (6h ago), and a Yahoo Finance item stating the stock "Drops As Q3 Results Put Cash Flow First" (12h ago).
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for WFRD.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: — Holders data: — No consensus rating, price targets, SEC Form 4 insider detail, 13F whale holdings, or Congressional trades are provided in the source data. The RQD rating's insider and whale pillar scores (19 / 20 and 12 / 20) are cited above as rating outputs, not as holder-level detail.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue figure for each reported period, given that revenue is recorded as — throughout the SEC financials?
  • What drove the change in debt from $835.5M (FY 2023) to $1.74B (FY 2024), and what explains the subsequent decline to $1.58B?
  • What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlying the 19 / 20 and 12 / 20 pillar scores?
  • What explains the 0% gross margin alongside a 41.6% operating margin?
  • What is the basis for the "Stock Drops As Q3 Results Put Cash Flow First" and "Solid Q3 2026 Results" headlines, given that no Q3 financials appear in the source data?

WFRD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Weatherford International plc (WFRD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WFRD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WFRD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $90.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WFRD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WFRD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $104.22 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (19 / 20) and a 27.4% ROIC with a 6.93% FCF yield signal strong cash generation backed by insider buying.

Insider conviction (19 / 20) and a 27.4% ROIC with a 6.93% FCF yield signal strong cash generation backed by insider buying.. When you look under the hood at WFRD, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 27.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $113.15. My 12M target is $104.22.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WFRD's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $73.41 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $90.63

Macro regime fit scores only 10 / 20 with a 1.07 beta, and revenue is unreported at $0.0M across all periods.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on WFRD: Macro regime fit scores only 10 / 20 with a 1.07 beta, and revenue is unreported at $0.0M across all periods.. At 15.1x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Oil and Gas Field Machinery triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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