Western Digital Corporation (WDC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$366.11 -7.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $360.53

Western Digital Corporation (WDC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $148.01B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: WDC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $366.11 (-7.41% 1D, market cap $148.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, WDC ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WDC compare to STX and SNDK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), WDC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $160.21B) and SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $193.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WDC?
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Per WDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0000106040), Western Digital Corporation generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.61B in total assets and $2.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $360.55 (-1.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$840 Bull$384 Base$300 Bear
📬 FREE WDC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WDC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 15.75 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.7) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$380.71-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$364.32+4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$380.88-3.9% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$366.11+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WDC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, WDC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($419.38) or 200D SMA ($420.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($384.23) toward Bear Floor ($299.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WDC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WDC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your WDC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $366.11: 27.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $299.70
$8,186
$-1,814 (-18.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $384.23
$10,495
+$495 (+4.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $839.86
$22,940
+$12,940 (+129.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$40074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$78969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$34258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WDC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.24%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $396.4H $396.4L $366.1C $366.1VOL 5.73M
RES: $393.8SUP: $304.1SMA50: $419.4SMA200: $420.7
$842.4$666.3$490.3$314.3$138.3RES $393.8SUP $304.1$366.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WDC)

Technology Rank #104 of 714 ⚔️ STX vs WDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (WDC vs. STX, SNDK, KLAC, TEL)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Western Digital Corporation (WDC) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #37 by equity capitalization ($148.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while WDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. SNDK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with WDC at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WDC ACTIVE
Western Digital Corporation
C+ 69/100 21.7x — 58.3% -7.41% $148.01B Benchmark Subject
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)
C+ 66/100 21.7x — 58.3% -7.98% $160.21B /stx-vs-wdc →
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
B+ 76/100 21.7x — 58.3% -13.47% $193.29B /sndk-vs-wdc →
KLAC
KLA Corporation
C+ 68/100 53.8x 60.9% 22.4% -5.69% $218.50B /klac-vs-wdc →
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
B 74/100 35.0x 35.2% 15.2% -4.37% $64.49B /tel-vs-wdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0000106040

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Western Digital Corporation (WDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.52B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 (-100.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, WDC closed FY2025 with $15.61B in total assets against $2.43B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 15.75, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-02 $0 $0 $0 $0 $15.61B $2.43B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-27 $9.52B $1.64B $1.69B $1.28B $25.46B $7.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-06-28 $6.32B -$765.0M -$294.0M -$578.3M $81.41B $19.05B

3. WDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: WDC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $366.11 (-7.41% 1D, market cap $148.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, WDC ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WDC compare to STX and SNDK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), WDC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $160.21B) and SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $193.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WDC?

Per WDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0000106040), Western Digital Corporation generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.61B in total assets and $2.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WDC last traded at $366.11 (-7.41% on volume of 8,979,554 shares), positioning the stock -12.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($419.38) and -12.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($420.72). Across its 52-week range of $132.43 to $799.87, WDC sits at the 35.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($329.50 to $402.72).

WDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WDC's 12-month stock price target?

Western Digital Corporation (WDC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $384.23 (+4.9% from $366.11), with a bull-case target of $839.86 and a bear-case floor of $299.7.

Is WDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates WDC C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 69/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WDC — Western Digital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WDC scores 69 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15 / 20): Reflects ROIC of 58.3% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. For an investor, this indicates strong capital efficiency alongside a modest cash yield relative to the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow (10 / 20): Summarizes institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source gives the score but no underlying 13F detail, so the direction and size of institutional flows cannot be verified from this dataset.
  • Insider Conviction (17 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is the second-strongest pillar, but the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): Reflects a beta of 1.34 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, which raises both upside and downside exposure in risk-on or risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (18 / 20): Reflects an Altman Z-Score of 15.75, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is the strongest pillar and suggests low distress risk on the metrics provided.

Investor implications: the rating combines a strong balance sheet and insider signal with weaker macro-fit and institutional-flow scores. Upside drivers in the data are capital efficiency and the insider signal. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the gap between trailing P/E (21.7) and forward P/E (18.2), which implies expected earnings growth in the source estimates, and in the stock's 52-week range of $132.43 to $799.87, which shows very wide price dispersion over the period. The rating itself is a Hold, not a buy signal.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$395.41$148.01B21.718.214.418.20%1.34$132.43 - $799.8758.3%

Business

Western Digital Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Electronic Components industry, per the profile. The source data does not itemize its product lines, customer base, or revenue mix, so specific descriptions of what it sells and to whom are not available in source data. The company's market capitalization is $148.0B per the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$0.0M$1975.0M$2429.0M
FY 2024$9520.0M$2334.0M$1643.0MN/A$1279.0M$2291.0M$7216.0M
FY 2023$6317.0M$-403.0M$-765.0MN/A$-578.3MN/A$19049.0M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2024 shows the company returning to positive operating and net income after a loss-making FY 2023, with operating margin of 21.1% and net margin of 16.4% per the market data. The FY 2025 row shows $0.0M for revenue, net income, and FCF, which the source data does not explain, so it should not be read as a true zero-revenue year. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 15.75, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.34, and ROIC is 58.3%. Gross margin is listed as 0% in the market data, which the source does not explain and which is inconsistent with the other margin figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Five headlines are provided, all tagged to WDC:

  • A Yahoo Finance piece on the stock declining while the market improves (YELLOW, market wire).
  • A Seeking Alpha piece titled "The Fundamentals Of A Cycle Top" (YELLOW, market wire), suggesting a cyclical-peak thesis.
  • A TradingKey piece noting a 5.99% decline on Oct 6 (YELLOW, market wire).
  • A Benzinga piece on Monday trading action (YELLOW, market wire).
  • A Yahoo Finance preview of Q3 earnings (YELLOW, market wire), and a Seeking Alpha piece on Q1 results and guidance topping Wall Street's forecast (GREEN, catalyst).

Risk watch items are the cycle-top framing and the recent price declines. The only GREEN-tagged catalyst is the Q1 results and guidance beat. The source does not provide the content of these articles beyond headlines and generic summaries. Proprietary signals: none are listed in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore not available in source data. Sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks, are not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification (Technology / Electronic Components). Investors should treat this section as unresolved.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 row to show $0.0M across revenue, net income, operating income, and FCF, and is the period complete?
  • What is the underlying product and customer mix behind the reported revenue and margins?
  • What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, given operating and net margins are reported?
  • What are the direction and size of the institutional 13F and insider Form 4 / Congressional trades behind the 10/20 and 17/20 pillar scores?
  • What explains the gap between the $132.43 low and $799.87 high in the 52-week range, and the cycle-top thesis in the news?

WDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Western Digital Corporation (WDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WDC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $366.11?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WDC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WDC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $427.04 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WDC (C+ • RQD 69/100) a Buy at $395.41?

Welcome to the WDC (Western Digital Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $316.33 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $395.41

Pump the brakes on WDC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WDC, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Western Digital Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $486.35 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $395.41

WDC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WDC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $395.41 (52-wk range $132.43 - $799.87), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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