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Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$41.99 -0.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.90

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VTOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bristow Group Inc. (NYSE: VTOL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $41.99 (-0.14% 1D, market cap $1.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VTOL ranks #304 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VTOL compare to LIND and GMRS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), VTOL carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, LIND (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.3%, cap $2.45B) and GMRS (GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $604.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VRRM leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while LIND leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTOL?
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Per VTOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001525221), Bristow Group Inc. generated $1.49B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), $129.1M in net income, and $198.4M in free cash flow against $2.31B in total assets and $643.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.90 (-0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$53 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE VTOL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTOL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VTOL SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.2) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$41.29-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$38.67+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$40.97+2.5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$41.99+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTOL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, VTOL faces multiple-compression risk if 9.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.73) or 200D SMA ($44.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.56) toward Bear Floor ($33.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTOL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VTOL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VTOL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VTOL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VTOL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VTOL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VTOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $42.05H $42.05L $41.99C $41.99VOL 123.6K
RES: $42.30SUP: $36.85SMA50: $41.73SMA200: $44.07
$51.30$47.47$43.64$39.81$35.98RES $42.30SUP $36.85$41.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VTOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTOL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTOL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTOL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #304 of 1009 ⚔️ LIND vs VTOL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VTOL vs. LIND, GMRS, VRRM, SPCE)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) ranks #304 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #480 by equity capitalization ($1.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VRRM leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while LIND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LIND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VTOL at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VTOL ACTIVE
Bristow Group Inc.
C- 61/100 9.7x — 8.9% -0.14% $1.24B Benchmark Subject
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.
B- 70/100 — — 29.3% -0.08% $2.45B /lind-vs-vtol →
GMRS
GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — -2.01% $604.5M /gmrs-vs-vtol →
VRRM
Verra Mobility Corporation (Class A)
D 46/100 3.7x — 15.1% -16.17% $425.6M /vrrm-vs-vtol →
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc.
E 22/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -5.49% $391.1M /spce-vs-vtol →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001525221 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.49B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.42B , and +17.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $129.1M, operating cash flow of $198.4M, and free cash flow of $198.4M (+11.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTOL closed FY2025 with $2.31B in total assets against $643.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.49B $129.1M $198.4M $198.4M $2.31B $643.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.42B $94.8M $177.4M $177.4M $2.13B $671.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.26B -$6.8M $32.0M $32.0M — —

3. VTOL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VTOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bristow Group Inc. (NYSE: VTOL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $41.99 (-0.14% 1D, market cap $1.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VTOL ranks #304 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VTOL compare to LIND and GMRS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), VTOL carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, LIND (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.3%, cap $2.45B) and GMRS (GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $604.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VRRM leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while LIND leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTOL?

Per VTOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001525221), Bristow Group Inc. generated $1.49B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), $129.1M in net income, and $198.4M in free cash flow against $2.31B in total assets and $643.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VTOL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VTOL last traded at $41.99 (-0.14% on volume of 123,620 shares), positioning the stock +0.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.73) and -4.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.07). Across its 52-week range of $35.03 to $50.38, VTOL sits at the 45.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($38.97 to $45.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VTOL — Bristow Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $41.99 (-0.14% 1D, market capitalization $1.24B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 10.7%, and free cash flow yield of 15.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.91, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.61x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bristow Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 10.7% and a net margin of 8.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) reported $1.49B in annual revenue (up from $1.42B in FY2024, +5.3% YoY) and $129.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.26B revenue, -$6.8M net income) through FY2025, VTOL scaled operating cash flow to $198.4M and free cash flow to $198.4M, backed by $2.31B in total assets against $643.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 15.92% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.03 – $50.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 9.7x trailing P/E and 10.1x EV/EBITDA against 10.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Transportation Services (Consumer Discretionary), VTOL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can VTOL sustain or expand its 10.7% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against Transportation Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.49B and free cash flow of $198.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $643.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VTOL's 9.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VTOL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VTOL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VTOL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VTOL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VTOL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.65 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 17 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet is supported by Piotroski F of 8 of 9 and Debt/Equity of 0.61.

The street is overcomplicating Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL). Insider conviction scores 17 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet is supported by Piotroski F of 8 of 9 and Debt/Equity of 0.61.. With an RQD score of 61/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $45.35.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $41.99 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.85 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $41.99

Whale flow and macro regime fit each score only 10 of 20, and ROIC of 8.9% trails the 15.92% FCF yield, leaving the fundamental cash en

Whale flow and macro regime fit each score only 10 of 20, and ROIC of 8.9% trails the 15.92% FCF yield, leaving the fundamental cash engine at 11 of 20.. Look at the math on VTOL: paying 9.7x trailing P/E for 8.9% ROIC and 10.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Transportation Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $36.95 before getting long.

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