Why UWMC Stock surged +5.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (UWMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is UWMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: UWMC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.57 (+5.37% 1D, market cap $2.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UWMC ranks #669 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does UWMC compare to UPST and CLSK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), UWMC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, UPST (Upstart Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 45.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $2.42B) and CLSK (CleanSpark Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC 14.5%, cap $2.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLSK leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while UWMC leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UWMC?
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Per UWMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783398), UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) generated $3.16B in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $244.0M in net income, and -$2.72B in free cash flow against $16.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UWMC Turnaround Squeeze
While UWMC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.29) and Max Pain ($1.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.46.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why UWMC Stock surged +5.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (UWMC) surged +5.37% to $1.57, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($0.93 – $6.15). Stretched risk/reward at 10x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($0.93 – $6.15) with RSI-14 at 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.57 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Price targets for UWM Holdings now tend to sit in a band of about US$1.50 to US$2.00 per share, reflecting a more cautious stance than before. Analysts link these levels to a balance between solid operating updates and c
PONTIAC, Mich., October 28, 2026--UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC), the publicly traded indirect parent of United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), the #1 overall mortgage lender, wholesale and purchase mortgage lender in th
Compass Point analyst Jason Stewart downgrades UWM Holdings (NYSE:UWMC) from Buy to Neutral and announces $1.5 price target.
UWM Holdings is rated a Hold, with a $0.55/share price target, reflecting limited risk-adjusted upside and significant dilution risk. Click for more on UWMC.
Key TakeawaysUWM Holdings shares jumped 19% after it said it expects to have earned $205 million to $220 million in the third quarter, and that it plans to sell more than $1. 8 billion of mortgage servicing rights in the
WTI crude rose above $100 on fears of renewed U.S. strikes on Iran, lifting XLE to a record while staples, telecoms and the Dow slipped at midday Friday.
PONTIAC, Mich., October 23, 2026--UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE: UWMC) ("UWMC", the "Company" "we," "our" and "us"), the publicly traded indirect parent of United Wholesale Mortgage ("UWM"), today announced certain prel
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UWMC)
- ✓Walkthrough of UWMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
UWMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UWMC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UWMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UWMC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UWMC vs. UPST, CLSK, SII, MARA)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (UWMC) ranks #669 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #406 by equity capitalization ($2.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLSK leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while UWMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. UWMC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWMC
ACTIVE
UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) | D | 50/100 | 9.8x | — | 15.3% | +5.37% | $2.39B | Benchmark Subject |
| UPST Upstart Holdings Inc. | E | 32/100 | 45.1x | — | 3.2% | -7.33% | $2.42B | /upst-vs-uwmc → |
| CLSK CleanSpark Inc. | D- | 42/100 | 5.8x | — | 14.5% | -6.46% | $2.11B | /clsk-vs-uwmc → |
| SII Sprott Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -5.23% | $2.75B | /sii-vs-uwmc → |
| MARA MARA Holdings Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | -15.8% | -5.51% | $2.77B | /mara-vs-uwmc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001783398In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (UWMC) reported GAAP revenue of $3.16B (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.67B , and +46.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $244.0M, operating cash flow of -$2.65B, and free cash flow of -$2.72B (+56.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, UWMC closed FY2025 with $16.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.16B | $244.0M | -$2.65B | -$2.72B | $16.93B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.67B | $329.4M | -$6.24B | -$6.28B | $15.67B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.17B | -$69.8M | $165.2M | $165.2M | — | — |
3. UWMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UWMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: UWMC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.57 (+5.37% 1D, market cap $2.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UWMC ranks #669 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UWMC compare to UPST and CLSK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), UWMC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, UPST (Upstart Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 45.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $2.42B) and CLSK (CleanSpark Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC 14.5%, cap $2.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLSK leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while UWMC leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UWMC?
Per UWMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783398), UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) generated $3.16B in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $244.0M in net income, and -$2.72B in free cash flow against $16.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UWMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UWMC last traded at $1.57 (+5.37% on volume of 11,294,894 shares), positioning the stock +21.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.29) and -43.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.93 to $6.15, UWMC sits at the 12.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.37 to $1.77).
UWMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UWMC stock moving today?
Why UWMC Stock surged +5.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 10x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
UWMC — UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, UWMC scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC 15.3%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The highest-scoring pillar is Insider Conviction, while the Macro Regime Fit pillar carries the lowest score. For a prospective investor, the composite rating signals weak cash generation, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9 that points to limited improvement across standard financial-health checks, and a modest forensic balance sheet. The 0% FCF yield means the rating's cash-engine pillar is not supported by free-cash-flow returns to shareholders at the current price. Any upside case would need to rest on factors outside the reported cash metrics, and the rating itself frames the near-term posture as distribution risk rather than accumulation.
Business
UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $2.4B. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3160.6M | $0.0M | $244.0M | N/A | $-2721.6M | $503.4M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $2674.1M | $0.0M | $329.4M | N/A | $-6280.9M | $507.3M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $2165.5M | $0.0M | $-69.8M | N/A | $165.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $2165.5M in FY 2023 to $3160.6M in FY 2025, while net income was $-69.8M in FY 2023, $329.4M in FY 2024, and $244.0M in FY 2025. Reported free cash flow was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024. Per the market data, net margin is 7.7%, gross and operating margins are both 0%, and ROIC is 15.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The source data does not provide Debt values for any period.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The sector is Financials and the industry is Finance: Consumer Services. The source data does not identify upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What drives the negative reported free cash flow in FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite positive net income, and how does it reconcile with the 15.3% ROIC?
- What are the Debt values by period, given that the source reports Debt as N/A for all three periods?
- What explains the operating income figure of $0.0M across all reported periods?
- What business activities generate the reported revenue, and what products or customers sit behind the Finance: Consumer Services classification?
- What catalysts or news could explain the stock's movement from a 52-week range of $0.93 to $6.15 and its current price of 1.49?
UWMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) (UWMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Price targets for UWM Holdings now tend to sit in a band of about US$1.50 to US$2.00 per share, reflecting a more cautious stance than before. Analysts link these levels to a balance between solid operating updates and c
PONTIAC, Mich., October 28, 2026--UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC), the publicly traded indirect parent of United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), the #1 overall mortgage lender, wholesale and purchase mortgage lender in th
Compass Point analyst Jason Stewart downgrades UWM Holdings (NYSE:UWMC) from Buy to Neutral and announces $1.5 price target.
UWM Holdings is rated a Hold, with a $0.55/share price target, reflecting limited risk-adjusted upside and significant dilution risk. Click for more on UWMC.
Key TakeawaysUWM Holdings shares jumped 19% after it said it expects to have earned $205 million to $220 million in the third quarter, and that it plans to sell more than $1. 8 billion of mortgage servicing rights in the
UWMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.57?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UWMC (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $1.49?
Welcome to the UWMC (UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on UWMC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UWMC, but look at what you are paying: 9.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless UWM Holdings Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
UWMC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UWMC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.49 (52-wk range $0.93 - $6.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.