Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.5% Move

$41.29 +4.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.53

Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UVSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Univest Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: UVSP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $41.29 (+4.26% 1D, market cap $1.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UVSP ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UVSP compare to FSBC and NBN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UVSP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, FSBC (Five Star Bancorp) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 18.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.10B) and NBN (Northeast Bank) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UVSP leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FSBC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UVSP?
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Per UVSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000102212), Univest Financial Corporation generated $328.1M in revenue (+9.6% YoY), $90.8M in net income, and $101.5M in free cash flow against $8.44B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.53 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 30.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$50 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE UVSP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UVSP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UVSP SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.9% FCF Margin ($101.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$40.55+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$41.83+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$42.40-2.6% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$41.29+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UVSP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, UVSP faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.56) or 200D SMA ($39.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.40) toward Bear Floor ($33.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UVSP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UVSP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.5% Swing Band

±$1.86 Expected Swing
$39.43 (-4.5%)Spot $41.29$43.15 (+4.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

UVSP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $3.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.6%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$328.1M$90.8M$101.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$299.2M$75.9M$75.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$296.8M$71.1M$89.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating UVSP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on UVSP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UVSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.20%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $39.33H $41.29L $39.33C $41.29VOL 349.3K
RES: $42.52SUP: $38.87SMA50: $41.56SMA200: $39.33
$46.37$42.61$38.86$35.10$31.34RES $42.52SUP $38.87$41.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UVSP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UVSP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UVSP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UVSP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UVSP)

Financials Rank #276 of 1096 ⚔️ FSBC vs UVSP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UVSP vs. FSBC, NBN, HBNC, CCNE)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #531 by equity capitalization ($1.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UVSP leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FSBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. FSBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with UVSP at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UVSP ACTIVE
Univest Financial Corporation
C 64/100 12.0x — 9.6% +4.26% $1.09B Benchmark Subject
FSBC
Five Star Bancorp
C+ 69/100 18.2x — 13.8% +1.48% $1.10B /fsbc-vs-uvsp →
NBN
Northeast Bank
D 51/100 — — — +4.96% $1.12B /nbn-vs-uvsp →
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — -21.9% +2.46% $1.06B /hbnc-vs-uvsp →
CCNE
CNB Financial Corporation
C 65/100 16.0x — 7.6% +3.10% $1.05B /ccne-vs-uvsp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000102212

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) reported GAAP revenue of $328.1M (+9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $299.2M , and +10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $90.8M, operating cash flow of $101.5M, and free cash flow of $101.5M (+35.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, UVSP closed FY2025 with $8.44B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $328.1M $90.8M $101.5M $101.5M $8.44B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $299.2M $75.9M $75.1M $75.1M $8.13B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $296.8M $71.1M $89.7M $89.7M — —

3. UVSP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UVSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Univest Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: UVSP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $41.29 (+4.26% 1D, market cap $1.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UVSP ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UVSP compare to FSBC and NBN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UVSP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, FSBC (Five Star Bancorp) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 18.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.10B) and NBN (Northeast Bank) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UVSP leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FSBC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UVSP?

Per UVSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000102212), Univest Financial Corporation generated $328.1M in revenue (+9.6% YoY), $90.8M in net income, and $101.5M in free cash flow against $8.44B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UVSP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UVSP last traded at $41.29 (+4.26% on volume of 297,811 shares), positioning the stock -0.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.56) and +4.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.33). Across its 52-week range of $28.20 to $45.46, UVSP sits at the 75.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($39.43 to $43.15).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UVSP — Univest Financial Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:49Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

UVSP scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 9.6% and FCF yield is 9.36%. These are the strongest cash-generation signals in the rating and support the view that the business converts earnings into free cash flow at a reasonable rate. The FY 2025 FCF of $101.5M against net income of $90.8M () is consistent with that reading.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. For a prospective investor, this suggests limited evidence of large institutional conviction building in the stock, which removes a potential upside catalyst.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores relatively well.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is moderate. The stock is expected to move roughly in line with the broad market, offering neither defensive insulation nor amplified upside relative to the market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to a balance sheet that is adequate rather than exceptionally strong.

Taken together, the rating frames UVSP as a stock with solid cash generation and a supportive insider signal, offset by weak institutional accumulation and a market-like risk profile. Valuation metrics (P/E of 12 TTM, forward P/E of 11.2) and a 2.34% dividend yield are the primary upside considerations, while the 52-week range of $28.2 to $45.46 and the -6.53% change on the latest price illustrate meaningful recent price volatility. A prospective investor would weigh the cash-engine and valuation strengths against the limited institutional support and the absence of a clear growth catalyst in the source data.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Financials sector and Major Banks industry. The profile describes it as a Financials issuer with a market capitalization of $1.1B.

Revenue rose from $296.8M in FY 2023 to $328.1M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $71.1M to $90.8M over the same period. The reported net margin is 27.7% per the market data, and ROIC is 9.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Per the RQD rating, a 9.36% FCF yield and 9.6% ROIC sit alongside a P/E of 12 and forward P/E of 11.2, indicating valuation and cash generation are favorable. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 9.6%, FCF yield 9.36%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $28.20 – $45.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Per the RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 6 out of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and no clear large-holder conviction. Investors must weigh 12.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Banks (Financials), UVSP carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the -6.53% change in the latest price, and is it connected to the loan charge-off coverage referenced in the news feed?
  • Key Question #2: Why are gross margin and operating margin reported as 0% and operating income as — when net margin is 27.7%?
  • Key Question #3: What are the Q3 EPS and revenue figures relative to the estimates referenced in the Q3 earnings coverage?

UVSP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UVSP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UVSP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UVSP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UVSP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.08 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 9.36% FCF yield and 9.6% ROIC sit alongside a P/E of 12 and forward P/E of 11.2, indicating valuation and cash ge

The street is overcomplicating Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP). Per the RQD rating, a 9.36% FCF yield and 9.6% ROIC sit alongside a P/E of 12 and forward P/E of 11.2, indicating valuation and cash generation are favorable.. With an RQD score of 64/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $42.77.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $39.60 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.28 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $39.60

Per the RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 6 out of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and no clear large-ho

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short UVSP above $39.60. Per the RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 6 out of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and no clear large-holder conviction.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (9.36%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $45.46.

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