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Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.79 -6.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.78

Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $338.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on URG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is URG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (NYSE: URG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (-6.84% 1D, market cap $338.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, URG ranks #251 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does URG compare to VOXR and VGZ in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), URG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M) and VGZ (Vista Gold Corp) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $363.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URG?
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Per URG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001375205), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) generated $27.2M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$74.9M in net income, and -$66.7M in free cash flow against $272.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.78 (-1.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE URG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for URG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY URG SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (35% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$0.89-7.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$0.82+9.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$0.90-12.2% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$0.79-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a URG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While URG currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.11) and Max Pain ($0.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $URG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “URG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your URG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.79: 12658.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.53
$6,709
$-3,291 (-32.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.68
$8,608
$-1,392 (-13.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.26
$28,608
+$18,608 (+186.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring URG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of URG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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URG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $0.89H $0.89L $0.79C $0.79VOL 7.60M
RES: $0.89SUP: $0.74SMA50: $1.11SMA200: $1.44
$2.25$1.85$1.46$1.06$0.67RES $0.89SUP $0.74$0.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

URG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 URG Butterfly Map → + Track URG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on URG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for URG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for URG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (URG)

Materials Rank #251 of 270 ⚔️ VOXR vs URG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (URG vs. VOXR, VGZ, IDR, TRX)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) ranks #251 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #193 by equity capitalization ($338.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with URG at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
URG ACTIVE
Ur Energy Inc (Canada)
E 26/100 — 0.3% -35.0% -6.84% $338.9M Benchmark Subject
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp.
D 46/100 — — — +1.97% $318.3M /voxr-vs-urg →
VGZ
Vista Gold Corp
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -0.80% $363.5M /vgz-vs-urg →
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.
D+ 55/100 19.6x 61.8% 11.4% +0.10% $310.0M /idr-vs-urg →
TRX
TRX Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -1.56% $307.2M /trx-vs-urg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001375205 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) reported GAAP revenue of $27.2M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.7M , and +53.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$74.9M, operating cash flow of -$43.1M, and free cash flow of -$66.7M (+17.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, URG closed FY2025 with $272.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $27.2M -$74.9M -$43.1M -$66.7M $272.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.7M -$53.2M -$71.9M -$81.0M $194.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.7M -$30.7M -$17.0M -$17.0M — —

3. URG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is URG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (NYSE: URG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (-6.84% 1D, market cap $338.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, URG ranks #251 in composite RQD confidence.

How does URG compare to VOXR and VGZ in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), URG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M) and VGZ (Vista Gold Corp) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $363.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URG?

Per URG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001375205), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) generated $27.2M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$74.9M in net income, and -$66.7M in free cash flow against $272.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is URG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

URG last traded at $0.79 (-6.84% on volume of 10,426,279 shares), positioning the stock -28.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.11) and -45.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.79 to $2.15, URG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).

Direct Sub-Reports: URG RQD Cockpit URG 12M Forecast URG Earnings & Move URG Dividends & DRIP URG Insiders & 13F URG Whale Options URG Profit Sankey URG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

URG — Ur Energy Inc (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.79 (-6.84% 1D, market capitalization $338.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 0.3%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -18.72%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Trades on the NYSE under ticker URG and is classified in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry..4B. — describes products, customers, or revenue mechanics beyond the reported revenue figures in the SEC financials, which show revenue declining from $33.7M in FY 2024 to $27.2M in FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) reported $27.2M in annual revenue (up from $33.7M in FY2024, -19.3% YoY) and -$74.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.7M revenue, -$30.7M net income) through FY2025, URG scaled operating cash flow to -$43.1M and free cash flow to -$66.7M, backed by $272.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -18.72% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.79 – $2.15 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Precious Metals (Materials), URG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 0.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can URG sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $27.2M and free cash flow of -$66.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is URG's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

URG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to URG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

URG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON URG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on URG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.05 (+23.5%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash balance rose to $123.9M in FY 2025 from $76.1M in FY 2024, giving the company a larger liquidity buffer against its reported losse

Here is why I am bullish on URG here at $0.85: Cash balance rose to $123.9M in FY 2025 from $76.1M in FY 2024, giving the company a larger liquidity buffer against its reported losses.. Compare URG's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Precious Metals. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.81 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.85 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.65 (-23.5%)
Spot @ $0.85

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -18.72% show the business is consuming capital rather than generating returns, with an RQD score of 26 an

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short URG above $0.85. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -18.72% show the business is consuming capital rather than generating returns, with an RQD score of 26 and a Strong Sell verdict.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (-18.72%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $2.15.

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