Why UPC Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.49 -3.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48

Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (UPC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $7.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: UPC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $7.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, UPC ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UPC compare to CURX and KPRX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), UPC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.3%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CURX (Curanex Pharmaceuticals Inc) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.7M) and KPRX (Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UPC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CURX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UPC?
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Per UPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001809616), Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) generated $17.86B in revenue (-22.4% YoY), -$3.67B in net income, and -$5.32B in free cash flow against $69.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48 (-0.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.4% Base Target
$19 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE UPC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UPC SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 35.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$4.13-9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$3.76-23.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$2.88-48.3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.49-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UPC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UPC currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.15) and Max Pain ($1.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why UPC Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (UPC) dropped -3.25% to $1.49, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.45 – $17.96). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (35% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.45 – $17.96) with RSI-14 at 23.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 35.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live UPC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 6d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Intraday Session

Gainers Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:KNSA) shares rose 23.1% to $89.86 during Tuesday&#39;s regular session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $5.6 billion. As per the press release, Q3 earnings

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UPC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of UPC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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UPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.44%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $1.93H $1.93L $1.49C $1.49VOL 981.0K
RES: $4.44SUP: $3.91SMA50: $4.15SMA200: $3.80
$19.12$14.33$9.54$4.75$-0.04RES $4.44SUP $3.91$1.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UPC)

Health Care Rank #761 of 1016 ⚔️ CURX vs UPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (UPC vs. CURX, KPRX, TCRT, MTVA)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (UPC) ranks #761 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #917 by equity capitalization ($7.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UPC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CURX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. TCRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 36/100 (D-) compared with UPC at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UPC ACTIVE
Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — 35.3% — -3.25% $7.7M Benchmark Subject
CURX
Curanex Pharmaceuticals Inc
E 34/100 — — -35.0% +4.45% $7.7M /curx-vs-upc →
KPRX
Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -11.36% $7.8M /kprx-vs-upc →
TCRT
Alaunos Therapeutics Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% +3.18% $7.8M /tcrt-vs-upc →
MTVA
MetaVia Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -5.88% $7.8M /mtva-vs-upc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001809616

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (UPC) reported GAAP revenue of $17.86B (-22.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.02B , and -44.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.67B, operating cash flow of -$5.05B, and free cash flow of -$5.32B (+45.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, UPC closed FY2025 with $69.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $17.86B -$3.67B -$5.05B -$5.32B $69.30B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $23.02B -$8.73B -$9.51B -$9.72B — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $32.31B -$6.58B $1.12B $1.12B — —

3. UPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: UPC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $7.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, UPC ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UPC compare to CURX and KPRX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), UPC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.3%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CURX (Curanex Pharmaceuticals Inc) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.7M) and KPRX (Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UPC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CURX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UPC?

Per UPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001809616), Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) generated $17.86B in revenue (-22.4% YoY), -$3.67B in net income, and -$5.32B in free cash flow against $69.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UPC last traded at $1.49 (-3.25% on volume of 548,850 shares), positioning the stock -64.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.15) and -60.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.45 to $17.96, UPC sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.68).

UPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is UPC stock moving today?

Why UPC Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (35% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UPC — Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, UPC carries an RQD Score of 33, letter grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). Per the market data, return on invested capital and free-cash-flow yield are both reported at 0%. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 free cash flow was $-5319.1M, and FY 2024 was $-9715.0M. Only FY 2023 showed positive free cash flow ($1116.8M). This pillar reflects an absence of cash generation in the most recent reported periods.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest-scoring pillar. Per the holders section, no institutional holder data is available, so the score reflects weak or absent institutional support as recorded in the rating.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Per the holders section, no insider or Congressional trade data is available. The low score reflects the absence of supportive insider flow signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Per the market data, beta is 1.0, meaning the stock is recorded as moving in line with the broader market. The score indicates limited favorable regime alignment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Per the rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9, both weak readings. A Debt/Equity of 0.5 is reported, but cash and debt line items are not available in the financials.

Investor implications: The composite score points to weak fundamentals, weak institutional and insider support, and a forensic profile that the rating classifies as elevated risk. Upside drivers are not evident in the source data; the stock's price of $1.54 sits far below its 52-week high of $17.96, and the 52-week low is $1.45, with a single-session change of -20.21%. Any valuation discussion is constrained because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The rating itself is a risk-weighted assessment and is presented here for educational purposes, not as personalized advice.

Business

Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the profile, the company's market capitalization is $0.0B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 35.3%, indicating that some revenue is retained after direct costs, but the source data does not explain how the company earns that revenue.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$17858.7M$-2915.9M$-3672.1MN/A$-5319.1MN/AN/A
FY 2024$23024.5M$-8019.8M$-8727.3MN/A$-9715.0MN/AN/A
FY 2023$32308.7M$-3966.1M$-6581.0MN/A$1116.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $32308.7M (FY 2023) to $23024.5M (FY 2024) and $17858.7M (FY 2025), while the company reported net losses in all three periods. Per the market data, operating margin is -16.3% and net margin is -20.6%. Per the rating, ROIC is 0%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9. Balance-sheet posture cannot be fully assessed because cash and debt values are reported as N/A in the financials; the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 is the only leverage figure available.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains four items, all classified with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. They are generic market-coverage reports (Moomoo, TradingView, Benzinga) describing UPC's market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts, without specifying the catalysts themselves. Risk watch items drawn from the data include the -20.21% price change, the trading volume of 980963, and the stock's position near its 52-week low. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals or butterfly links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data. Not available in source data for specific dependency mapping.

Open Questions

  • What products or revenue streams generate the $17858.7M in FY 2025 revenue, and why did revenue decline in each reported period?
  • What are the company's cash and debt balances, given that the financials report both as N/A?
  • What is the basis for the market capitalization of $7.7M against FY 2025 revenue of $17858.7M, and what explains the 52-week price decline from $17.96 to $1.54?
  • What specific catalysts are referenced in the news feed, since the four items contain only generic coverage descriptions?
  • Why are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would those metrics show if reported?

UPC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) (UPC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UPC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UPC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.49?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UPC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UPC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.36 (-11.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UPC (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $1.54?

Welcome to the UPC (Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.29 (-16.2%)
Spot @ $1.54

Pump the brakes on UPC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UPC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 35.3% gross margins. Unless Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.91 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $1.54

UPC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UPC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.54 (52-wk range $1.45 - $17.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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