Travelzoo (TZOO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.16 +2.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.18

Travelzoo (TZOO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $51.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TZOO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TZOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.16 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $51.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TZOO ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TZOO compare to THRY and IZEA in the Communication Services sector?
▼

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TZOO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of 80.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, THRY (Thryv Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.1%, cap $55.5M) and IZEA (IZEA Worldwide Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TZOO?
▼

Per TZOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001133311), Travelzoo generated $91.7M in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $4.7M in net income, and $5.6M in free cash flow against $45.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.18 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (3)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$13 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE TZOO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TZOO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TZOO SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($5.6M FCF) & 80.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$5.35-6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$4.99+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$5.12+0.8% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$5.16+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TZOO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, TZOO faces multiple-compression risk if 10.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 77.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.62) or 200D SMA ($7.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.23) toward Bear Floor ($4.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TZOO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TZOO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TZOO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.16: 1938.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.08
$7,907
$-2,093 (-20.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.23
$10,136
+$136 (+1.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.01
$25,213
+$15,213 (+152.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TZOO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TZOO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.34%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $4.91H $5.16L $4.91C $5.16VOL 37.0K
RES: $5.17SUP: $4.36SMA50: $5.62SMA200: $7.44
$12.92$10.72$8.53$6.33$4.14RES $5.17SUP $4.36$5.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TZOO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TZOO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TZOO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TZOO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TZOO)

Communication Services Rank #30 of 132 ⚔️ THRY vs TZOO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TZOO vs. THRY, IZEA, STFS, EDHL)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Travelzoo (TZOO) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #104 by equity capitalization ($51.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TZOO leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TZOO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 80.3% gross margin. TZOO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TZOO ACTIVE
Travelzoo
C- 61/100 10.9x 80.3% 85.0% +2.99% $51.1M Benchmark Subject
THRY
Thryv Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 — 67.9% 10.1% 0.00% $55.5M /thry-vs-tzoo →
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide Inc.
D 46/100 — 48.1% -35.0% -5.06% $41.0M /izea-vs-tzoo →
STFS
Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 — 5.7% -35.0% +4.27% $71.1M /stfs-vs-tzoo →
EDHL
Everbright Digital Holding Limited
D- 36/100 — 65.4% -35.0% +2.25% $34.5M /edhl-vs-tzoo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001133311

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Travelzoo (TZOO) reported GAAP revenue of $91.7M (+9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.9M , and +8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.7M, operating cash flow of $5.7M, and free cash flow of $5.6M (-73.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TZOO closed FY2025 with $45.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.12, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $91.7M $4.7M $5.7M $5.6M $45.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.9M $13.6M $21.1M $20.9M $54.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $84.5M $12.4M $10.7M $10.7M — —

3. TZOO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TZOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.16 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $51.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TZOO ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TZOO compare to THRY and IZEA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TZOO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of 80.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, THRY (Thryv Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.1%, cap $55.5M) and IZEA (IZEA Worldwide Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TZOO?

Per TZOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001133311), Travelzoo generated $91.7M in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $4.7M in net income, and $5.6M in free cash flow against $45.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TZOO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TZOO last traded at $5.16 (+2.99% on volume of 95,003 shares), positioning the stock -8.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.62) and -30.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.44). Across its 52-week range of $4.72 to $12.39, TZOO sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($4.63 to $5.69).

TZOO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TZOO's 12-month stock price target?

Travelzoo (TZOO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.23 (+1.4% from $5.16), with a bull-case target of $13.01 and a bear-case floor of $4.08.

Is TZOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TZOO C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TZOO — Travelzoo: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TZOO scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 17 of 20, supported by ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 10.95%; this is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently relative to its size. Insider conviction scores 18 of 20, per the RQD SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow measure, the highest-scoring pillar, though the source does not itemize the underlying transactions. Forensic balance sheet scores 14 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 3.12, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Macro regime fit scores 9 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity assessment that the source does not detail further. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3 of 20, the weakest signal, indicating limited institutional accumulation or options positioning in the source data.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash generation and insider-flow pillars, while the valuation (P/E TTM 10.9, EV/EBITDA 5.9) appears modest on the reported multiples. The tradeoff is that the institutional pillar is weak, the macro pillar is middling, and the market cap is small at $51.1M, which can magnify price volatility and liquidity constraints. The rating is a neutral framework output, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$5.01$51.1M10.910.15.90.460%1.0$4.72 - $12.3985%

Business

Travelzoo (TZOO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, Advertising industry. Per the profile, the company operates in advertising with a market capitalization of $0.1B. The source data does not describe its product offerings, customer base, or specific monetization model beyond the sector and industry classification. Gross margin is reported at 80.3%, operating margin at 7.5%, and net margin at 5.1%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines carry mixed signals. A Yahoo Finance item is flagged RED with a RISK WATCH label, titled "Travelzoo (TZOO) Reports Q3 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates." A Moomoo item, flagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE, reports the Q3 2026 earnings release. A Seeking Alpha item, also YELLOW, covers the 2026-10-28 earnings call presentation. A Benzinga transcript item is YELLOW. A Quiver Quantitative item is YELLOW. A Stock Titan item is flagged RED with a RISK WATCH label, headlined "Club Members rise 65% as Travelzoo (TZOO) swings to an operating loss." The two RED items both point to a reported loss and operating deterioration in the quarter. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing to an operating loss in the most recent quarter, and does the reported Q3 revenue shortfall reflect a trend or a one-time item?
  • What are total debt and EPS figures for each reported period, since the source lists them as N/A?
  • Why did FY 2025 operating and net income decline sharply despite higher revenue?
  • What insider, 13F, or Congressional transactions underlie the insider-conviction score of 18 of 20?
  • What is the company's specific advertising business model and customer concentration?

TZOO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Travelzoo (TZOO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TZOO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TZOO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.16?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TZOO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TZOO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $5.41 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TZOO (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $5.01?

Welcome to the TZOO (Travelzoo) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Advertising. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.16 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $5.01

Pump the brakes on TZOO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TZOO, but look at what you are paying: 10.9x trailing P/E with 80.3% gross margins. Unless Travelzoo expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.26 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $5.01

TZOO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TZOO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Advertising and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.01 (52-wk range $4.72 - $12.39), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%