Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$23.98 -5.18% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.71

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $367.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TWIN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $23.98 (-5.18% 1D, market cap $367.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TWIN compare to NNBR and QSI in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, NNBR (NN Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $371.2M) and QSI (Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $383.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?
β–Ό

Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.71 (-1.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$31 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TWIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TWIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TWIN SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($8.8M FCF) & 27.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$26.25-6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$24.48+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$24.64-2.7% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$23.98+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TWIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TWIN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 25.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.09) or 200D SMA ($20.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.20) toward Bear Floor ($18.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TWINβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTWIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TWIN Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TWIN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TWIN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TWIN Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TWIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +59.55%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $25.47H $25.47L $23.98C $23.98VOL 55.6K
RES: $31.22SUP: $23.19SMA50: $25.09SMA200: $20.54
$30.26$26.03$21.79$17.56$13.33RES $31.22SUP $23.19$23.982026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TWIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWIN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TWIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWIN)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TWIN vs. NNBR, QSI, CUB, SES)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #316 by equity capitalization ($367.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNBR leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. TWIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TWIN ACTIVE
Twin Disc Incorporated
C- 60/100 β€” 27.6% 3.9% -5.18% $367.7M Benchmark Subject
NNBR
NN Inc.
E 29/100 10.9x β€” -8.5% -0.76% $371.2M /nnbr-vs-twin β†’
QSI
Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” 47.3% -35.0% -16.57% $383.0M /qsi-vs-twin β†’
CUB
Lionheart Holdings (Class A)
D- 42/100 38.8x β€” -4.0% 0.00% $347.5M /cub-vs-twin β†’
SES
SES AI Corporation (Class A)
E 30/100 β€” 53.8% -35.0% -12.79% $322.5M /ses-vs-twin β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000100378

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) reported GAAP revenue of $340.7M (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $295.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $24.0M, and free cash flow of $8.8M (-64.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWIN closed FY2025 with $384.0M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $340.7M -$1.9M $24.0M $8.8M $384.0M $41.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $295.1M $11.0M $33.7M $25.0M $307.4M $22.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $0 $10.4M $22.9M $22.9M β€” β€”

3. TWIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $23.98 (-5.18% 1D, market cap $367.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TWIN compare to NNBR and QSI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, NNBR (NN Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $371.2M) and QSI (Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $383.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?

Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TWIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TWIN last traded at $23.98 (-5.18% on volume of 52,496 shares), positioning the stock -4.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.09) and +16.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.54). Across its 52-week range of $14.22 to $29.24, TWIN sits at the 65.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.4% ($21.73 to $26.23).

TWIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are TWIN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TWIN leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TWIN β€” Twin Disc Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TWIN carries an RQD Score of 60 and a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 2.4%. For a prospective investor, these are modest return and cash-generation figures; the stock is not screening as a high-return or high-cash-yield name on these measures.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score sits below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 10 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest pillar, suggesting insider-signal support is weak.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Market-level moves would be expected to pass through roughly one-for-one, with no additional defensive or amplifying profile identified in the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z of 3.13, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22. This is the strongest pillar and the main support for the score.

Taken together, the investor implications are: the balance sheet is the most credible upside support; cash returns and insider/institutional signals are weak; and the stock's valuation (EV/EBITDA of 17.1 against a 3.3% operating margin) represents a tradeoff in which the market is pricing in a recovery in profitability that the reported margins do not yet show. The C- grade and "Cautious Neutral" verdict reflect that balance. This is educational analysis, not personalized advice.

Business

Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the profile section. The profile identifies the company as an issuer with a market capitalization of $0.4B. Source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or detailed monetization.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$340.7M$11.1M$-1.9MN/A$8.8MN/A$41.5M
FY 2024$295.1M$11.5M$11.0MN/A$25.0MN/A$22.9M
FY 2023$0.0M$16.1M$10.4MN/A$22.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue rose from $295.1M in FY 2024 to $340.7M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $11.0M to $-1.9M and free cash flow declined from $25.0M to $8.8M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 27.6%, the operating margin is 3.3%, and the net margin is -0.6%, with ROIC at 3.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.13 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.22. The FY 2023 revenue figure is listed as $0.0M in the source and is reported as given; it is not treated as a verified value. Cash is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference TWIN:

  • A Seeking Alpha piece titled "Twin Disc: I Was Wrong About The Stock (Rating Upgrade)" (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A TradingView estimates item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Seeking Alpha piece titled "Twin Disc: Multiple Growth Drivers" (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A Stock Titan item on a Finnish plant and Katsa expecting to double gearbox assembly capacity by 2028 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A MarketBeat item noting shares breaking above the 200-day moving average (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Kalkine Media item reporting a Director acquiring 3,831 restricted shares (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is classified as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Key watch items from the news wire are the reported capacity expansion timeline and the insider restricted-share acquisition; the source does not quantify the expansion's financial impact.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Accordingly, no upstream/downstream mapping or 2nd-order bottleneck can be established from source data. The one ripple-relevant reference in the news wire is the Stock Titan item on a Finnish plant and capacity doubling by 2028; any second-order effects of that expansion on TWIN's suppliers, customers, or sector peers are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the trailing and forward EPS figures, given that P/E and EPS are not available in source data?
  • What are the cash balances for each reported period, since cash is listed as N/A throughout?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 net income of $11.0M to FY 2025 net loss of $-1.9M despite higher revenue?
  • What is the scale and financial impact of the Finnish plant and the capacity-doubling target by 2028?
  • Who are the 13F institutional holders and what are their position changes?

TWIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TWIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TWIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $23.98?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TWIN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TWIN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $27.31 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TWIN (C- β€’ RQD 60/100) a Buy at $25.29?

Welcome to the TWIN (Twin Disc Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.24 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $25.29

Pump the brakes on TWIN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TWIN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 27.6% gross margins. Unless Twin Disc Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.36 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $25.29

TWIN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TWIN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $25.29 (52-wk range $14.22 - $29.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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