Stock Ratings / Financials / TW / dividends

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Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$122.54 +3.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.51

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $27.82B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ: TW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $122.54 (+3.08% 1D, market cap $27.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TW ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TW compare to NMR and RJF in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), TW carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.6%. By comparison, NMR (Nomura Holdings Inc ADR) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $27.48B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TW?

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Per TW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758730), Tradeweb Markets Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (+18.9% YoY), $812.8M in net income, and $1.13B in free cash flow against $8.19B in total assets and $450.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.51 (+0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 54.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TW SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 54.9% FCF Margin ($1.13B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.3) create a -6 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$109.98+8.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$119.37+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$119.67+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$122.54+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, TW faces multiple-compression risk if 34.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($108.81) or 200D SMA ($109.31) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($132.47) toward Bear Floor ($100.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $31,618

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $569/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.2K

Yr 1

$12.6K

Yr 2

$14.1K

Yr 3

$15.8K

Yr 4

$17.8K

Yr 5

$20.0K

Yr 6

$22.4K

Yr 7

$25.1K

Yr 8

$28.2K

Yr 9

$31.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in TW & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on TW and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $119.8H $122.5L $118.9C $122.5VOL 1.90M

RES: $126.0SUP: $103.4SMA50: $108.8SMA200: $109.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TW Butterfly Map → + Track TW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TW)

Financials Rank #26 of 1096 ⚔️ NMR vs TW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TW vs. NMR, RJF, CBOE, LPLA)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) ranks #26 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #98 by equity capitalization ($27.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJF leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CBOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CBOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with TW at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TW ACTIVE Tradeweb Markets Inc.	B+	76/100	34.2x	—	13.6%	+3.08%	$27.82B	Benchmark Subject
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc ADR	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.95%	$27.48B	/nmr-vs-tw →
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc.	C+	69/100	14.5x	—	5.9%	-2.52%	$31.03B	/rjf-vs-tw →
CBOE Cboe Global Markets Inc.	B+	78/100	31.9x	—	26.6%	+6.77%	$35.14B	/cboe-vs-tw →
LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc.	D-	38/100	25.5x	—	8.5%	+1.50%	$22.01B	/lpla-vs-tw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758730

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (+18.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.73B , and +53.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $812.8M, operating cash flow of $1.17B, and free cash flow of $1.13B (+31.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TW closed FY2025 with $8.19B in total assets against $450.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.05B	$812.8M	$1.17B	$1.13B	$8.19B	$450.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.73B	$501.5M	$897.7M	$856.8M	$7.27B	$391.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.34B	$364.9M	$746.1M	$685.9M	$15.30B	$3.58B

3. TW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TW compare to NMR and RJF in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TW?

Where is TW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TW last traded at $122.54 (+3.08% on volume of 2,776,943 shares), positioning the stock +12.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($108.81) and +12.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($109.31). Across its 52-week range of $91.42 to $127.69, TW sits at the 85.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($116.66 to $128.42).

TW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TW pay a dividend and is it safe?

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: TW RQD Cockpit TW 12M Forecast TW Earnings & Move TW Dividends & DRIP TW Insiders & 13F TW Whale Options TW Profit Sankey TW News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TW — Tradeweb Markets Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TW carries an RQD Score of 76 and a letter grade of B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 13.6% and an FCF yield of 4.05%. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting the business converts a meaningful share of its economics into cash relative to its capital base.
Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not provide the underlying 13F holdings, so the pillar score cannot be traced to specific filers here.
Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Described as SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The holders section contains no transaction detail, so this score cannot be verified against individual trades.
Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.99 and sector sensitivity is the stated basis. A beta near 1.0 implies the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broad market, which limits its role as a defensive or as a high-volatility diversifier.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The perfect Piotroski reading is the most notable forensic point; the Altman figure sits in a range the source does not interpret for us.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a cash-generative franchise with a clean balance-sheet profile, offset by a valuation that the market data makes demanding. The P/E (TTM) of 34.2 and EV/EBITDA of 30.1 mean upside depends on continued earnings growth rather than on current multiples. The 0% dividend yield means returns must come from price appreciation, and the lack of analyst coverage in the source data removes an external check on that expectation. The ratings suggest quality; the valuation sets the bar for whether that quality is already priced in.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$118.88	$27.82B	34.2	28.7	30.1	3.47	0%	0.99	$91.42 - $127.69	13.6%

Business

Tradeweb Markets Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under Financials, in the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Per the company profile, it is a publicly traded US company with a market capitalization of $27.8B. Per the Trumid-related news items, the company is pursuing an acquisition described as expanding its credit capabilities across the bond lifecycle. The source data does not provide a detailed description of its customers or revenue mix beyond the sector classification and reported financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Trumid acquisition (principal catalyst). Per the news wire, Tradeweb is acquiring Trumid, described as expanding credit capabilities across the bond lifecycle. One headline cites a $1.97 billion deal value. Several items flag the stock as "fully valued" after the deal, a risk-watch framing.
Post-Q3 price action. Per the news wire, headlines describe the stock cooling after Q3 earnings strength, a streak of eight green days with an 11% gain, and a volatile trade on the deal news.
Valuation framing. One news item describes the stock as potentially 13% undervalued after strong Q3 trading volumes, while another describes it as fully valued. The two framings conflict and the source does not resolve which is correct.
Proprietary signals. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are provided.

The news items are sourced from aggregators and are headline-level; the source does not include the underlying article text.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data, and no sector correlation figures are provided beyond the beta of 0.99. The second-order watch item the source does support is the Trumid acquisition: integration of a credit-focused platform into a business already described as multi-asset could shift the revenue and balance-sheet picture in ways the FY 2025 figures do not yet reflect. Debt movement and deal financing are not detailed in the source.

Open Questions

What is the deal value and financing structure for the Trumid acquisition, and how will it affect debt and cash, given the source's conflicting debt figures across years?
Why does the FY 2023 debt figure ($3580.6M) differ so sharply from FY 2024 and FY 2025, and is it a reporting or reclassification effect?
What explains the 0% gross margin figure, and how should it be reconciled with the reported operating and net margins?
What analyst consensus, price targets, and insider or 13F transactions underlie the pillar scores for whale flow and insider conviction, since none are provided in the source?
Which of the conflicting valuation framings (13% undervalued versus fully valued) is supported by the underlying data?

TW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TW Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 6h ago

Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Looks Fully Valued After The Trumid Deal

Yahoo Finance report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Tradeweb • 9h ago

Tradeweb to Acquire Trumid, Expanding Tradeweb’s Credit Capabilities Across the Entire Bond Lifecycle and Further Differentiating its Multi-Asset Class Platform

Tradeweb report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 12h ago

8 Green Days In A Row: Tradeweb Markets Stock Is Up 11%

Trefis report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 15h ago

Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Cools After Q3 Earnings Strength

Yahoo Finance report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Tradeweb stock rises in volatile trade amid $1.97 billion Trumid deal

Yahoo Finance report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Tradeweb Markets (TW) Could Be 13% Undervalued After Strong Q3 Trading Volumes

Yahoo Finance report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) latest stock news and headlines

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Tradeweb Markets (TW) Q3 earnings: what to expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $122.54?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $140.28 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TW (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $118.88?

Welcome to the TW (Tradeweb Markets Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $93.92 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $118.88

Pump the brakes on TW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TW, but look at what you are paying: 34.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tradeweb Markets Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $135.52 (+14.0%)

Spot @ $118.88

TW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $118.88 (52-wk range $91.42 - $127.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.