Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.63 +0.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.60

Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.68B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-03, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (NYSE: TSLX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.63 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $1.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TSLX ranks #459 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TSLX compare to GAM and GAB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TSLX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, GAM (General American Investors Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.53B) and GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSLX leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TSLX leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSLX?
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Per TSLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001508655), Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $170.5M in net income, and $401.6M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.60 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 10% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$24 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE TSLX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TSLX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TSLX SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10% FCF Margin ($401.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$17.12-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$16.83+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$17.21+2.4% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$17.63+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TSLX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, TSLX faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.82) or 200D SMA ($18.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.63) toward Bear Floor ($13.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TSLX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TSLX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TSLX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.63: 567.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.75
$7,799
$-2,201 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $17.63
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.98
$13,602
+$3,602 (+36.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TSLX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TSLX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TSLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.78%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $17.62H $17.63L $17.62C $17.63VOL 531.0K
RES: $20.56SUP: $16.68SMA50: $17.82SMA200: $18.19
$21.78$20.22$18.67$17.11$15.56RES $20.56SUP $16.68$17.632026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TSLX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TSLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TSLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TSLX)

Financials Rank #459 of 1096 ⚔️ GAM vs TSLX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TSLX vs. GAM, GAB, PAX, OXLC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) ranks #459 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #458 by equity capitalization ($1.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSLX leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TSLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TSLX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TSLX ACTIVE
Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.
D+ 58/100 9.9x — 10.6% +0.06% $1.68B Benchmark Subject
GAM
General American Investors Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -0.81% $1.53B /gam-vs-tslx →
GAB
Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -0.95% $1.52B /gab-vs-tslx →
PAX
Patria Investments Limited (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — — -1.29% $1.49B /pax-vs-tslx →
OXLC
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — -2.58% $1.12B /oxlc-vs-tslx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001508655

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $170.5M, operating cash flow of $401.6M, and free cash flow of $401.6M (+982.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TSLX closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $170.5M $401.6M $401.6M $3.42B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $186.6M -$45.5M -$45.5M $3.58B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $222.0M -$236.8M -$236.8M — —

3. TSLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TSLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (NYSE: TSLX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.63 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $1.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TSLX ranks #459 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TSLX compare to GAM and GAB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TSLX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, GAM (General American Investors Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.53B) and GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSLX leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TSLX leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSLX?

Per TSLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001508655), Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $170.5M in net income, and $401.6M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TSLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TSLX last traded at $17.63 (+0.06% on volume of 531,039 shares), positioning the stock -1.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.82) and -3.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.19). Across its 52-week range of $16.04 to $22.84, TSLX sits at the 23.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($16.87 to $18.39).

TSLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TSLX's 12-month stock price target?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $17.63 (+0% from $17.63), with a bull-case target of $23.98 and a bear-case floor of $13.75.

Is TSLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TSLX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TSLX — Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TSLX scores 58 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.6% and an FCF yield of 23.9%. The cash-generation signal is the strongest part of the profile, but it is only moderately strong relative to the pillar maximum.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. Investors should read this as limited evidence of large-holder conviction, not as proof of selling.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores as the second-strongest pillar. This is the most favorable pillar in the rating.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity scores low. A prospective investor should expect the stock to track broad market moves rather than offer a defensive or idiosyncratic profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The balance sheet is serviceable but not pristine.

Taken together, the rating points to a cash-generating business with a very high free-cash-flow yield and a low earnings multiple, offset by weak institutional flow, neutral-to-weak macro fit, and a mid-range forensic profile. The valuation upside depends on whether the cash-flow yield persists; the downside case is that weak flow and a modest balance sheet leave little cushion if sentiment or sector conditions deteriorate. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Per the market data, the company's gross, operating, and net margins are each recorded as 0%, which the source does not explain. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$170.5MN/A$401.6M$19.7MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$186.6MN/A$-45.5M$27.3MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$222.0MN/A$-236.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income declined from $222.0M in FY 2023 to $186.6M in FY 2024 and $170.5M in FY 2025. Free cash flow was negative in FY 2023 and FY 2024 and $401.6M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 10.6%, Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Revenue, operating income, EPS, and debt are reported as $0.0M, N/A, or N/A in the source, so margin and leverage trends cannot be independently verified from the provided figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the wire contains six items, all tagged to TSLX:

  • An upcoming earnings event, described as a Q3 results report due the following day.
  • A critical commentary piece characterizing the stock's 1.11x P/NAV premium as unsupported.
  • A report of shares gapping down.
  • A report describing the company as one of two financials stocks with promising prospects and one facing headwinds.
  • A screening piece listing the stock among three out-of-favor names with open questions.
  • A report on an average price target of $19.83.

All six items carry a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 1.0, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source cannot quantify ripple effects through suppliers, customers, or peer lenders.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported decline in net income from $222.0M in FY 2023 to $170.5M in FY 2025, and is the trend continuing?
  • Why are revenue and operating income reported as $0.0M in every period, and what are the actual top-line and operating figures?
  • What is the company's debt load, given that the debt field is N/A across all periods despite a Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What is the outcome and tone of the upcoming Q3 results, and how does it relate to the reported gap-down?
  • Who holds the stock institutionally and through insiders, given that no holder or insider trade data is provided?

TSLX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TSLX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TSLX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.63?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TSLX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TSLX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.03 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TSLX (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $17.62?

Welcome to the TSLX (Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.22 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $17.62

Pump the brakes on TSLX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TSLX, but look at what you are paying: 9.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.79 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $17.62

TSLX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TSLX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.62 (52-wk range $16.04 - $22.84), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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