Tenaris S.A. (TS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.7% Move

$60.31 -1.63% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.02

Tenaris S.A. (TS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $32.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Tenaris S.A. (NYSE: TS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $60.31 (-1.63% 1D, market cap $32.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TS ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TS compare to STLD and ATI in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TS carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, STLD (Steel Dynamics Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $36.06B) and ATI (ATI Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 58.9x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $23.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STLD leads on earnings multiple (30.4x) while ATI leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TS?
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For Tenaris S.A. (TS), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.02 (-0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (16)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$74 Bull$63 Base$49 Bear
📬 FREE TS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TS SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$58.54-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$58.34+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$60.32+0% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$60.31+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, TS faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.09) or 200D SMA ($56.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.02) toward Bear Floor ($49.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.7% Swing Band

±$2.83 Expected Swing
$57.48 (-4.7%)Spot $60.31$63.14 (+4.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $1.87 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.19%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $60.39H $61.31L $60.31C $60.31VOL 1.22M
RES: $61.46SUP: $49.95SMA50: $57.09SMA200: $56.36
$66.07$60.00$53.93$47.86$41.79RES $61.46SUP $49.95$60.312026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TS)

Materials Rank #14 of 270 ⚔️ STLD vs TS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TS vs. STLD, ATI, MT, NUE)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tenaris S.A. (TS) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #20 by equity capitalization ($32.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STLD leads on earnings valuation at 30.4x trailing P/E, while ATI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and 22.0% gross margin. ATI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with TS at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TS ACTIVE
Tenaris S.A.
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.63% $32.46B Benchmark Subject
STLD
Steel Dynamics Inc.
C+ 68/100 30.4x 13.2% 9.4% -1.08% $36.06B /stld-vs-ts →
ATI
ATI Inc.
B- 71/100 58.9x 22.0% 18.6% -5.38% $23.83B /ati-vs-ts →
MT
Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shares
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -3.20% $47.03B /mt-vs-ts →
NUE
Nucor Corporation
C- 61/100 35.8x 11.9% 7.0% -0.52% $62.46B /nue-vs-ts →

2. TS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Tenaris S.A. (TS) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $32.46B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. TS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tenaris S.A. (NYSE: TS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $60.31 (-1.63% 1D, market cap $32.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TS ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TS compare to STLD and ATI in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TS carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, STLD (Steel Dynamics Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $36.06B) and ATI (ATI Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 58.9x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $23.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STLD leads on earnings multiple (30.4x) while ATI leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TS?

For Tenaris S.A. (TS), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TS last traded at $60.31 (-1.63% on volume of 1,343,540 shares), positioning the stock +5.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.09) and +7.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.36). Across its 52-week range of $37.69 to $64.60, TS sits at the 84.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($57.48 to $63.14).

TS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tenaris S.A. (TS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is TS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.7% event move for TS, spanning a range between $57.48 and $63.14.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TS — Tenaris S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TS scores 68 out of 100, a C+ grade, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Returns are positive but modest, and the cash yield is thin relative to the stock's valuation multiples.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is one of the stronger pillars.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It sits mid-range, indicating neither strong insider buying nor strong selling signals in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.03 and sector sensitivity, implying market-like volatility.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.39. This is a relative strength.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the balance sheet quality and institutional flow. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the stock trades at 32.8x trailing P/E and 30.5x forward P/E, while the FCF yield is 2.21%. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" language signals that the rating is neutral and contingent on confirmation rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
61.31$32.46B32.830.5211.870%1.03$37.69 - $64.69.9%

Business

Tenaris S.A. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Steel/Iron Ore industry, per the company profile. Per the profile, the company operates in steel and iron ore. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9%. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue mix are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items were published within the prior 15 hours:

  • A GuruFocus report headlined that TS stock was down 3.9% but still overvalued, with a GF Score of 78/100 (YELLOW).
  • A MarketBeat report noted a consensus price target of $63.96 per brokerages (YELLOW).
  • A Simply Wall St forecast and analyst predictions piece (YELLOW).
  • A GuruFocus report on a 3.7% gain with a GF Value of $36.34 versus a price of $59.39 (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A MarketBeat report that CWA Asset Management Group LLC sold TS shares (YELLOW).
  • An ad-hoc-news.de report that BofA raised its target to USD 71.00 (GREEN, CATALYST).

Two items are flagged CATALYST, both pointing to valuation and target-price movement. The sell-side target raise to USD 71.00 is the most concrete upside signal. The GuruFocus fair-value estimate of $36.34 sits well below the $59.39 price cited in that piece, which is a risk watch item. The institutional sale noted by MarketBeat is a counter-signal to the RQD whale-flow pillar. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain is mapped and no proprietary signals are available.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the recent news feed, the consensus price target cited by MarketBeat is $63.96, and an ad-hoc-news.de report cites a BofA target of USD 71.00. A formal consensus rating, analyst count, and target distribution are not available in source data. The analyst_data section is empty. Holders data is empty, so 13F institutional positions, SEC Form 4 insider trades, and Congressional trades cannot be confirmed beyond the RQD pillar scores and one institutional sale headline.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, FCF, cash, and debt figures by period? The financials section is empty.
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and full target distribution? The analyst_data section is empty.
  • Which institutions hold TS, and what are the specific 13F changes? The holders section is empty.
  • What drives the gross margin of 0% in the market data, and is it a reporting artifact?
  • What is the company's product mix and customer concentration within the steel and iron ore business?

TS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tenaris S.A. (TS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $60.31?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $66.21 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TS (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $61.31?

Welcome to the TS (Tenaris S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.05 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $61.31

Pump the brakes on TS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TS, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tenaris S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $75.41 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $61.31

TS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $61.31 (52-wk range $37.69 - $64.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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