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TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.92 -1.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $307.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.92 (-1.56% 1D, market cap $307.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRX compare to IDR and VOXR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $310.0M) and VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?
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For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #155 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92 (-0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRX SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.05+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$1.06-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.03-10.7% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$0.92-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRX currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.14) and Max Pain ($0.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How TRX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$8.6M (0.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.12%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.02H $1.02L $0.92C $0.92VOL 2.12M
RES: $1.56SUP: $0.90SMA50: $1.14SMA200: $1.22
$1.56$1.32$1.08$0.84$0.61RES $1.56SUP $0.90$0.922026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRX Butterfly Map → + Track TRX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRX)

Materials Rank #155 of 270 ⚔️ IDR vs TRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TRX vs. IDR, VOXR, URG, VGZ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) ranks #155 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #199 by equity capitalization ($307.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with TRX at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRX ACTIVE
TRX Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -1.56% $307.2M Benchmark Subject
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.
D+ 55/100 19.6x 61.8% 11.4% +0.10% $310.0M /idr-vs-trx →
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp.
D 46/100 — — — +1.97% $318.3M /voxr-vs-trx →
URG
Ur Energy Inc (Canada)
E 26/100 — 0.3% -35.0% -6.84% $338.9M /urg-vs-trx →
VGZ
Vista Gold Corp
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -0.80% $363.5M /vgz-vs-trx →

2. TRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $307.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.92 (-1.56% 1D, market cap $307.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRX compare to IDR and VOXR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $310.0M) and VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?

For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #155 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRX last traded at $0.92 (-1.56% on volume of 1,488,207 shares), positioning the stock -19.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.14) and -24.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $2.80, TRX sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.00 to $1.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRX RQD Cockpit TRX 12M Forecast TRX Earnings & Move TRX Dividends & DRIP TRX Insiders & 13F TRX Whale Options TRX Profit Sankey TRX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TRX — TRX Gold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.92 (-1.56% 1D, market capitalization $307.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TRX Gold Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Precious Metals industry,. The profile identifies it as operating in Precious Metals with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.54 – $2.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals in the source data. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the sources provided. The one identifiable sector linkage is the Precious Metals industry classification itself, which the sources do not connect to specific commodity price exposure.

  • Key Question #1: Can TRX sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $2.80 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TRX's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.11 (+18.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet pillar is the strongest component at 13/20, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Here is why I am bullish on TRX here at $0.94: Balance sheet pillar is the strongest component at 13/20, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9 per the Roarable RQD rating.. Compare TRX's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Precious Metals. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.89 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-24.5%)
Spot @ $0.94

Cash engine and institutional pillars are weak, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and whale flow scored 5/20 per the Roarable RQD rati

Cash engine and institutional pillars are weak, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and whale flow scored 5/20 per the Roarable RQD rating.. Look at the math on TRX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Precious Metals demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.83 before getting long.

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