TransUnion (TRU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$76.79 +1.72% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.88

TransUnion (TRU) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.40B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, TransUnion (NYSE: TRU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $76.79 (+1.72% 1D, market cap $14.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRU ranks #304 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRU compare to ARCC and BMNR in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRU carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $13.81B) and BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $13.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCC leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while TRU leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRU?
β–Ό

Per TRU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001552033), TransUnion generated $4.58B in revenue (+9.4% YoY), $455.4M in net income, and $661.6M in free cash flow against $11.11B in total assets and $4.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.88 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 14.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$94 Bull$79 Base$62 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TRU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TRU SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.2) create a -10 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$67.49+15.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$78.23-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$75.42+1.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$76.79+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TRU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, TRU faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($74.12) or 200D SMA ($73.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($78.86) toward Bear Floor ($61.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRUβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTRU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±9.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TRU)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TRU.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TRU & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TRU
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.21%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $74.31H $76.79L $74.31C $76.79VOL 4.09M
RES: $83.26SUP: $55.41SMA50: $74.12SMA200: $73.99
$88.28$80.87$73.47$66.07$58.66RES $83.26SUP $55.41$76.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRU today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRU)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRU vs. ARCC, BMNR, CHYM, IREN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TransUnion (TRU) ranks #304 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #145 by equity capitalization ($14.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCC leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while TRU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TRU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRU ACTIVE
TransUnion
C 64/100 31.6x β€” 8.0% +1.72% $14.40B Benchmark Subject
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation
D 51/100 10.6x β€” 6.0% -0.05% $13.81B /arcc-vs-tru β†’
BMNR
BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 37.5x β€” 3.4% -6.83% $13.07B /bmnr-vs-tru β†’
CHYM
Chime Financial Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.19% $10.93B /chym-vs-tru β†’
IREN
IREN Limited
E 34/100 122.1x β€” 1.2% -8.76% $10.62B /iren-vs-tru β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001552033

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TransUnion (TRU) reported GAAP revenue of $4.58B (+9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.18B , and +19.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $455.4M, operating cash flow of $987.6M, and free cash flow of $661.6M (+28.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRU closed FY2025 with $11.11B in total assets against $4.91B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.58B $455.4M $987.6M $661.6M $11.11B $4.91B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.18B $284.4M $832.5M $516.7M $10.98B $5.08B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.83B -$206.2M $645.4M $473.0M $7.92B $1.85B

3. TRU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, TransUnion (NYSE: TRU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $76.79 (+1.72% 1D, market cap $14.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRU ranks #304 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRU compare to ARCC and BMNR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRU carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $13.81B) and BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $13.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCC leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while TRU leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRU?

Per TRU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001552033), TransUnion generated $4.58B in revenue (+9.4% YoY), $455.4M in net income, and $661.6M in free cash flow against $11.11B in total assets and $4.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRU last traded at $76.79 (+1.72% on volume of 3,431,895 shares), positioning the stock +3.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($74.12) and +3.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($73.99). Across its 52-week range of $60.96 to $89.12, TRU sits at the 56.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.4% ($69.57 to $84.01).

TRU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TRU's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TRU.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRU β€” TransUnion: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TransUnion scores 64 out of 100 (grade C, "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. The source cites ROIC of 8% and an FCF yield of 4.6%. This pillar is moderate: returns on capital are positive but not exceptional, and cash generation relative to the market value is respectable rather than compelling.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are described only as a category; the underlying holder detail is not provided in source data. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the score reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar in relative terms, but the underlying trade records are not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. The source lists beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. The beta sits below 1.0, suggesting somewhat lower market-level volatility than the broad market, but this pillar is the weakest and signals that the current macro backdrop is not a strong tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are the highest-quality readings in the framework, indicating a financially sound balance sheet.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced setup rather than a clear directional call. The upside case rests on the balance sheet strength and insider signal; the valuation tradeoff is that P/E (TTM) of 31.6 and EV/EBITDA of 16.3 are elevated against a 4.6% FCF yield, and the macro-fit pillar is the weakest link. The score is a framework output, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
75.49$14.4B31.629.416.32.390.63%0.89$60.96 - $89.128%

Business

TransUnion is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. The company's market capitalization is $14.4B per the profile section. Specific details on how the business generates revenue are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$4576.3M$857.8M$455.4MN/A$661.6M$853.6M$4906.9M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$4183.8M$666.7M$284.4MN/A$516.7M$679.5M$5076.6M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$3831.2M$128.5M$-206.2MN/A$473.0MN/A$1852.8M

Revenue and operating income rose across the three reported periods, and net income moved from a loss of $-206.2M in FY 2023 to $455.4M in FY 2025. Per the market data section, operating margin is 18.7% and net margin is 10%, while ROIC is 8%. The source data lists an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 within the forensic balance sheet pillar, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt declined from $5076.6M in FY 2024 to $4906.9M in FY 2025, while cash rose to $853.6M. The FY 2023 debt figure ($1852.8M) is not directly comparable to later periods in the source and is reported as given.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items for TRU:

  • Positive catalysts (GREEN): A report that the 12-month price target was raised to $93.71, implying 49% upside; a partnership with Bankrate and a marketing award; and a GuruFocus report of a 7.0% share price surge with a GF Score of 91.
  • Market wire items (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance report on Q3 earnings meeting margin doubts, a company release announcing strong third-quarter 2026 results, and a Seeking Alpha report of an 11% rally amid broad credit-reporting strength.

The mixed signal set pairs a strong company-reported quarter with a market narrative questioning margins, a tension a careful reader should note. The source data does not include a risk watch list or proprietary signals beyond these headlines. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore not available in source data. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be established from the provided material. The only ripple-relevant context in the source is the sector sensitivity referenced in the macro-fit pillar, which is not quantified.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific margin pressures behind the Q3 earnings doubts, and how do they reconcile with the strong third-quarter results the company reported?
  • Which institutional holders and options positions drive the whale 13F flow score, and what is their direction of change?
  • What are the specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR trades behind the insider conviction score?
  • Why are the FY 2023 cash and EPS figures unavailable, and how comparable is the FY 2023 debt figure to later periods?
  • How does sector sensitivity affect the Macro Regime Fit pillar, and what macro conditions drive the weak 10/20 reading?

TRU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TransUnion (TRU) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TRU Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $76.79?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRU 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRU:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $81.53 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRU (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $75.49?

Welcome to the TRU (TransUnion) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $58.13 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $75.49

Pump the brakes on TRU β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRU, but look at what you are paying: 31.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless TransUnion expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $87.57 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $75.49

TRU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $75.49 (52-wk range $60.96 - $89.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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