Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.60 (-2.44% 1D, market cap $589.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $669.0M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXFR leads on earnings multiple (60.0x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.1% FCF Margin ($60.0M FCF) & 9.3% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
While TROX currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.16) and Max Pain ($3.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.12.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) dropped -2.44% to $3.60, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($2.86 – $10.59). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Tronox (TROX) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
The latest update on Tronox Holdings centers on a reset in fair value, with the model price anchor moving from US$6.63 to US$5.50. That shift lines up with more cautious Street commentary, where several banks now group t
Tronox Holdings plc (NYSE: TROX) announced today the following schedule for its third quarter 2026 earnings release and webcast conference call:
TROX and JXAM plan $32M in rare earth projects across Australia and the U.S., targeting up to 10,000 tons of annual oxide output.
Tronox Holdings (TROX) and JX Advanced Metals have agreed to jointly invest $32 million in feasibili
Tronox Holdings plc (NYSE: TROX) ("Tronox"), the world's leading integrated manufacturer of titanium dioxide ("TiO2") pigment, today announced the signing of a cooperation and investment agreement with JX Advanced Metals
Tronox (TROX) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
Tronox Holdings has delivered a 65.3% return over the past year, yet the valuation checks still suggest the stock screens as relatively cheap. That combination of strong recent gains and an apparently supportive valuatio
Tronox Holdings plc recently reported past second-quarter 2026 results, with sales rising to US$868 million while net loss widened to US$171 million, and also issued third-quarter production guidance calling for mid-sing
TiO2 and zircon volumes drove 19% revenue growth despite margin compression.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) ranks #212 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #165 by equity capitalization ($589.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXFR leads on earnings valuation at 60.0x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TROX at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROX
ACTIVE
Tronox Holdings plc (UK) | D- | 36/100 | — | 9.3% | -16.4% | -2.44% | $589.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| PCT PureCycle Technologies Inc. | E | 19/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.90% | $669.0M | /pct-vs-trox → |
| FMC FMC Corporation | E | 27/100 | — | 37.0% | -30.2% | +30.53% | $738.9M | /fmc-vs-trox → |
| BAK Braskem SA ADR | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $462.4M | /bak-vs-trox → |
| LXFR Luxfer Holdings PLC | C | 65/100 | 60.0x | 23.2% | 8.2% | -0.23% | $462.1M | /lxfr-vs-trox → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.07B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$470.0M, operating cash flow of $60.0M, and free cash flow of $60.0M (-80.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROX closed FY2025 with $6.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.90B | -$470.0M | $60.0M | $60.0M | $6.22B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.07B | -$48.0M | $300.0M | $300.0M | $6.04B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.85B | -$316.0M | $184.0M | $184.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.60 (-2.44% 1D, market cap $589.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $669.0M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXFR leads on earnings multiple (60.0x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TROX last traded at $3.60 (-2.44% on volume of 1,530,622 shares), positioning the stock -13.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.16) and -45.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.65). Across its 52-week range of $2.86 to $10.59, TROX sits at the 9.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($3.18 to $4.02).
Why TROX Stock dropped -2.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TROX scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -16.4%; FCF yield 10.18%); Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.67; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are flow and balance-sheet strength, which together signal that the equity is sensitive to financing and sentiment shocks. The positive FCF yield of 10.18% is the main valuation-side offset, but the negative ROIC means that cash generation is not translating into returns on invested capital. The rating is a educational framing of the source data, not a recommendation.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2898.0M | $-253.0M | $-470.0M | N/A | $60.0M | $199.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $3074.0M | $219.0M | $-48.0M | N/A | $300.0M | $151.0M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $2850.0M | $186.0M | $-316.0M | N/A | $184.0M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $3074.0M in FY 2024 to $2898.0M in FY 2025, with operating income swinging from $219.0M to $-253.0M. Per the market data, ROIC is -16.4% and net margin is -16.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.67, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Those forensic readings point to a stressed balance sheet, and the source data does not report total debt values, so the leverage picture is only partially visible.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain classification is "NONE," no butterfly links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the Materials / Major Chemicals classification.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Tronox (TROX) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
The latest update on Tronox Holdings centers on a reset in fair value, with the model price anchor moving from US$6.63 to US$5.50. That shift lines up with more cautious Street commentary, where several banks now group t
Tronox Holdings plc (NYSE: TROX) announced today the following schedule for its third quarter 2026 earnings release and webcast conference call:
TROX and JXAM plan $32M in rare earth projects across Australia and the U.S., targeting up to 10,000 tons of annual oxide output.
Tronox Holdings (TROX) and JX Advanced Metals have agreed to jointly invest $32 million in feasibili
Tronox Holdings plc (NYSE: TROX) ("Tronox"), the world's leading integrated manufacturer of titanium dioxide ("TiO2") pigment, today announced the signing of a cooperation and investment agreement with JX Advanced Metals
Tronox (TROX) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
Tronox Holdings has delivered a 65.3% return over the past year, yet the valuation checks still suggest the stock screens as relatively cheap. That combination of strong recent gains and an apparently supportive valuatio
Welcome to the TROX (Tronox Holdings plc (UK)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TROX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 9.3% gross margins. Unless Tronox Holdings plc (UK) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TROX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.69 (52-wk range $2.86 - $10.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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